[心得] 民調的真實性
這次川普真的上了
返回去看其實大多人都看好希拉蕊會上任
民調大多時候也領先
到了今天卻以不小差距輸掉選舉
媒體真的全都是華爾街的人
其實民調或許早顯示川普會選上,市場大手明白大眾對川普的恐懼,便透過不斷採訪反對
川普的聲音,讓大眾誤信希拉蕊穩上
先是電郵門事件一筆
再來是今天
前後來回波動千點,這在平時需要幾個月才能滿足?
返回去看脫歐事件,媒體不斷的訪問都是偏留歐派的年輕人
再看看升息議題,你覺得Fed跟華爾街的人不熟嗎?
當你真的明白華爾街的人在幹嘛,就知道他們多噁心多貪婪
何謂黑天鵝?
我認為是市場沒人預測的到的事才叫黑天鵝
例如97年金融危機08年金融海嘯 等等
這次或許又是一齣漂亮的戲碼,你永遠玩不贏那些資訊在握的人
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