[閒聊] 什麼時候該調整牌組或調整打法
懶人包: 連敗超過4場時,可以先休息一下調整一下牌組配置或想法
連敗超過8場時,你的打法或牌組99.7%有問題,請你問問別人的看法
這邊閒聊一下一些機率問題,「幹為什麼這麼臉黑連敗十場」
究竟連敗到什麼程度之前可以歸類為純運氣呢?
假設你的勝率是1/2,連敗幾次就乘幾次
如果以95%為界線的話,就是 (1/2)^m < 0.05
m log0.5 < log0.05 , m < (log0.05/log0.5)≒4.3
因此可知道在95%的時候,你的敗場不會連續超過4場
如果要以99.7為界線的話,(log0.003)/(log0.5)≒8.4
這裡也可以知道,在99.7%的情況下,你不會連敗超過8場
當然,這個世界無奇不有,連續敗個10場以上的經驗也是有的
這種時候休息一下也好,就當作老天叫你現在不要玩遊戲
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→ TohmaMiyuki: 1. 曉不叫就等她叫 10/27 20:50
→ TohmaMiyuki: 2. 曉不叫就揉到她叫 10/27 20:50
→ TohmaMiyuki: 3. 曉不叫就○了她 10/27 20:50
→ TohmaMiyuki: 這分別是哪三位提督對待曉的方法? (問答題 25分) 10/27 20:51
推 diablo81321: 德州家康/木下秀吉/織田信奈 10/27 20:55
#1KJZquy6 (KanColle) [ptt.cc] [求助] 我的曉不會叫 ...喂喂,憲兵嗎?
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