Re: [Vtub] 白上的藍勾勾與金鯉魚
看板C_Chat作者ALPHONSE2501 (Misaka Nr.13666)時間2年前 (2021/12/24 08:56)推噓11(11推 0噓 13→)留言24則, 15人參與討論串2/5 (看更多)
推 gswsb: 不知道有沒有大神統計過好狐總共釣了幾隻紅鯉才釣到金鯉
Reddit 的 r/Hololive板有人收集資料
https://www.reddit.com/r/Hololive/comments/rmzp5a/
fubuki_got_her_shiny_magikarp/
.......
Shinies have a rate of 1 in 4096.
So, the probability to not have one after 12000 tries is:
(1-1/4096)^1200=5,34%.
So a bit more than a chance in 20.
Yep, RNG was not on her side.
出金機率是1比4096
嘗試一萬二千次後沒中的機率為5.34%
-----
With numbers being roughly 13000 and shiny rate 1/4096, then she had 95,8%
chance of getting this shiny sooner.
1比4096的機率在大約一萬三千次, 白上有95.8%的機會早點得金
累計有不確定的數字
這邊有人詳細紀錄:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Hololive/comments/reycjg/
i_counted_the_total_number_of_magikarps_that/
Update (Dec 23): She did it! After 6,697 red Magikarps in 119 hours, 25
minutes and 39 seconds of stream-time, plus over a hundred hours off-screen,
Fubuki caught the shiny golden Magikarp! Including over a hundred hours off
fishing off-screen, it is estimated that she encountered between 11,500 -
13,500 Magikarps in total.
(中間有紀錄表格,但我只取累計)
Total range 11,500 - 13,500
--
銀時: 什麼嘛...這不是新阿姆斯特朗旋風噴射阿姆斯特朗砲嗎?做得挺像的呢.
長谷川: 它是能把台北府炸掉,逼迫苛P開城的批踢踢的決戰武器.
新八: 什麼?我們天龍是被這種噁心的大砲打敗的嗎?
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 47.145.125.37 (美國)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/C_Chat/M.1640307366.A.9CE.html
推
12/24 08:57,
2年前
, 1F
12/24 08:57, 1F
推
12/24 09:01,
2年前
, 2F
12/24 09:01, 2F
推
12/24 09:02,
2年前
, 3F
12/24 09:02, 3F
→
12/24 09:02,
2年前
, 4F
12/24 09:02, 4F
→
12/24 09:02,
2年前
, 5F
12/24 09:02, 5F
→
12/24 09:03,
2年前
, 6F
12/24 09:03, 6F
→
12/24 09:06,
2年前
, 7F
12/24 09:06, 7F
推
12/24 09:07,
2年前
, 8F
12/24 09:07, 8F
→
12/24 09:07,
2年前
, 9F
12/24 09:07, 9F
推
12/24 09:09,
2年前
, 10F
12/24 09:09, 10F
→
12/24 09:09,
2年前
, 11F
12/24 09:09, 11F
→
12/24 09:19,
2年前
, 12F
12/24 09:19, 12F
→
12/24 09:20,
2年前
, 13F
12/24 09:20, 13F
推
12/24 09:55,
2年前
, 14F
12/24 09:55, 14F
推
12/24 10:13,
2年前
, 15F
12/24 10:13, 15F
推
12/24 10:29,
2年前
, 16F
12/24 10:29, 16F
→
12/24 10:29,
2年前
, 17F
12/24 10:29, 17F
→
12/24 10:29,
2年前
, 18F
12/24 10:29, 18F
→
12/24 10:31,
2年前
, 19F
12/24 10:31, 19F
→
12/24 10:31,
2年前
, 20F
12/24 10:31, 20F
推
12/24 10:39,
2年前
, 21F
12/24 10:39, 21F
→
12/24 10:39,
2年前
, 22F
12/24 10:39, 22F
推
12/24 11:58,
2年前
, 23F
12/24 11:58, 23F
推
12/26 07:35,
2年前
, 24F
12/26 07:35, 24F
討論串 (同標題文章)
以下文章回應了本文 (最舊先):
完整討論串 (本文為第 2 之 5 篇):