[討論] 學者:預估400萬票投柯但跑走20多萬小綠
看到yt上的震傳媒訪問台師大研究所教授曲兆祥
他表示選前他預估會有400萬票投給柯文哲
賴還是會贏,只是投出來比他預期的多二十萬
他研判是從柯那邊跑走了大概二十多萬的小綠綠跑去投給賴了
評估應該是選前趙少康喊話讓藍營支持者回流,於是綠粉有危機感
紛紛回歸賴了
他覺得台灣第三勢力大概有400萬的空間,所以柯下次再戰是有可能超過400萬的
柯是打不死的,絕對不可能消滅,因為柯很特別,喜歡他的很喜歡,討厭他的很討厭
結論就是柯還能再戰20年,柯黑要失望了,柯黨是不會泡沫化的
感覺和游盈隆分析差不多,我覺得蠻唬爛的
真的會有400萬投柯嗎?可是我看選前民調賴清德一直都是35%保底
再怎麼掉民調,還是維持35%水平線
怎麼會有從柯營那邊流過來啊,覺得是很瞎的分析,
政黑怎麼看?
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