[新聞] 完美風暴雷大雨小 魔鬼兔軟腳 預報挨批失準
完美風暴 雷大雨小 魔鬼兔軟腳 預報挨批失準
被喻為史上第二強的「完美風暴」天兔颱風,雖然昨天凌晨暴風圈從花東撞進南台灣,各
地風雨漸增,但威力卻不如預期。不少網友直呼「無感」,認為氣象局預報再度失準。氣
象局回應,「颱風強度不能跟災情畫上等號」,且東半部累積雨量確實不容小覷,預報仍
在誤差範圍內。
天兔颱風來勢洶洶,被美國CNN喻為地表最強風暴,有媒體給它取了「魔鬼兔」的
稱號。但昨天一整天,台灣西半部風雨不如預期,北台灣甚至沒什麼雨。有網友說,連
高雄都無風無雨,「黃色小鴨白洩氣了!」
「到底有沒有颱風?」不少網友上網PO文,「說好的颱風呢?」還有網友KUSO形容
,美國CNN報導的颱風新聞,快跟「英國研究」一樣不能相信了。每一個颱風都說是「史
上最強風暴」,但每次都是「狼來了」。
東台灣風雨不容小覷
不過也有網友表示,花東、屏東墾丁風雨真的很強,大家不要當「天龍人」,只從
台北看天下。且沒有災情是好事,要感謝天兔一路偏南,讓台灣災情減輕。
對天兔颱風「雷聲大雨點小」,似乎有莫非效應,凡氣象局預報要提高警覺的颱風
,颱風就會不如預期。氣象局表示,天兔在東半部的雨量風力還是不容小覷,發言的網友
可能是住在西半部、颱風風雨較小地區的民眾。
颱風強度不等於災情
氣象局預報中心課長陳怡良說,天兔颱風的強度,的確是近20年來、僅次於道格颱
風的強颱。加上結構完整,3天內從輕颱發展成強颱,堪稱「完美風暴」。但「颱風強度
不能跟災情畫上等號」,加上路徑南偏約50公里,破壞力強的暴風圈離台灣較遠,瞬間致
災性的暴雨陣風對台灣影響也較小。
颱風路徑在誤差範圍
至於颱風南偏的原因?氣象局預報中心課長陳怡良表示,受到北方高氣壓導引,雙
方勢力差異,讓天兔路徑稍微偏南,但仍在誤差範圍內。氣象局原本就預估天兔路徑將從
恆春半島以南、巴士海峽北面通過,如今路徑更往南偏,也讓原本在暴風圈內的彰化、台
中脫離陸警範圍。
氣象局預測天兔侵台路徑好比2003年杜鵑颱風的翻版。陳怡良表示,每一個颱風都
是獨立個體,氣象局從不建議媒體去類比。至於天兔後方、原在關島海面上的熱帶性低氣
壓,昨也增強為今年第20號颱風,中文譯名為「帕布」,但距台灣還很遠,且研判會往日
本前進,不會影響台灣。
http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/11050105/112013092200068.html
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