[來啦] 東東要的英文作業
幫你來找來 感謝我吧
midableakseasonforNewYorkYankeesfans,scienceoffers
somesolace--thewrongteam,theFloridaMarlins,beatthem
in2003'sWorldSeries,findsastudy.
"Theworldofsportsprovidesanideallaboratoryformodeling
competitionbecausegamedataareaccurate,abundant,andaccessible,"
answersthestudyinthejournalPhysicalReviewE."Evenafter
alongseriesofcompetitions,thebestteamdoesnotalways
finishfirst."
READTHESTUDY:Efficiencyofcompetitions
LOSALAMOSNATIONALLAB:Randomnessincompetitions
Theproblem,saystudyauthorsEliBen-NaimandNickHengartner
oftheLosAlamos(N.M.)NationalLaboratory,isthatthebaseball
season,atamere162games,istooshort.Instead,thenumber
ofgamesthatwouldkeepalucky-but-lousyteamfromdethroning
astatisticallysuperiorteamis265.
Thestudyauthors,whospecializeinstudyingrandombehaviorin
complexmaterials,pluggedtheoddsoflow-seedteamsbeating
high-seedones,44%inbaseballoverthelastcentury,intoa
mathematicalmodelofatypicalseason.
Themoregamesplayed,thebetterthechancesthatthehigher
seededteamswillbecomechampions,accordingtothestudy.
Anditbecomeslesslikelythataweakteamwillweaselitswaytothetop.
ButtoensurethatthebestMajorLeagueBaseballteamwins,
alongerWorldSeries,say11games,wouldbemathematically
appropriate."Thesameistrueforothercompetitionsinarts,
scienceandpolitics,"writethestudyauthors.
Amoreefficientcompetitiveprocesswouldbetoschedulea
preliminaryseriesofcompetitionstoculltheobviouslybad
teams,andthenfollowwithalongerseasondevotedtoonlythegoodones.
"Inreallife,wehavetocompeteallthetime,rankpeople,
rankproposalsandotherthings,"Ben-Naimsays.Thestudy
suggestsamoreefficientapproachinsuchcaseswouldbeto
throwouttheworstcompetit.
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.227.225.89
討論串 (同標題文章)
完整討論串 (本文為第 1 之 3 篇):