Re: [新聞] Stats point to no tipping by A-Rod
※ 引述《dvsmatix (444)》之銘言:
: 來源:
: mlb.com: http://0rz.tw/dbOm7
: Slugger performed worse during blowouts than close games
: By Ed Eagle / MLB.com
: 05/17/09 10:49 AM ET
: While Alex Rodriguez's admission that he used performance-enhancing drugs
: during his tenure with the Texas Rangers ignited a media firestorm, the
: allegations by author Selena Roberts in her recent book, "A-Rod: The Many
: Lives of Alex Rodriguez," that the slugger was tipping pitches to middle
: infielders on opposing teams during blowouts were viewed by many as a greater
: blow to the integrity of the game.
在Selena Roberts爆出A-ROD有使用增強表現的藥物之後
又爆出A-ROD會打暗號給對手(對方二游)
: According to a report in the New York Times, an analysis of Rodriguez's
: statistics from 2001-03, and those of opposing middle infielders during that
: period, seem to indicate that Rodriguez was not tipping pitches. Or, at the
: very least, that any pitch-tipping that was done was extremely ineffective
: and counterproductive.
根據NY-TIMES的分析 似乎沒有打暗號的問題
或是說 打暗號根本沒用
: Using a statistical device known as Leverage Index, which was developed by
: Tom Tango, the author of, "The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball,"
: Sean Forman of baseball-reference.com compiled data which showed Rodriguez
: actually performed better during high-pressure situations than during the
: low-pressure situations associated with blowouts.
用來分析的工具Leverage Index 是Tom Tango提出的
Sean Forman 研究指出A-ROD在高壓力的球賽中表現的比較好(跟大比分球賽比的話)
也就是說A-RDO心臟比較大顆
: How does Leverage Index work? According to an example in The Times article, a
: hit to lead off the top of the first (an L.I. of 1) has one-third the
: significance of a hit with the bases loaded and none out in the top of the
: fifth with the home team leading by two (an L.I. of 3), and three times the
: impact of a hit with the bases empty and two outs in the bottom of the sixth
: with the visitors leading by four (an L.I. of 0.33).
介紹Leverage Index這個工具
: Although the formula is not exactly as simple as determining a batting
: average, ERA or OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging), it nonetheless
: provides a basis for comparing Rodriguez's success rate in situations of
: varying pressures.
雖然Leverage Index不能計算出ERA或OPS
但還是可以比較A-ROD的在不同壓力下的表現
: Forman's research showed that Rodriguez's OPS from 2001-03 was 1.076 in
: high-leverage situations, 1.017 in medium-leverage situations and .982 in
: low-leverage situations. The data was similar for opposing middle infielders:
: an .899 OPS in high-leverage situations, .825 in the middle-leverage
: situations and .817 in low-leverage situations.
Forman研究數據 A-ROD跟對手的OPS比較
A-ROD 對手
高壓 1.076 0.899
中壓 1.017 0.825
低壓 0.982 0.817
: Forman also found that Rodriguez's OPS dropped to .851 when he batted in
: games where the team's were separated by seven runs or more, as compared to a
: 1.021 OPS when the team's were within six runs of each other. Opposing second
: basemen and shortstops posted a .744 OPS in seven-runs-plus games, and an
: .840 OPS in all other situations.
另一個數據 依球隊分數來算
A-ROD 對手(對方二游)
7+ 0.851 0.744
6分內 1.021 0.840
譯者總結:
別再相信A-ROD關鍵時刻很鳥了
不過 這篇跟打暗號似乎又扯不上關聯
A-ROD最近窮到只剩下HR
如果翻譯有錯 麻煩指教 謝謝!!
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