Re: [情報] 選於選秀情報的討論
前十輪免費的球探報告(我又來衝文章數了XD)
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Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Ryan Perry RHP R-R 6-4 200 Arizona 2/13/1987
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Perry can count his blessings after being hurt in a
motorcycle accident in January 2007. He was traveling at a reported 80 mph
without a helmet, and came out of the mishap with a broken non-pitching arm,
a sore back and scraped-up body. Though he missed much of that spring season
at Arizona recuperating and compiled a 6.35 ERA, he became the buzz of the
Cape Cod League last summer with a fastball that was a steady 93-97 mph and
peaked at 99. He had the fastest arm in the league, yet threw with an easy
motion. Though he went just 1-2, 4.15 with four saves in 18 appearances for
Orleans and struck out 30 in 21 innings, he picked up his pace considerably
after a slow start. He got hit hard early as he was working out a few kinks but
was nearly unhittable by the time the league all-star game rolled around in
late July. Not only was his fastball the equal or better of anyone’s in the
league, his 86-88 mph slider was the league’s top breaking ball. His power
stuff reminded scouts of Josh Fields, the 2006 No. 1 closer prospect in the
Cape—but Perry has a better, more projectable body. Perry has the makings of
a changeup but had a more pressing need to develop a two-seamer to get more
movement on his fastball as hitters had a tendency to straighten it out—no
matter how hard it was thrown—and he appeared to master that pitch last fall.
His two-seamer, which yielded good sinking action, was clocked at 94-95 mph.
Perry projects as a closer in a best-case scenario and a set-up man in a worst,
but he was used as a starter initially this spring on a deep and talented
pitching staff at Arizona. The Wildcats return an excellent closer in sophomore
righthander Jason Stoffel. Regardless of how he’s used, Perry has come farther
than any pitching prospect in the 2008 draft as he was clocked at just 78 mph
in the summer before his freshman year and worked in only 11 innings in high
school.—ALLAN SIMPSO
UPDATE (5/1): Viewed as a near ‘can’t miss’ prospect off his performance
last summer in the Cape Cod League, Perry proved mortal in his role as a
starter for Arizona to open the 2008 season. Though he showed scouts a loose,
lightning-quick arm with good downhill plane and extension, and electric stuff,
he pitched poorly as he showed little deception in his delivery and hitters got
an easy look at his mid-90s, but flat fastball. They teed off on it, no matter
how hard he threw it. Sent to the bullpen when he lost his job as a starter,
Perry responded in that role. His fastball sat at 96 mph, topping at 98. He had
better command of it, especially to the inner half of the plate, but will need
adjustments to his delivery as he progresses to the big leagues. With a week
remaining in the 2008 regular season, Perry was 4-3, 3.56 with 13 walks and 60
strikeouts in 61 innings. Those are hardly the kind of numbers to justify
Perry being a first-round pick in June, but his kind of arm strength will be
difficult for a team to walk away from.—AS
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Cody Satterwhite RHP R-R 6-5 200 Mississippi 1/27/1987
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Satterwhite was a hot commodity coming out of a
Mississippi high school in 2005, but made it clear to scouts that he wanted to
attend college and he became a draft afterthought. With an electric arm and a
fastball that has been clocked as high as 99 mph, he again ranks as a potential
first-round pick. Satterwhite has the temperament to close and spent his first
two years at Ole Miss in relief (4-4, 3.31 with four saves in 2007) and was
Team USA’s primary closer last summer (1-0, 2.55 with four saves). But he has
always preferred to start and was being used as Ole Miss’ Saturday starter in
2008, combining with junior righthander Lance Lynn, another potential
first-rounder, to give the Rebels a dominant 1-2 punch at the top of the
rotation. Satterwhite has the best stuff on the Rebels staff with a fastball
that comfortably sits at 94-97 mph and a hard 77-78 mph curveball. His biggest
challenge will be carrying his stuff deep into games, commanding his breaking
ball and refining a changeup. He also needs to repeat his delivery more
consistently. He tends to rush his delivery and muscle up on his fastball,
leaving balls up in the zone on the arm side and causing his fastball and
breaking ball to flatten out. When he stays behind the ball consistently, he is
more likely to keep the ball down in the zone, increasing his effectiveness. He
has an excellent pitcher’s build with a clean, loose, quick arm and extension
at both ends.—ALLAN SIMPSO
UPDATE (5/1): Satterwhite was inconsistent in his role as a starter this spring
—and was even bumped to Sunday in the rotation when he struggled with his
stuff and command early in the season. He generally showed first-round stuff as
the season moved along with a 92-95 mph fastball and an improving slider and
curve, but the results were not first-round quality as he went just 3-5, 5.01
with 32 walks and only 49 walks in 65 innings through the regular season.
