[新聞] Royals looking hard at outfielder
The Royals are “looking hard” at free agent centerfielder Billy Hamilton,
according to Rustin Dodd of The Athletic. The switch-hitter was non-tendered
by the Reds last week after hitting .236/.299/.327 with 34 steals in 153
games. MLB.com reporter Jeffrey Flanagan expounded on the Royals’ interest
in the 28-year old speedster, writing “there is a feeling with Royals
officials that Hamilton’s skill set might play better at spacious Kauffman
Stadium as opposed to the Reds’ band box of Great American Ball Park.”
The switch-hitting Hamilton is perhaps the fastest man in baseball, stealing
254 bases in just over five seasons with an 81% success rate. He was fifth in
Statcast’s Sprint Speed last year. Hamilton is a tremendous defender,
ranking as the fourth-best defensive centerfielder according to Fangraphs
last year. He has been a solid 1-3 WAR player each season of his career,
mostly on the strength of his speed and defense.
His bat is another matter. His best offensive season was in 2016 when he hit
.260/.321/.343 with 58 steals. He was the third-worst qualified hitter in
baseball by wRC+ last season, with Alcides Escobar-like numbers. He has a
career .298 on-base percentage, with a below-average career walk rate of
6.9%. Hamilton has the fifth-lowest hard-hit rate in baseball since his debut
in 2014. He has been a better hitter from the left-side of the plate,
although with less power than from the right-side.
The Royals already have Brett Phillips and Brian Goodwin projected to split
time in centerfield next year, but Phillips does have an option year
remaining and could be sent to Omaha for more seasoning. Hamilton was
arbitration eligible, and MLB Trade Rumors projected him to earn $5.9
million. Through free agency, I would expect Hamilton to cost $5-6 million on
a one-year deal.
Hamilton’s bat prevents him from being a full-time player anymore, but he
could have value in a part-time role, especially if they Royals get creative.
The best case scenario is that Hamilton continues to be an elite base-stealer
and defender that has a bit of value this summer, and the Royals flip him to
a contender. The worst case scenario is that he blocks 24-year old outfielder
Brett Phillips in a season in which the Royals need to figure out what they
have in their young players. Either way, if the Royals bring him on, it may
not win games or help the rebuild, but it sure would be fun to see him,
Adalberto Mondesi, and Whit Merrifield flying around the bases.
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