[情報]第四級颶風古斯塔夫

看板TY_Research作者ALPHONSE2501 (ALPHONSE2501)時間15年前 (2008/08/31 04:43)推噓5(5推 0噓 7→)

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沒有注意到二十三報故只針對二十四號特別報告 ------------------------------------- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Gustav_(2008) In advisory #23 at 11:00 a.m EDT on August 30, Gustav was upgraded to a Category 3 hurricane on the SSHS scale (described as a "dangerous category three") [20] with sustained winds near 125 mph (195 km/h),[20] as it neared the west end of Cuba (including the Havana section). In special advisory number 24 it strengthened further into an "Extremely Dangerous" Category 4 hurricane early that afternoon.[21] 在八月三十日東岸時間十一時的第二十三報,古斯塔夫以升級為SSHS分級的三級颶風(形容 "危險的三級")帶著時速近一二五哩持續風速, 當她接近古巴西邊(包含哈瓦那區). 在今午稍早的第二十四號特別報告指出她已更加增強到"極端危險"第四級颶風 http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/al07/al072008.public_a.022.shtml ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 800 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008 ..... DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER WESTERN CUBA AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...AND COULD REACH CATEGORY FOUR STATUS BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL THERE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. ..... 000 WTNT42 KNHC 301823 TCDAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008 SO MUCH FOR A SLOWDOWN IN THE INTENSIFICATION RATE OF GUSTAV. YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME WE CONVEYED THAT RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN WAS POSSIBLE...BUT THIS IS A LITTLE MORE THAN WHAT WE HAD IN MIND IN SUCH A SHORT TIME. THE HURRICANE HAS REACHED CATEGORY FOUR STATUS WITH AN INTENSITY OF 125 KT...HAVING BEEN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM JUST ABOUT 24 HOURS AGO. THE MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND VALUE IS BASED ON A FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND AT 700 MB OF 141 KT...SINCE THE 90 PERCENT ADJUSTMENT TO THE SURFACE USUALLY WORKS RATHER WELL FOR INTENSIFYING MAJOR HURRICANES. THE AIRCRAFT FIXES INDICATE THAT A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION HAS RESUMED...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/12...RIGHT ALONG THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK. NO CHANGES TO THE 1500 UTC FORECAST TRACK HAVE BEEN MADE...BUT THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD THROUGH 96 HOURS. GUSTAV COULD INTENSIFY SOME MORE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVER WATER...AND ONE CANNOT RULE OUT CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY BEFORE CROSSING CUBA. THE FORECAST NOW CALLS FOR A PEAK AT 140 KT...CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY...OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WHERE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT WILL STILL BE HIGH...FOLLOWED BY A VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WHERE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IS LESS. SO MUCH FOR A SLOWDOWN IN THE INTENSIFICATION RATE OF GUSTAV. 昨日此時我們表達了快速增強是可能的...但這筆我們想的時間還要更短. 颶風帶著一二五節的強度已接近到第四級狀態...在二十四小時前還只是個熱帶風暴. 最大表面風速值是根據一四一節的七零零毫巴飛行高度風...SINCE THE 90 PERCENT ADJUSTMENT TO THE SURFACE USUALLY WORKS RATHER WELL FOR INTENSIFYING MAJOR HURRICANES. 飛機定位指出西北運動已重啟...以及起始運動推估為三一五度/十二浬...剛好在前次預報的路徑上. 尚未對一五零零世界時的預報路徑做出改變...但強度預報已上修直到九十六小時. 古斯塔夫可能在接下來數小時再加強些... 以及不能排除在通過古巴前以第五級颶風之態出現. 現在預報報出一四零節的尖峰 ... 第五級強度... 位於南灣區海洋熱容將會依然高溫...之後在北灣區海熱容低的海域逐漸的減弱 -- Geheimer Wetter- und Seeschlüssel der Kriegsmarine Teil 2 Watterkurzschlüssel (3 Auflage) Oberkommando de Kriegsmarine Berlin 1942 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 71.108.243.61

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