Re: [新聞] 獨/國民黨對比式民調 丁守中全贏柯文哲成出線關鍵消失
: → j6rmp4jo32k7: 額 邱明玉講的聽不懂欸 能解釋一下嗎 05/05 00:32
: 推 j6rmp4jo32k7: 可是tvbs做丁柯 37 30 怎麼解釋 05/05 00:35
: 推 j6rmp4jo32k7: 艾普羅 33 33 又怎解釋 國民黨支持哲的丁柯比例?? 05/05 00:36
可以搭配前面版友推文說 tvbs 電訪題目, 會問的資訊有
1. 政黨屬性/性別/年齡這些資本資料
2. 四人互比一題
柯 vs 丁/鍾/張/孫 各四題, 民調總共這五題
邱明玉的意思是假設電訪 1000 人, 對比式民調的計算方式
只計政黨屬性是國民黨的 100 人 (假設),
然後再計算這 100 人中柯 vs 丁鍾張孫四人的對比式民調當作最後結果
另外 900 人就當作被薩諾斯彈指一下灰飛煙滅沒這回事
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數字只是假設而已, 實際上自認政黨屬性是國民黨的母體數目未知
越多的話當然柯丁二人民調差距會越小
※ 編輯: wsxasd123 (36.228.152.47), 05/05/2018 00:48:27
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