[心得] 年線與十年線
就技術理論來說,這兩條長期移動平均線對於台股十分重要,
首先先來提年線好了,年線代表的即為這一年來平均股價,
在景氣擴張期,由於經濟成長率與上市公司獲利成長率皆往上,
股價不斷往上衝高,因此股價多會位處年線之上,
反之,如經濟成長趨緩或衰退,支撐股價的力道失去了,
股價就會多處年線以下.
十年線則是另一個指標,通常十年線有效跌破,代表經濟的衰退情況嚴重
(如經濟明顯負成長),否則若只是經濟走緩造成的大幅修正十年線多不會真破.
明年經濟復甦有望,上市公司年盈餘可能維持正成長下,
年底時年均價可望比今年來的高(今年到目前為止為8993)
估明年約在9100,加上台股在年線以下通常只會維持不到一年下,
明年的行情大有希望倒吃甘蔗,震盪往上.
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 36.226.198.98
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1450333430.A.B70.html
推
12/17 14:24, , 1F
12/17 14:24, 1F
→
12/17 14:24, , 2F
12/17 14:24, 2F
推
12/17 14:24, , 3F
12/17 14:24, 3F
推
12/17 14:25, , 4F
12/17 14:25, 4F
推
12/17 14:26, , 5F
12/17 14:26, 5F
推
12/17 14:26, , 6F
12/17 14:26, 6F
噓
12/17 14:27, , 7F
12/17 14:27, 7F
推
12/17 14:28, , 8F
12/17 14:28, 8F
推
12/17 14:28, , 9F
12/17 14:28, 9F
噓
12/17 14:28, , 10F
12/17 14:28, 10F
噓
12/17 14:29, , 11F
12/17 14:29, 11F
→
12/17 14:29, , 12F
12/17 14:29, 12F
推
12/17 14:30, , 13F
12/17 14:30, 13F
噓
12/17 14:30, , 14F
12/17 14:30, 14F
噓
12/17 14:30, , 15F
12/17 14:30, 15F
推
12/17 14:30, , 16F
12/17 14:30, 16F
→
12/17 14:33, , 17F
12/17 14:33, 17F
推
12/17 14:34, , 18F
12/17 14:34, 18F
噓
12/17 14:36, , 19F
12/17 14:36, 19F
噓
12/17 14:40, , 20F
12/17 14:40, 20F
噓
12/17 14:40, , 21F
12/17 14:40, 21F
噓
12/17 14:40, , 22F
12/17 14:40, 22F
→
12/17 14:44, , 23F
12/17 14:44, 23F
推
12/17 15:01, , 24F
12/17 15:01, 24F
噓
12/17 15:06, , 25F
12/17 15:06, 25F
→
12/17 15:07, , 26F
12/17 15:07, 26F
→
12/17 15:07, , 27F
12/17 15:07, 27F
推
12/17 15:07, , 28F
12/17 15:07, 28F
推
12/17 15:10, , 29F
12/17 15:10, 29F
→
12/17 15:11, , 30F
12/17 15:11, 30F
→
12/17 15:12, , 31F
12/17 15:12, 31F
→
12/17 15:21, , 32F
12/17 15:21, 32F
噓
12/17 15:23, , 33F
12/17 15:23, 33F
推
12/17 15:32, , 34F
12/17 15:32, 34F
推
12/17 16:07, , 35F
12/17 16:07, 35F
→
12/17 17:02, , 36F
12/17 17:02, 36F
推
12/17 18:44, , 37F
12/17 18:44, 37F