[外電] Maddux交易的評論...

看板Dodgers作者tunababy (相信妳自己,真的....)時間16年前 (2008/08/23 18:12)推噓9(9推 0噓 3→)

留言12則, 9人參與討論串1/2 (看更多)

原文從6-4-2擷錄 http://6-4-2.blogspot.com/ Now, Maddux had given the Pads 13 quality starts in 26, a mixed bag certainly, about what you can get by with from a fourth or fifth starter. Can he continue to perform around that level, and around a level that can get the Dodgers past the Snakes and into the playoffs? As much as Maddux's ability to make things work out should be a matter of legend, I have a few nagging concerns. Maddux is something of a ground-ball pitcher this year (1.5 ground-ball outs for every fly), so while you might think that means that leaving Petco in his past might not hurt him all that much, he's derived a huge benefit from pitching in San Diego this season, allowing 3.3 runs per nine at home for the Pads against 6.4 everywhere else. Everything goes up for him on the road in terms of his rates, even his strikeouts, but risking a few more direct challenges of hitters because he's working in less forgiving environments than Petco means more hard-hit balls heading towards the gaps or over the fence, and more extra-base hits. Maddux在教士投出了十三場 qs,他的加入是否有機會幫助道奇打敗小蛇進入季後賽呢?事實上今年Maddux是比較像滾地球投手,所以也許你會覺得離開petco不會影響他的成績太多 ,但事實上,他今年在petco主場打的成績跟在客打的成績差很打多.在petco,他每場掉3.3 分,但在客場每場平均掉6.4分.他的所有數據在客場都變高,包括他的三振,而他在客場被打了很多很強勁的球在gap或被打出場,而長打也被打比較多. It's also a bit of a dodgy proposition that the Dodgers' infield defense can pick him up. Even if the Pads and Dodgers rank just about the same in terms of Defensive Efficiency, keep in mind that the Dodgers aren't really the team that compiled those numbers, not any more. They don't have Raffy Furcal or Chin-Lung Hu at short, they have Nomar Garciaparra. They don't have light-footed Blake DeWitt at third, they have the more leaden Casey Blake. They have Manny being Manny in left, in a market that doesn't have legions waiting to make every conceivable excuse for more basic ineptitude. They have Jeff Kent at the keystone; add that to Nomar, and that's the very definition of creaky double-play combos. Maddux had been getting a slightly better performance from his supporting cast afield than your average Pad pitcher, with his players getting outs on 70.9 percent of all balls in play, where Pads in general were getting 69.8 percent; if he winds up getting the less than 69.9 percent performance the Dodgers probably can't continue to achieve with their current alignment, how's that supposed to work out with a pitcher who needs his defense to help him out on 80 percent of all plate appearances against him? 也許有人會因為道奇的守備數據和教士差不多,所以認為Maddux在道奇球場應該不會有太差的成績.但事實上,提供道奇現在看似不錯守備數據的球員,事實上現在都沒有在球隊上,舉幾例子,SS現在是Nomar,而不是Furcal或胡金龍,3B是blake而不是Dewitt,更不要提現在的左外野是Manny,而jeff Kent和Nomar大概是一個最不好防守雙殺組合.因此,如果道奇的守備如果不能提供像教士守備的所提供的幫助,那會相當不樂觀. 今天對費城的比賽似乎被說中了不少... 說真的,我還是不很喜歡這個交易... -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 128.195.83.132

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dufflin

08/23 18:35, , 1^F

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08/23 18:58, , 2^F

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Belladonaa

08/23 20:21, , 3^F

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