[情報] 日本地震海嘯

看板TY_Research作者 (混沌的大氣)時間13年前 (2011/03/11 15:27), 編輯推噓13(13推 0噓 23→)
留言36則, 21人參與, 最新討論串1/1
剛剛看到太平洋海嘯中心發的海嘯警報如下： http://www.weather.gov/ptwc/?region=1&id=pacific.2011.03.11.064306 WEPA40 PHEB 110643 TSUPAC TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002 PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS ISSUED AT 0643Z 11 MAR 2011 THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA... WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA. ... A TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ... A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAPAN / RUSSIA / MARCUS IS. / N. MARIANAS / GUAM / WAKE IS. / TAIWAN A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR YAP / PHILIPPINES / MARSHALL IS. / BELAU / MIDWAY IS. / POHNPEI / CHUUK / KOSRAE / INDONESIA / PAPUA NEW GUINEA / NAURU / JOHNSTON IS. / SOLOMON IS. / KIRIBATI / HAWAII FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME. THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 0546Z 11 MAR 2011 COORDINATES - 38.2 NORTH 142.5 EAST DEPTH - 10 KM LOCATION - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN MAGNITUDE - 8.8 (中略...) LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME TAIWAN HUALIEN 24.0N 121.7E 0932Z 11 MAR HUALIEN 24.0N 121.6E 0933Z 11 MAR TAITUNG 22.7N 121.2E 0936Z 11 MAR CHILUNG 25.2N 121.8E 1004Z 11 MAR 今天傍晚盡量避免至海邊活動會比較安全 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.67.77
推
03/11 15:30, , 1F
不知道中央氣象會怎麼應變 沒看過CWB做這類的措施
03/11 15:30, 1F
推
03/11 15:31, , 2F
氣象局發布海嘯警報了
03/11 15:31, 2F
推
03/11 15:32, , 3F
8.8 10km..
03/11 15:32, 3F
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03/11 15:33, , 4F
新聞寫8.9?
03/11 15:33, 4F
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03/11 15:38, , 5F
怪了..台中9:36分到，但基隆卻是10:04？..
03/11 15:38, 5F
推
03/11 15:44, , 6F
台東吧@@
03/11 15:44, 6F
推
03/11 15:45, , 7F
那是台東吧，但基隆比較晚大概是圓周的關係吧
03/11 15:45, 7F
推
03/11 15:47, , 8F
在台東的親友被緊急撤離了0.0
03/11 15:47, 8F
推
03/11 15:55, , 9F
氣象局解釋 是因為到基隆的是走台灣海峽 較淺
03/11 15:55, 9F
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03/11 15:55, , 10F
速度慢
03/11 15:55, 10F
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03/11 15:56, , 11F
台東 花蓮外海比較深 會有影響嗎??
03/11 15:56, 11F
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03/11 15:56, , 12F
講錯 走大陸棚的淺海 不是台灣海峽XD
03/11 15:56, 12F
推
03/11 15:58, , 13F
海嘯到基隆高度不知多少?傍晚要出門上班怕被影響....
03/11 15:58, 13F
推
03/11 16:01, , 14F
請問離島會受到很大的影響嘛?
03/11 16:01, 14F
推
03/11 16:15, , 15F
對啊~蘭嶼跟綠島上的人@@!
03/11 16:15, 15F
推
03/11 16:19, , 16F
日本氣象廳是說兩m以下
03/11 16:19, 16F
推
03/11 16:51, , 17F
0830z時新一報校正到0940z
03/11 16:51, 17F
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03/11 16:51, , 18F
0940z到達台灣花蓮
03/11 16:51, 18F
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03/11 17:02, , 19F
這個...或許到地科板會更適合吧?
03/11 17:02, 19F
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03/11 18:10, , 20F
對於國際上連續地震,氣象局這次該不會又要跳出來說
03/11 18:10, 20F
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03/11 18:10, , 21F
彼此毫無關連吧 每次看到這種說法就氣!
03/11 18:10, 21F
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03/11 18:13, , 22F
科學就是沒證據前不能下定論 只能推論可能
03/11 18:13, 22F
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03/11 18:13, , 23F
但官方單位對於這些推論必須很謹慎 不然會有爭議
03/11 18:13, 23F
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03/11 22:11, , 24F
所以我其實不了解樓樓樓上在氣什麼?
03/11 22:11, 24F
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03/12 01:04, , 25F
嗯……對啊 不知km大覺得應該是怎樣才對？
03/12 01:04, 25F
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03/12 20:17, , 26F
我只是覺得語氣不該那麼篤定,畢竟國際上強震的確是
03/12 20:17, 26F
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03/12 20:19, , 27F
經常接連發生,且我們對地震現象還沒有研究透徹的情況
03/12 20:19, 27F
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03/12 20:20, , 28F
下,加上科學上要聲明二事件無關,一樣也要有證據,所以
03/12 20:20, 28F
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03/12 20:22, , 29F
不該篤定地說二者無關,而應該說目前沒有證據
03/12 20:22, 29F
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03/12 20:22, , 30F
指出二者有關
03/12 20:22, 30F
推
03/13 13:53, , 31F
不過，如果氣象局依定要對關聯性的問題做出回應時，
03/13 13:53, 31F
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03/13 13:53, , 32F
氣象局能用淺白的語言告訴民眾說，科學無法證明
03/13 13:53, 32F
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03/13 13:54, , 33F
兩事件有關聯，也無法證明無關連嗎？
03/13 13:54, 33F
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03/13 13:57, , 34F
或者說，氣象局應該怎麼說才能說明經驗歸納與預測
03/13 13:57, 34F
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03/13 13:58, , 35F
兩者間不是完全等同，但又不會被指責其存在的價值？
03/13 13:58, 35F
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08/13 21:54, , 36F
嗯……對啊 不知km大 https://noxiv.com
08/13 21:54, 36F
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