Re: [交易] Dodgers Acquire Hanley Ramirez & Randy

看板Dodgers作者madboy (歡樂牛棚在躲人)時間11年前 (2012/07/25 23:41)推噓7(7推 0噓 6→)

留言13則, 6人參與討論串2/3 (看更多)

實在懶得貼出來不過因為一堆人啥都不看也無法自行思考就說沒有賠就簡單寫一下... 躲人出 Eo 只列出pre-arb, 因Eo目前只是5th SP, 不見得值得給他arb 2012 值 0.5WAR (剩1/3球季) 2013 1.5WAR 2014 1.5WAR 2012 $WAR參數5.5 2013 6 2014 6.5 Eo 值 0.5 * 5.5 + 1.5 * 6 + 1.5 * 6.5 = 21.5M ============================================= RHRP Scott McGough Sickels 2012 Grade C (others), 22歲 http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/12/5/2612837/ los-angeles-dodgers-top-20-prospects-for-2012 查表 http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/7/20/950254/which-is-better-compensation 值2.1M 不過那是2009~2010左右的物價當時$WAR參數約在4.5 換算現在$WAR參數5.5 差不多應值2.5M ============================================= ============================================= 馬大魚出 LHRP Randy Choate fangraphs ZiPS (R)剩下球擊成績3.35FIP 14IP http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=813&position=P 得省下 (3.35 - 4.5)*14/9 = 1.79分就算0.2WAR好了今年Choate剩下薪水 1.5M/3 (剩1/3球季) = 0.5M Choate FA前值 1.1M - 0.5M = 0.6M ============================================= cancer Hanley Ramirez bb-ref http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/ramirha01.shtml fangraphs http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8001&position=SS bb-ref的rWAR近兩年只給他0WAR & 0.4WAR fangraphs的fWAR也只給1.3WAR & 1.4WAR 考量他去年受傷未來全年拿個2WAR不為過吧 2012 0.7WAR (剩1/3球季) 2013 2WAR 2014 2WAR 2012 $WAR參數5.5 2013 6 2014 6.5 Hanley 值 0.7 * 5.5 + 2 * 6 + 2 * 6.5 = 28.85M 不過他剩下薪水 2012 15M/3 (剩1/3球季) = 5M 2013 15.5M 2014 16M 共 36.5M 故Hanley實值 28.85M - 36.5M = -7.65M ============================================= ============================================= summary ============================================= ============================================= 躲人出 Eo 21.5M Grade C RHRP Scott McGough 2.5M 24M ============================================= 馬大魚出 LHRP Randy Choate 0.6M Hanley -7.65M -7.05M ============================================= you do the math thanks -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 173.254.219.203

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