Re: [外電] Grading The Deal: Wolves Add Beasley …
※ 引述《jerod (KG4MVP)》之銘言：
: http://0rz.tw/2ul8y
: David Kahn and the Wolves were on the receiving end of the Heat unburdening
: themselves of Michael Beasley and his $4.962 million contract for the 10-11
: season, which created the necessary cap space for Mike Miller. Since
: Minnesota was not required to send an asset of significance in return for
: Beasley and used their own cap space to absorb the contract, there is really
: no potential downside.
卡總從熱火撿來Beasley的中約，也給熱火簽下M.Miller的薪資空間。
好在沒有其他球員涉及交易，所以這筆交易並不會造成灰狼額外的損失。
: For better or worse, players picked in the top-five are almost never traded
: after just two seasons. Teams tend to want to justify the decision by
: investing minute after minute of floor time to those players, giving them
: every chance in the world to succeed. Miami would have continued with Beasley
: as well, but the special circumstances of their summer made him a redundancy.
儘管樂透難料，頭五順位入選的球員很少在生涯頭兩年就被交易。就算被交易，原東家
也會儘量為新星們選擇比較有未來性的球隊。
熱火本來會應該幫Beasley好好設想未來的，但今年的歡樂一夏讓Beasley搖身一變成為
冗員。
: Picking Beasley obviously was a mistake for the Heat, but it was one that
: would have been made by 29 other teams put in their position. The Heat would
: be perfectly setup if they had Brook Lopez at center to play with their Big
: 3, but that is the most idealistic use of hindsight imaginable.
事後諸葛，熱火選Beasley很明顯就選錯人了。但不論是哪隊湊齊LCD，都不會把Beasley
放在眼裡。如果早知道LCD會合體，熱火肯定會乖乖選B.Lopez，天造地設哪！
: While the Raptors were uninterested in Beasley in a sign-and-trade for Chris
: Bosh, preferring the traded player exception and picks, the Bobcats and were
: absolutely interested in giving him a new start. The Rockets also might have
: been interested, but it is difficult to determine his true market since the
: Heat were only interested in sending him out free and clear. What we do know
: about his market is that it was absolutely soft regardless of how it is spun;
: if the Bulls were desperate to clear cap space for the Big 3 and wanted to
: shed Derrick Rose for example, we do know they would have had many more teams
: interested and multiple unprotected first rounders would be offered.
然而暴龍對Beasley <-> Bosh的合約交易沒興趣，寧願換順位和TE。
山貓和火箭都有興趣，但熱火只想清爽除掉Beasley，因此很難做出合適的交易。
我們只知道Beasley的市價不貴但卻有下跌的可能，相對來說，若是公牛打算出清Rose
組合三巨頭，那有興趣的球隊可能就更多了。
: But Minnesota is undoubtedly receiving a talented player, who won't turn 22
: until after the first of the year. In terms of pure basketball ability, I
: still think he is the best player from the 2008 Draft, but there are several
: things working against him.
: 1. He is a classic tweener.
: 2. He has suffered from depression drug addiction.
無論如何，灰狼都撿到了一支潛力股，再放一年也才22歲。
純以球技而言，筆者仍認為他是08年的最佳新秀。但以下兩點卻一定要看說明書：
1.他是典型的搖擺人。
2.他嗑藥。
: The former is a bigger concern from Minnesota's perspective than the latter,
: because Beasley is absolutely not a Chris Washburn case. He is a good kid who
: has had a very high opinion of himself for years and the past year has
: sobered him up metaphorically and literally.
第一項對灰狼而言比第二項值得令人關注，畢竟Beasley並不像C.Washburn的沉淪
（早期NBA的大毒蟲）。他是個很有主見的乖孩子:)，過去一年更好比是他酒醒的一年。
: I remember speaking to Beasley while he was still in high school and he came
: across as insufferably arrogant, but he backed it up completely at Kansas
: State.
我還記得當他高中時那自負的德性，但他進Kansas大學後就好多了。
: Beasley hasn't completely backed it up while in the NBA, but his first two
: seasons need to be put into a proper perspective. His rookie PER was 17.2 and
: it dropped to 16.1 this past season. The reason for the decline was largely
: predicated on his struggles with his jumper. He is a good pure shooter, but
: his game is predicated on confidence and that disappeared this past season.
: Beasley is a high volume shooter and it is difficult for any coach to justify
: his usage when his eFG% is 46.3%. Depending on how Kurt Rambis plays Beasley,
: I expect that to immediately look like an outlier and he will become a 52.0%
: eFG% scorer at the very least.
