[轉錄]Re: [翻譯]2006NCAA球員在NBA的成功率

看板Sixers作者freijaking (搬家!! 9/1到UCSB)時間16年前 (2007/09/06 08:25)推噓1(1推 0噓 1→)

留言2則, 2人參與討論串1/1

※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板] 作者: jerry7603 (AI) 看板: NBA 標題: Re: [翻譯]2006NCAA球員在NBA的成功率時間: Thu Sep 6 03:16:47 2007 把剩下補完 NOTABLE OMISSIONS 遺珠之憾 Patrick O’Bryant, C, Bradley % Chance to Start – 18.65% Was similar to: Yinka Dare, Nazr Mohammed, Erick Dampier O’Bryant grades out as similar to Tyrus Thomas, but not nearly as high becauseThomas’ numbers are generally higher across the board. He has a lot of same problems as Thomas in that his offense is still under-developed, but he has added concern of being a bit soft and undisciplined. He is doesn’t go to the foul line as much and will shy away from contact at times. Also, he is very foul prone, which will limit his minutes in the NBA. O’Bryant繳出來的成績和Tyrus Thomas很像，但是每一項都在稍微弱一些，他和Thomas 一樣在進攻上發展不夠充分的，但他比Thomas更軟而且比較沒有紀律。他不常站上罰球線同時也不太喜歡碰撞。另外他容易犯規，這將限制他在NBA的上場時間。 Adam Morrison, SF, Gonzaga % Chance to Start – 17.51% Was similar to: Casey Jacobsen, Calbert Cheaney, Pat Garrity Morrison’s type has not done well historically, so it may be an explanation as to why his success rate is low. He grades out as strictly a catch-and-shoot scorer who does not look to pass or put the ball on the floor. This tendency may hurt him in the NBA, because he’s not very athletic and can’t create his own shot. Defensively, he has long way to go to say the least. His stats are poor with exception to rebounds. Then from watching him, he seems to really struggle to stay in front of his man. His success really depends on the team that drafts him and the system they play. 歷史上Morrison這種類型的球員成功案例並不多，這可以解釋為什麼他成功的機率會比較低，他表現出的僅僅是catch-and-shoot，沒有傳球，沒有運球，這種傾向可能會使他在NBA受到挫折，因為他運動能力並不強而且沒辦法自己得分。防守上，他還有很長的路要走。除了籃板以外他的防守數據非常差。從觀察他可以知道，他是真的很努力的。他要成功將依賴於選擇他的球隊和那支球隊所採用的系統。 Rodney Carney, SF, Memphis % Chance to Start – 14.40% Was similar to: Tayshaun Prince, James Jones, Kyle Korver Carney is an absolute enigma on the offensive end. He has a ton of athleticism, but doesn’t use it very much, since he spends most of his time jacking up three pointers. In fact, half of his field goal attempts over the course of his career were threes. He doesn’t look to pass, so this may be a bigger problem in the pros. His best chance to stick will probably be with his defense. He puts up solid stats and is athletic enough to stay in front of people, so that does work in his favor. Carney在進攻端上是個謎，他有良好的運動能力，但是並不太善用它，因為他花了相當多時間去成為一個三分射手(這樣翻嗎？)。事實上，他生涯有一半的出手都是在三分線外。他不太會傳球，這會是他比較大的問題。能讓他在聯盟生存的可能是他的防守，他有堅強的數據並且有盯人時需要的運動能力，這是他的優勢。 (噢，我們家的小卡加油阿！！！) Randy Foye, SG, Villanova % Chance to Start – 10.19% Was similar to: Bob Sura, Derek Fisher, Jimmy King Foye fits the most common type of player with the highest bust rate, which is the undersized two, not really a point guard position. That doesn’t bode too well for Foye, but he does have the tools to buck the odds. Also, he shown significant improvement over his four year career, but at 22, he might have topped out. So, he projects to be player off the bench in the mold of Fred Jones. Foye符合那種大多數會變成BUST的類型，小一號的得分後衛。對Foye來說那不是個好的預兆，但他有足夠的技巧去反駁這些。而且他在大學四年裡不斷進步，不過，他已經22 歲了，或許這已經是他最好的極限了。所以，他可能成為像Fred Jones那樣在板凳上的球員。 J.J. Redick, SG, Duke % Chance to Start – 4.34 % Was similar to: Trajan Langdon, Shawn Respert, Terry Dehere The odds are really stacked against Redick to say the least. The problem with Redick is that he is as one-dimensional as it gets with his shooting being the only plus. He does not do anything else particularly well and on top of that, he is undersized and not athletic enough for the NBA. He might make it as a specialist, but every specialist in the past had some other plus skill in addition. Steve Kerr had point guard skills and Kyle Korver was a good rebounder in college. So, Redick might suffer a fate similar to Trajan Langdon, who was out of the league in three years. 對Redick不利的因素很多，Redick的問題是他只有投射這樣技能，他並不專精於其他，最重要的他身材太矮而且運動能力不足以適應NBA。他可能成為一個專家，但是過去每一個專家都有其他的技能。Steve Kerr有著控球後衛的技巧，而Kyle Korver在大學是個很好的籃板手。所以Redick可能會和Trajan Langdon有一樣的命運，Langdon在三年後就離開了NBA。 I took a few things away from running this little study Versatility will greatly improve a player’s chances of success. Guards have a higher chance to succeed if they work from inside-out. College big men drafted outside the top 5 will not become elite players 附註全能的球員將增加在NBA中成功的機率。後衛有執行過inside-out將有較高的成功率。大學不在前五的大個子球員不可能成為明星球員。 This method is not going to predict the future, but it could be useful way to assess the on-court risk associated with draft prospects. Then again, I could be wrong or I could be right. As it always is with the draft, time will tell. 這個方法不能預言未來，但是他是個有效的方法去預估在場上的風險和選秀們的遠景。在一次的說，我可能會錯可能會對。時間會告訴我們一切。 -- 心情、生活、NBA 我的Blog：http://blog.pixnet.net/che7603 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.194.81.1 ※ 編輯: jerry7603 來自: 123.194.81.1 (09/06 03:37)

推

Hawking

09/06 03:36,

09/06 03:36

推

kreen

09/06 03:51,

09/06 03:51

→

taroa

09/06 07:37,

09/06 07:37