[新聞] 為何房價不崩盤? 竟是「錯覺」惹得禍
為何房價不崩盤? 竟是「錯覺」惹得禍
好房News 2016/03/15 20:08(4天前)
好房網News記者賈蓉/整理報導
法拍潮來襲,就是「房價大崩盤」的時候嗎?
知名投資客帥過頭表示,在房市多頭期間,
法拍價格不太具有市場意義,
但在買方當道的市況下,法拍價就會變得「非常有意義」,
會出現一種價格的「錯覺」,讓民眾覺得房價根本沒有下跌。
想等「法拍潮」撿便宜的人,恐怕要失望了!
知名投資客帥過頭在其LINE表示,
由於法拍屋的價格並不是正常的市價,
因此多數的房價指數沒有採納此類交易,但是這樣的作法將
會使得買方出現價格認知的「錯覺」。
帥過頭說明,在房市多頭期間,
法拍屋多半是因屋主個人的財務問題,
造成本息無法正常繳出,因此這類價格「不太有」市場意義;
反之,當房價下跌時,法拍價格變得「非常有
」市場意義,因為市場中的價格仍保留在市況較好時的「最近一次成交價」,
再加上市價沒有納入法拍價格,就會讓大眾產生一種價格一直沒有下跌的感覺。
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我昨天po出關於我認為之後法拍屋會造成房價不斷下跌的感受,
其實就是接續帥大這個說法,
他說的前段,而我說的是後段,
因為法拍價雖然沒有列入實價登錄,
但這些標到比市價低的多的法拍案的公司,
再轉賣要獲利時,就會需要在實價登錄,
而因為成本低將本求利,
為求快速獲利入袋,這些公司會用比市價低的價格來加快成交速度,
又因為目前市場幾乎無量,
這些由法拍轉賣低賣的案件就會對房價舉足輕重,
法拍案不用多,只要一直有供給,
房價就會因此不斷下滑,
造成買法拍轉售案的“多”,變房價下跌的禍首....
ps.以上只是我個人看法,
昨天那個說“點交的法拍屋都平行情價成交”大笑話的k大,
請不要來喔~~~~哈哈哈
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