Though he was dominant at times as a starter with his live, quick arm, scouts
were perplexed whether he projects as a starter down the road, or may be better
suited in a relief role.—AS
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Scott Green RHP R-R 6-8 240 Kentucky 8/10/1985
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Green, a 15th-round pick last June as a draft-eligible
sophomore, made a calculated gamble when he turned down a reported $800,000
offer from the Boston Red Sox at the signing deadline to return to Kentucky for
his junior year. The 6-foot-8 righthander has always viewed himself as a
potential first-rounder and wants to be paid accordingly—and there is a good
likelihood that will happen in 2008. Injuries have been the biggest obstacle to
that occurring before now. Green has had elbow issues since he was in high
school and missed the 2006 season while recuperating from Tommy John surgery.
He missed additional time last spring with an assortment of minor injuries, and
worked only in stops and starts. In nine relief appearances covering 18 innings
, he went 2-0, 3.06 with 20 strikeouts. Despite being on a pitch count last
summer, he was healthy again and pitched at 89-91 mph, topping at 93, for
league champion Yarmouth-Dennis of the Cape Cod League. He also mixed in a
solid 79-83 mph slider and the makings of a good changeup. He went 3-1, 1.56
while walking just nine and striking out 35 in 40 innings. Green is very
athletic in his big frame and gets good downward plane on his pitches. His
three-quarters delivery needs a little cleaning up—though it also makes him
effectively wild and provides good deception, making him that much more
dominant. When healthy, Green has a loose, fluid, effortless delivery with a
fastball that peaks at 94 mph with good boring action on righthanded hitters.
—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): Green’s decision to pass up a lucrative offer from the Red Sox
last summer may have backfired on him. He struggled to establish consistency,
both as a starter and reliever, and went just 6-4, 4.97, though he gave up just
16 walks and had 64 strikeouts 54 innings. He was an enigma to scouts as he
often had dominant stuff, yet was very hittable. There was little middle ground
from game to game, even from inning to inning. His stuff, including a fastball
up to 95 mph and a hard slider (his strikeout pitch), and control generally
weren’t the problem, but his command was. He threw way too many pitches in the
heart of the hitting zone. He also created little deception in his delivery,
giving hitters an easy look. Green’s size and stuff will be tough for a team
to walk away from, but his uneven performance may be the overriding issue in
where he is drafted.—AS
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Brett Jacobson RHP R-R 6-6 205 Vanderbilt 11/8/1986
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Scouts waited almost all last summer for the tall, lean,
powerful Jacobson to bust loose and show his true ability in the Cape Cod
League, and he finally did on a foggy night in Orleans on July 31 when he
struck out 15 in six innings in a game that was delayed twice and finally
called after seven innings. Jacobson’s breakthrough was all about not trying
to overpower hitters with his customary 95-96 mph fastball, which generally
rode up in the strike zone from a high three-quarters arm angle and was largely
responsible for his allowing 49 hits in 43 innings on the season. Instead, he
became more of an artist that night. All his pitches worked in sync,
particularly a fastball that was a more normal 90-93 mph. He got better cutting
and tailing action at the lower velocity, kept his fastball consistently down
in the strike zone and mixed it well with his 77-79 mph slurvy slider and 79-82
mph sinking changeup. Though Jacobson went just 2-3, 4.15 overall with 52
strikeouts in 43 innings on the summer and has a spotty record in two years at
Vanderbilt, he has an extremely projectable frame and could emerge as a first
-round pick in June if he can continue to harness his stuff.—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): Jacobson began the 2008 season in the Vanderbilt rotation but it
was apparent almost immediately that he was miscast in the role. He lacked the
temperament to pace himself as a starter, and he was banished to the bullpen
after just four starts—his prospects for becoming a high-round pick in this
year’s draft seriously in doubt. But Jacobson got a new lease on life with a
change in roles and soon began making up some of the ground he lost by
performing so poorly as a starter. Able to throw at an all-out, 100-percent
effort in short bursts as a closer, Jacobson’s fastball peaked at 96 mph,
