Re: [討論] 2004雅典奧運銀牌澳洲有多強？

看板Baseball作者chendd (限りなき願い)時間2年前 (2021/08/07 15:15)推噓5(5推 0噓 3→)

留言8則, 7人參與討論串3/3 (看更多)

2004雅典奧運澳洲隊名單 Name Birthday B T Pos Club (Level) Craig Anderson 30.10.80 L L LHP SEA (AAA) Tom Brice 24.08.81 L L IF CWS (A+) Adrian Burnside 15.03.77 R L LHP DET (AAA) Gavin Fingleson 05.08.76 S R IF New Haven County (Indy) Paul Gonzales 22.04.69 L R OF Former Padres (AAA) Nick Kimpton 27.10.83 L L OF ANA (A+) Brendan Kingman 22.05.73 R R IF Former Mariners (AA) Craig Lewis 30.12.76 R R IF Brockton Rox (Indy) Graeme Lloyd 09.04.67 L L LHP Former Royals (MLB) David Nilsson 14.12.69 L R C ATL (AAA) Trent Oeltjen 28.02.83 L L OF MIN (A+) Wayne Ough 27.11.78 R R RHP NYM (AA) Chris Oxspring 13.05.77 R L RHP SDP (AAA) Brett Roneberg 05.02.79 L L OF BOS (AA) Ryan Rowland-Smith 26.01.83 L L LHP SEA (A+) John Stephens 15.11.79 R R RHP BOS (AAA) Phil Stockman 25.01.80 R R RHP ARI (AAA) Brett Tamburrino 10.11.81 S R IF MIN (A+) Richard Thompson 01.07.84 R R RHP ANA (A+) Andrew Utting 09.09.77 S R C Former Orioles (AAA) Rodney Van Buizen 25.09.80 R R IF LAD (A+) Jeff Williams 06.06.72 L L LHP Hanshin Tigers (NPB) Glenn Williams 18.07.77 S R IF TOR (AAA) Ben Wigmore 17.01.82 R R C N/A 數據專家 Clay Davenport 計算雅典奧運各隊EqA Bat Pitch Average Japan .315 .328 .322 .318(MLB) Cuba .280 .325 .304 .289(AAA) Australia .270 .278 .274 .271(AA) Canada .253 .280 .267 Taiwan .241 .282 .261 .261(A+) .232(A) Greece .235 .222 .229 Netherlands .237 .209 .224 .212(A-) Italy .208 .204 .206 .201(R) 為何澳洲能在奧運二度擊敗日本? Davenport認為有兩個重點： 1.不到MLB水準的投手落差很大，在一場定決勝負的比賽，投手扮演很關鍵的角色 2.以Davenport估算數據，澳洲贏日本的機率有3成，這個機率不算太低，連贏2場是可能的 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aht2r7q4VIs