Beasley進NBA後還沒發揮100%的戰鬥力，但他頭兩年的表現堪稱規矩。由於喪失信心，
他的場均績效從新人年的17.2滑落至16.1，跳投表現不盡理想是主因。他是個不錯的射手
以eFG46.3%的水準實在很難讓教練去改變他的得分方式。就看Rambis如何調教Beasley了
我期待新的角色會讓他的eFG%至少進步到52.0%。
: If there is a path Beasley could optimistically look at, it would certainly
: be Chauncey Billups. The Celtics drafted Billups third overall in 1997, but
: traded him during his rookie season to the Raptors for Kenny Anderson. He was
: quickly traded to his hometown Nuggets, who eventually dealt him to the
: Magic. A big part of why he bounced around was injuries, but clearly multiple
: teams gave up on the talent he showed in Boulder.
或許Beasley看到C.Billups的案例會高興一點。槍西在1997被超賽以第三順位選中，
卻在新人年就被交易到暴龍，然後又被送到金塊，最後落腳魔術。雖然傷勢是他不斷
被交易的原因，但很明顯這些球隊都未正視到他在Boulder顯露的天份。
: In a more nuanced way, I see a lot of similarities between Beasley and Chris
: Mullin. They are both incredibly pure scorers, lefties and Mullin nearly
: drank his way out of the NBA during the early part of his career. Beasley is
: a little bit bigger and a much better rebounder, but I think Beasley's game
: has the most upside if he plays similar to Mullin stylistically. This would
: mean he becomes more of a small forward, though he certainly is capable of
: playing the point forward hybrid we see from Lamar Odom in the Triangle.
就細節而言，我發現Beasley與Chris Mullin（左撇神射）有很多相似處。
他們都是純得分手，左手的優勢讓Mullin在NBA殺出一條血路，雖然Beasley不但漢草
更好及更佳的籃板能力，但若他以Mullin的風格打球，想必能更上層樓。
也就是說，Beasley可從小前鋒出發，朝向Lamor Odam在三角戰術中扮演的混血前鋒邁進
。
: Despite its simplicity, this easily has the potential of becoming David
: Kahn's best move as GM.
不消說，這是卡總身為GM以來做過最好的交易...
（以下是今夏交易評等，偷懶略過。）
: Grade for Wolves: A
: I think the Triangle is a good system for Beasley eventually, but I worry
: about how long it will take him to learn it. He would be more likely to make
: an immediate impact if he had been traded to the Raptors, or the Rockets, but
: it is a situation that should benefit him in the long run.
: Grade for Beasley: B
: Miami accomplished its goal, so trading Beasley for nothing is simply the
: cost of doing business. But there has to be an uneasiness and a sense of
: regret in trading away a second overall pick just two years into his career.
: Even Darko Milicic, Beasley's new teammate, lasted two and a half seasons
: before the Pistons traded him to the Magic and they at least received a first
: round pick back in return.
: Grade for Heat: C+
: The Wolves have also added Luke Ridnour, signing him to a four-year, $16
: million contract. I've been a mild Kahn apologist, waiting on him to finish
: cooking the meal before questioning the manner in which he's mixing up the
: ingredients. But if we are to equate point guards broccoli, how much broccoli
: is really needed?
: This signing is baffling for a big grab bag of reasons:
: 1. Ridnour is 29 and on the back side of his career, while the Wolves are
: clearly rebuilding with youngsters.
: 2. Will the Wolves be comfortable going three-deep at point guard when Ricky
: Rubio comes over, or will Minnesota trade either Johnny Flynn or Ridnour
: before then?
: 3. Ridnour is coming off an outlier of a season, posting a PER of 17.7,
: whereas he was at 13.7, 11.3 and 12.9 in the previous three seasons. The
: reason for the jump was his eFG% of 52.8%, easily a career high, beating his
: 46.8% in 06-07.
: 4. Signing Ridnour makes trading Ramon Sessions even more difficult.
: 5. Ridnour is more of a pick-and-roll point guard and not what is needed to
: run the Triangle.
: Kahn appeared to sign Sessions last summer in a 'why not' move and grabbing
: Ridnour feels identical. He appears to be completely in asset compilation
: mode, but the problem with Ridnour is he represents an asset with a fast
: approaching expiration date.
: Grade for Wolves: D+
: Ridnour's market wasn't as lucrative as he might have been expecting, but at
: least this deal will let him play out the remaining seasons of his
: non-veteran's minimum seasons making more than twice as much. My biggest
: recommendation for Ridnour would be to rent in Minneapolis, because he'll
: probably be traded well before the 2012 Presidential election.
: Grade for Ridnour: B
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 118.167.134.3
推
07/22 17:33, , 1F
07/22 17:33, 1F
→
07/22 21:24, , 2F
07/22 21:24, 2F
推
07/23 01:04, , 3F
07/23 01:04, 3F