though was more commonly 2-3 mph slower. He thrived from the adrenaline rush of
pitching with a game on the line. Not only was his fastball a more effective
weapon, but his slider, which often lacked depth as a starter, had bite and was
more consistent. His command was also significantly better. Overall,
Jacobson’s record was only 1-4, 5.82 with four saves and 16 walks and 37
strikeouts in 39 innings—but that rather unremarkable ledger was more an
indictment of how poorly he performed as a starter.—AS
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Alex Avila C/3B B-R 6-0 210 Alabama 1/29/1987
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Avila hit .296-14-61 as a sophomore at Alabama,
splitting his time between a corner infield and DH role. He was converted to
catcher last fall and that move could exponentially improve his worth in the
draft as he transitioned well to the role, working under the tutelage of new
Crimson Tide volunteer assistant coach Dax Norris, a former Alabama catcher who
recently completed an 11-year minor league stint behind the plate. Avila has
excellent arm strength and he was moved to catcher to take best advantage of
the asset. He still needs to refine his footwork and the finer points of
catching but has the aptitude to do so. He has good, balanced swing mechanics
with excellent hands to hit, goes with the pitch and makes consistent hard
contact. He hit only .241 last summer in the Cape Cod League but part of his
problem at the plate was that he’s got such a finely-tuned hitting zone that
he would often let a pitch just off the plate go by that he knew was a ball,
only to get behind in the count or be rung up by the variety of strike zones
that existed in the Cape. He began to adapt as the season wore on, but he
struck out 34 times. Avila, whose father Al is the assistant GM for the Detroit
Tigers, divided his summer between first base and third, but was limited
defensively at both positions. He’s athletic enough and has the thick, durable
body desired in a catcher.—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): Avila swung the bat this season at a similar clip to 2007,
hitting .320-13-49 in the regular season, but his work behind the plate
received mixed reviews. His arm was erratic though he generally showed good arm
strength (1.85-1.90 pop times) and accuracy, and he called his own game. He had
difficulty, however, in handling pitchers with above-average stuff. The
experiment remains a work-in-progress but he showed enough skills and aptitude
to continue in that role. He just needs more experience.—AS
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Tyler Stohr RHP R-R 6-2 205 North Florida 9/19/1986
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Stohr started the 2007 season as North Florida’s No. 2
starter, but it was quickly determined he was miscast in that role and became
the team’s closer—but not before he posted an unsightly 0-6, 7.46 record with
six saves. He spent all of last summer as a closer for Hyannis in the Cape Cod
League, going 0-0, 2.08 with five saves in 10 appearances. He felt right at
home being used at the end of games as he was able to blow his 92-95 mph
fastball in one or two-inning bursts, while mixing in a slider with good bite
that he could throw for strikes. He needs to be more consistent with the
release point of his breaking ball. His poise, pitching instincts and
aggressiveness are well suited for a closer role. He has a powerful, durable
body and throws strictly from the stretch. His father is Chicago Cubs scout
Keith Stohr.—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): Stohr continued to adapt well to the closer’s role this spring,
going 3-2, 2.05 with 10 saves and 43 K’s in 31 innings (through mid-May). His
stuff has been excellent, with regular mid-90s heat. Stohr is still not a
polished pitcher as he walked 24, but his arm strength stands out.—DR
Player Pos. B-T HT WT High School B’date
Jade Todd LHP L-L 6-2 185 Shades Valley 3-22-90
SCOUTING REPORT: There is little consensus among area scouts who cover Alabama
who the top high school prospects are beyond Destin Hood and Tyler Stovall, but
Todd ranks high enough with a few teams that he is a draft consideration after
the 10th round. He’s a tall, rangy lefthander who made a good impression early
in the 2008 season when his fastball was customarily in the 90-91 range. That
gave him a third quality pitch as his curve, a 12-to-6 downer when he stays on
top of it, is a potential out pitch, and his changeup is a solid offering. The
weight of playing on a weak high school team may have taken a toll on Todd
later in the season, however, as his velocity dipped to 85-87 mph.
