Re: [新聞] 合理推估鋒仔單季27發

看板CCF作者rr444 (earth scrap)時間18年前 (2006/01/07 03:37)推噓6(6推 0噓 7→)

留言13則, 6人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)

※ 引述《rod007 (123)》之銘言： : 【記者王惠民／報導】 : 陳金鋒返國投入中華職棒，單季能敲出多少支全壘打，球迷都很想知道答案，若從他最近 : 四年在3A的表現來看，單季27支紅不讓是個合理的推估數字。 : 一般而言，國內職棒的水準，被評價為稍高於美國小聯盟2A，但仍不到3A的水準，而一般 : 長打型球員，在2A的全壘打單季產量，大約會比在3A多出八到十支左右。 : 陳金鋒最近四年，在道奇3A拉斯維加斯51區隊的全壘打產量都很穩定，2002和2003年都出 : 賽133場以上，全壘打同樣是26支，2004年只打81場就有20支，去年87場有15支。 : 以陳金鋒在3A具有單季26支全壘打的實力來看，來到大約是2A層級的中華職棒，應該可以 : 增加十支左右的產量，因此單季可以達到36支。 : 不過，中華職棒球季每年只有100場，不比陳金鋒在3A出賽的133場左右，因此折算比例， : 陳金鋒大約可以在中華職棒敲出單季27支全壘打。 : 當然，若以陳金鋒2004年只出賽81場，就敲出高達20支全壘打的3A表現來推論，他在中華 : 職棒單季將會有單季35發紅不讓的產量，不過，陳金鋒離開台灣已經七年，對國內職棒並 : 不熟悉，這個要求可能是太嚴苛了一點。 : 【2006/01/06 民生報】 I had been a basball player for more than ten years and I believe I know more knowledge in how to play baseball than most people. I had been watching A, AA, and MLB for more than 10 times in the U.S. according this experience, I have reason to believe that CPBL is more or less equivalent to AA. But people always argue the point some taiwanese players, even though their team is only A class or below, really outbeat those players who play in the CPBL in any respect. I totally agree with this point. But remember, most taiwanese players is the "hot babe" for those franchise who admire their ability to be a MLB star like what Wang did last year, paying the unaccountable amount of signing bonous and taking them to the other end of the pacific ocean. so, don't be surprise that they are so good because they already good enough or those teams would not sign them. so why those teams are so stupid, putting them in such a team that is not corrosponding to their ability? I can't actually answer the part. the reasonable response is that the teams think they are immature. in the long term speaking, it probably is a better method to train a baseball player to be a future star. to sum up, Hu, Chin-Lung is good, a prospect, an invaluable property for the Dodgers. what does matter is how good he can be!! a baseball team is composed of more than 20 guys no matter in waht side of the pacific ocean, so, besides the propects, there are other players who are not as good as them but the game needs them. I had been playing baseball 5 on 5 for a long time when I was a kid in the tiny alley by using our special rule, but do you thnk AA will play this way, letting 5 prospects play with another 5 prospects and call it a baseball game? no, i don't think so. so here is the point. how good is those roster fillers? according to my exeprience, I would say roster fillers (AA) are more or less equivalent to CPBL's lineup of each team. They made stuid mistakes like CPBL player, they never become a MLB star like CPBL player and they know their situation. so, the conclusion is : i believe CPBL champion team can compete with a regular AA team with less than 5 prospect, called MLB material. Any team in CPBL can defeat A in any kind of series gaming. when i hear people say CPBL's lineup player is worse than regualr A players, I just think, without disrepect, you guys have no ideas what you are talking about. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 128.59.150.27 ※ 編輯: rr444 來自: 128.59.150.27 (01/07 04:31)

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