Re: [農場] 2016 Top 20 prospects by John Sickels
※ 引述《Roawen (嘴砲型的效率)》之銘言：
: http://tinyurl.com/p8cs7va
: 沒有A的... 自我感覺前4個都有機會成為全星星啊
http://tinyurl.com/p8cs7va
John Sickels更新了之後加入的幾個新同學
2個A一個B+
1) Dansby Swanson, SS, Grade A: Age 22, first round pick by the Diamondbacks
in 2015 out of Vanderbilt, traded to Braves in Shelby Miller deal.
Outstanding across-the-board prospect with moderate power, good speed,
excellent strike zone judgment and line drive hitting ability, above-average
to excellent defense at shortstop, superior makeup. Won't need long in the
minors at all, should be long-term regular and potential All Star.
2) Sean Newcomb, LHP, Grade A-/B+: Age 22, acquired from Angels in Andrelton
Simmons trade, 2014 first-rounder out of Hartford, 2.38 ERA with 168/76 K/BB
in 136 innings with just 97 hits between Low-A, High-A, Double-A. Easy heat
in low/mid-90s with peaks at 98, plus curveball, change-up needs work but is
improving, stuff in general is usually overpowering. Needs tighter command,
potential top of rotation arm if he gets it.
3) Aaron Blair, RHP, Grade B+: Age 23, another component of Shelby Miller
deal, posted 2.92 ERA with 120/50 K/BB in 160 innings between Double-A and
Triple-A, workhorse build at 6-5, 230, heavy plus fastball can hit 94-95,
good change-up, curveball has steadily improved. Will be ready for a trial
this year, potential number three starter.
: 4) Hector Olivera, 3B-OF, Grade B+: Cuban defector traded from the Dodgers,
: age 30, expected to take regular spot in Braves lineup. Tough call,
: performance wasn’t great but he was working off two years of rust, while
: adapting to a new culture, while fighting injuries, while playing at seven
: different stops in the space of four months. I think you have to give him
: some slack for that. I’m not sure how well he will age, but my guess is that
: in the short run he will (if health allows) be an above-average hitter, say
: .280 with 18 homers and a reasonable OBP in a full season. Currently hitting
: well in Puerto Rico. Position unclear at this time, was supposed to be a
: third baseman but now it sounds like he will be an outfielder.
: 5) Kolby Allard, LHP, Grade B+: Age 18, first round pick in 2015, fanned 12
: with zero walks in six rookie ball innings working his way back from stress
: injury in back, would have gone much earlier in draft if not for that. Plus
: fastball, plus curve, could move very quickly. Can make a good case for
: number one.
: 6) Ozzie Albies, SS, Grade B+: Hit .310/.368/.404 with 29 steals in Low-A at
: age 18, not much power yet but that’s nitpicking given the total package,
: athleticism, makeup, youth. You can make a good case to have him number one
: and ultimately I may go there depending on what happens with Olivera over the
: winter.
: 7) Austin Riley, 3B, Grade B: Age 18, supplemental pick in 2015 draft, hit
: .255/.331/.500 in GCL then .351/.443/.586 in Appy League, combined for 12
: homers. Whiff rate is rather high but power is genuine, he makes an effort to
: control the zone and he has a chance to be a complete hitter, needs more
: defensive polish but that should come if he doesn’t gain too much weight.
: 8) Lucas Sims, RHP, Grade B: Still just 21, erratic but finished well in
: Double-A, will hold same aggressive grade as last year, still needs to refine
: change-up and overall command to go with impressive fastball and curve.
: 9) Mike Soroka, RHP, Grade B: Age 18, Canadian drafted in first round, posted
: 37/5 K/BB in 34 innings in rookie ball, doesn’t throw quite as hard as Sims
: but more polished compared to Sims at same age, very good curve, low-90s
: heat.
: 10) Touki Toussaint, RHP, Grade B/B-: Age 19, Arizona’s first round pick in
: 2014 unexpectedly traded to Braves last June, highest ceiling right-handed
: arm in system. This is an aggressive grade not backed up by the metrics at
: this point, notably a poor 39/33 K/BB after the trade. High risk. Beware. But
: if it works out. . .
: 11) Mallex Smith, OF, Grade B/B-: Age 22, stole 57 bases between Double-A and
: Triple-A hitting combined .306/.373/.386. Lacks home run power but makes
: contact and uses his blazing speed very well. Optimistic take: Ben
: Revere/Michael Bourn/Juan Pierre category of player. Pessimistic take: Jarrod
: Dyson type reserve.