—ALLAN SIMPSON
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Andy Dirks OF L-L 6-0 200 Wichita State 1-24-86
SCOUTING REPORT: Dirks is a prototypical center field/leadoff-type and could be
one of the premier senior-signs for that draft demographic. He has
above-average speed that he uses well both in the outfield and on the bases
(26 SB). Dirks has a very patient approach at the plate. He walked 42 times
this spring and was hit with 12 pitches, while hitting .394-9-53. He also led
the Northwoods League last summer in both walks and on-base percentage, and set
a league record by reaching base in 52 consecutive games.—DAVID RAWNSLEY
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Anthony Shawler RHP/OF R-R 6-3 185 Old Dominion 5/16/1987
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Shawler and fellow junior righthander Daniel Hudson
should be a dominating twosome at the front of the ODU rotation in 2008 after
Shawler went 11-2, 2.20 with 130 strikeouts in 115 innings last spring. There
is little to distinguish the two pitchers from each other except that the
slightly-taller Hudson relies more on a curveball for his breaking pitch while
Shawler prefers a slider or cutter that is especially tough on righthanded
hitters as his put-away pitch. Both have a four-pitch mix, including fastballs
that are generally in the 89-92 mph range, touching 93. Shawler also has a
split-finger and changeup, but uses them infrequently. He pitches quickly and
goes after hitters aggressively. He profiles as a long reliever at the major
league level; Hudson projects more as a fifth starter. The biggest difference
between the two, though, is that Shawler is also an accomplished position
player and middle-of-the-order hitter, and could be a draft pick in that role.
He batted .305-5-35 as a sophomore. A high school catcher, he has spent most of
his time in college at first base or in a DH role to protect his arm. Shawler
spent last summer in the Coastal Plain League, but didn’t pitch until the
second half of the season after a heavy workload in the spring.—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): Shawler continued to rank a round or two lower than teammate Dan
Hudson (No. 4 above) on most draft boards through the spring as he did not
perform to his lofty standard of a year ago. He went 5-3, 5.35, though
continued to strike out hitters at an accelerated rate with 95 punchouts in 76
innings. He also walked 38 as his command fluctuated. His fastball was mostly
in the 88-92 mph range, touching 93, but it had a tendency to ride up in the
strike zone too often. A nasty 86-88 cutter was his primary strikeout pitch.
Shawler wasn’t just scouted as a pitcher as he hit .314-7-40 as his team’s
everyday right fielder on days he didn’t pitch. There are a handful of teams
that like his athletic ability and versatility, and see him more as an everyday
player capable of swinging the bat and playing any position on the field.—AS
Player Pos. B-T HT WT College B’date
Robbie Weinhardt RHP R-R 6-2 198 Oklahoma State 12/8/1985
SCOUTING REPORT: Weinhardt’s success this season as Oklahoma State’s primary
set-up man and occasional closer was often overlooked among the vast number of
elite college relievers in the country. The senior righthander went 5-0, 3.76
with four saves and 61 strikeouts in 38 innings. Scouts did not overlook his
performance, however, as Weinhardt threw a consistent average fastball that
peaked at 94-96 mph, although it was fairly straight. He also had to take a
little off occasionally to throw strikes more consistently. His strikeout pitch
was a mid-80s slider that was sharp and late. Weinhardt commands both pitches
pretty well, repeats his delivery and showed excellent bounce-back ability.
Like so many of his other reliever brethren, Weinhardt was a starter at a Texas
junior college (Hill JC) for two years before moving to OSU, and to the bullpen
.—DAVID RAWNSLEY
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