[標的] 大盤不會那麼快崩崩吧
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1. 標的:大盤,全押0050
2. 分類:多
3. 分析/正文:
我認為....我認為啦,
吹過泡泡的人,可以觀察到一個現象,
泡泡越大,泡泡水在表面形成的顏色就越燦爛、炫麗,但也越容易破掉,
破掉前的一瞬間,是泡泡最漂亮的時候,
同理,當大家都沈迷於經濟上漲時,才有可能有「突發」的狀況導致泡沫化,
哪些突發狀況,就算事先有徵兆,也是輕微的沒人會去注意,
但當市場大家都意識到「可能會有」泡沫化時,反而就不會出現了,
經濟學有個理論,比方全國人民都預期米酒下半年即將大漲,即使原料、供應端、政策端
都沒問題,但米酒最後一定會100%地如期上漲,
因為消費者預期漲而大肆購買囤貨,
而生產者預期會大漲而惜售囤積,
需求增加或供給減少,都會造成價格上漲,
最後米酒就真的會漲了。
反之,
人人都預期經濟會崩崩時,大家變得保守觀望,
沒有繼續吹氣的動力,泡泡怎麼會破?
最後會等到緩慢上漲,漲到一般平頭百姓都已經習慣股市已經穩定,地板就是1萬點(或1
5000點或兩萬點),而身邊很多朋友已經都賺了一票了的時候,
會紛紛投入,也想撈一筆,
推進的動力一大,蟻多摟死象,
吹進的氣變多,泡泡就會在大家都覺得安全穩定時又可以賺到錢時,瞬間破滅,
這就是不斷重演的歷史。
4. 進退場機制:持續加碼,
停利:大盤到13500左右,
停損:大盤到8000左右
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※ 編輯: jorry111111 (223.140.222.91), 05/26/2017 13:56:05
※ 編輯: jorry111111 (223.140.222.91), 05/26/2017 13:57:02
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※ 編輯: jorry111111 (223.140.222.91), 05/26/2017 13:58:12
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