: 12) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, still love the arm and athleticism
: but growing concerned about poor component ratios, 88/61 K/BB in 138 innings
: in high minors. Seems strange to rank him behind Touki since Jenkins has been
: at higher levels, but TJ is still relatively unpolished, doesn’t have quite
: the same upside as TT, and is four years older now. Check comments section
: below for more thoughts on Jenkins.
: 13) Zachary Bird, RHP, Grade B-: Age 21, acquired from Dodgers, electric
: right arm with upside similar to Jenkins but similar issues with consistency
: and command, 4.69 ERA with 103/60 K/BB in 102 innings in 2015, mostly in
: High-A.
: 14) Braxton Davidson, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 19, hit .242/.381/.374 with 10
: homers, 84 walks, 135 strikeouts in 401 at-bats in Low-A. Has not produced
: expected home run power but very patient, perhaps too patient. Still young
: enough to tap his strength of course.
: 15) Max Fried, LHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 21, missed season with Tommy John. Wild
: guess on placement. Some like him as high as seven but some think he was
: over-rated even before he got hurt.
: 16) Ronald Acuna, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 17, hit .269/.380/.438 with four
: homers, 16 steals, 28 walks, 42 strikeouts in 201 at-bats split between GCL
: and Appy. Solid across-the-board numbers with scouting reports that are very
: positive regarding overall tools and good polish for his age. Some risk that
: he could be a tweener, but off to a good start. Aggressive grade.
: 17) John Gant, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, acquired from Mets, doesn’t have stuff
: of the guys ahead of him but he is efficient, throws strikes, eats innings,
: 3.08 ERA with 134/50 K/BB in 140 innings, finished strongly in Double-A after
: the trade (1.99, 43/14 in 41). Non-zero chance he turns into Collin McHugh
: type.
18) Chris Ellis, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, part of the Simmons deal with Angels,
3.90 ERA with 132/63 K/BB in 141 innings between High-A and Double-A,
slightly above-average fastball in low-90s, good change-up, curveball erratic
but good at times, needs general command sharpening. Another workhorse
possibility, could also relieve.
: 19) Manny Banuelos, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, hasn’t lived up to hype generated
: with Yankees, shut down early with more elbow problems. My guess is that he’
: s a reliever long-term.
: 20) Josh Graham, RHP, Grade C+: Age 22, fourth round pick from University of
: Oregon, converted catcher showed surprising polish given lack of pitching
: experience, 2.60 with 21/3 in 17 innings in rookie ball. Need to see at
: higher levels and long-term role unclear, but a definite sleeper to track.
: 21) Juan Yepez, 1B-3B, Grade C+: Age 17, very impressive rookie ball debut,
: hit .299/.364/.458 with 22 walks, 55 whiffs in 201 at-bats. Defense needs
: work, contact may be an issue at higher levels but off to an excellent start.
: Possibly the highest ceiling bat other than Riley in the system.
: 22) Lucas Herbert, C, Grade C+: Second round pick, Kolby Allard’s
: batterymate in high school, tore meniscus in third pro game but should be
: okay for spring. Strong defensive reputation and a chance to hit for some
: power, stock will certainly rise if that happens.
: 23) Rio Ruiz, 3B, Grade C+/C: Age 21, hit disappointing .233/.333/.324 in
: Double-A, drew 63 walks but just five homers. Erratic, productive in June
: (.310/.424/.380) and August (.302/.353/.481) but well below Mendoza Line in
: May and July. At times he looks excellent with a pretty swing and a good eye.
: Other times his swing gets out of whack, too mechanical. This has been his
: pattern since Low-A.
: 24) Andrew Thurman, RHP, Grade C+/C: Age 23, pitched pretty well in High-A
: (3.77, 43/11 in 57) but control slipped after moving up to Double-A (14/16 in
: 24, 5.18). Scouting reports remain more impressive than numbers. I bet he
: becomes a reliever eventually.
: OTHER GRADE C+: Derian Cruz, SS; Luke Dykstra, 2B; Connor Lien, OF; Ricardo
: Sanchez, LHP, Rob Whalen, RHP; Isranel Wilson, OF
: OTHERS OF NOTE: Jason Hursh, RHP; Kyle Kinman, LHP; Jonathan Morales, C;
: Christian Pache, OF; Wes Parsons, RHP; Dustin Peterson, OF; Randy Ventura,
: OF; Ryan Weber, RHP; Dan Winkler RHP
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