[乳摸]2011 Top 50 Free Agents
2011 Top 50 Free Agents
By Tim Dierkes [November 8 at 11:20am CST]
黃字:本文推測應該會試著去簽的
粉紅字:有乳摸說我們有興趣的
綠字:個人覺得可簽看看的
It's time for the fifth annual MLB Trade Rumors Top 50 Free Agents list!
The entire list of available free agents can be found here.
A note before we begin - this is a complicated puzzle, and I'll be satisfied
if I'm correct on a quarter of these guesses. If your favorite team seems
under-represented, keep in mind that the list doesn't account for trades or
every single free agent. The linked player names go to our free agent stock
watch pieces.
1. Cliff Lee - Yankees. I could be swayed toward the Rangers, but it seems
the Yankees are more desperate for Lee. The Nationals make an interesting
dark horse. I can see Lee getting a seventh year, as crazy as that sounds.
2. Carl Crawford - Angels. The Tigers and Red Sox should also be in the mix
for the speedy left fielder, who is vying to become the first $100MM man
without a 20 home run season on his resume.
3. Adrian Beltre - Red Sox. The Angels are a candidate, though I have a
hard time seeing them win the bidding on the Boras client if they get
Crawford. If the Red Sox are not able to re-sign Beltre, I see them moving
Kevin Youkilis to third base and finding a stopgap first baseman.
4. Jayson Werth - Red Sox. The Sox would have a crowded outfield, but they
are known to like Werth and could view him as J.D. Drew's long-term
replacement. The Red Sox have already contacted Boras about Werth, according
to ESPN's Gordon Edes.
5. Adam Dunn - Cubs. The Nationals have held to a three-year offer. Dunn
doesn't want to DH, leaving the Cubs as the only other NL team I can see
spending big at first base. The question for the Cubs might be whether they
can move Kosuke Fukudome's contract before Dunn signs. The White Sox and
Orioles may also have first base openings and Dunn on the radar. Perhaps
Dunn's unwillingness to DH will be tested by the Tigers, or they'll offer
left field time.
6. Victor Martinez - Tigers. They seem committed to Alex Avila behind the
plate, but there aren't a ton of viable left-handed middle of the order bats
out there. Adding V-Mart might take the Tigers out of the market for a
full-time DH type.
7. Rafael Soriano - Angels. As the best available reliever and a Boras
client, Soriano should require a three or four-year deal. I don't love the
Angels-Soriano prediction, but I can't find a great match for the righty.
The Diamondbacks seek a closer, but this kind of expenditure doesn't seem
like Kevin Towers' style.
8. Mariano Rivera - Yankees. Mo is still unstoppable as he approaches his
41st birthday, though it is outlandish to pay a reliever north of $15MM for
65 innings.
9. Paul Konerko - White Sox. Another tough one, if the Orioles look
elsewhere and the Diamondbacks opt for someone cheaper. The Nationals and
Cubs will be seeking first basemen, but Konerko may not accept a pay cut on
his $12MM salary after such a fantastic season.
10. Derek Jeter - Yankees. The most interesting part of Jeter's free agency
may be the contract details. I'll say four years, $65MM.
11. Hiroki Kuroda - Pirates. The Bucs are not typically big game hunters
in free agency, but Kuroda represents a chance to add one of the better
available arms with perhaps only a two-year commitment.
12. Jorge De La Rosa - Royals. Though De La Rosa at least gets groundballs,
some consider him another Oliver Perez waiting to happen. Much will depend
on whether De La Rosa requires more than three years or $10MM annually. The
Pirates and Nationals seem like potential suitors as well, if he can't find
common ground with the Rockies.
13. Carl Pavano - Twins. It's still strange to call Pavano dependable,
but he's tallied 433 1/3 American League innings over the past two seasons.
He'd be a big loss for the Twins.
14. Jake Westbrook - Cardinals. There's optimism for a deal, which would
really solidify the Cards' rotation.
15. Aubrey Huff - Giants. There is mutual interest for Huff and the Giants
to strike a new deal. If the Giants want to quit while they're ahead with
him, both sides will have plenty of alternatives.
16. Juan Uribe - Dodgers. Uribe could be the Dodgers' new full-time second
baseman assuming they non-tender Ryan Theriot. But his versatility means he
could also fit with the Twins, Mariners, Mets, Astros, Cardinals, Padres,
Orioles, Reds, and of course back with the Giants.
17. Carlos Pena - Nationals. Quite a first base carousel could develop
this winter, but Pena is a fit with Washington as they look to improve their
first base defense. Who knows - perhaps his first extended look at National
League pitching will allow him to match Adam Dunn's 38 homers.
18. Jim Thome - Rays. Thome, Vlad, and Manny should all find full-time DH
jobs. I can see the Rangers, Rays, and Athletics being the most aggressive
in seeking a regular at the position. The Tigers are a good fit for Thome
if they miss out on V-Mart.
19. Vladimir Guerrero - Rangers. True, the Rangers already declined Vlad's
mutual option, but that was a formality. He is comfortable in Texas, and
isn't going to find a huge offer elsewhere.
20. Manny Ramirez - Athletics. Manny makes sense for Oakland on a make-
good contract. He had one of the better off-years I've seen, with his .409
OBP ranking second only to Thome among free agents. Durability will be the
bigger question.
21. Magglio Ordonez - Blue Jays. Maggs belongs in the AL. The Blue Jays
can make some room at DH if they move Adam Lind to first base, while still
giving Ordonez some time in right field.
22. Orlando Hudson - Cardinals. He'd help the Cards improve on Skip
Schumaker without breaking the bank.
23. Derrek Lee - Brewers. I can see the Orioles or Diamondbacks for Lee,
who will have to settle for a one-year deal. But Lee could land in
Milwaukee as Prince Fielder's replacement and remain close to home.
24. Lance Berkman - Diamondbacks. If Berkman aims for a place he can DH
part-time, the Rays, Blue Jays, or Rangers could work.
25. Andy Pettitte - Retirement. If the Yanks miss out on Cliff Lee, they
could be scrambling if Pettitte retires.
26. Jon Garland - Rockies. He's best-suited on an NL team looking for bulk
innings. The Rockies could be that club if De La Rosa departs.
27. A.J. Pierzynski - Marlins. They fit all of Pierzynski's preferences
and are known to be in the catching market. He also mentioned the Padres,
Rangers, Rays, and Red Sox as potential fits if he doesn't re-sign with the
White Sox.
28. Miguel Olivo - Rangers. The Red Sox, White Sox, Angels, Marlins, Reds,
and Dodgers may also be looking for a catcher, so there's plenty of
potential combinations.
29. John Buck - Red Sox. Buck has a supporter on the Sox in assistant GM
Allard Baird. They seem unlikely to hand the starting gig to Jarrod
Saltalamacchia.
30. Javier Vazquez - Nationals. Vazquez has already expressed interest in
pitching for the Nats. His 2010 season was alarming, but there's still the
upside of his fantastic 2009 with the Braves.
31. Scott Downs - Red Sox. Downs has the AL East experience to slot into
a late inning role for the Red Sox or Yankees. The Phillies and Angels
could also be among his suitors, though a draft pick will have to be
surrendered.
32. J.J. Putz - Tigers. Putz is officially back after a very strong season
with the White Sox. He may seek another shot at closing, but a chance to
pitch for the Tigers close to home may be tempting.
33. Brian Fuentes - Diamondbacks. Fuentes will likely go where he has the
opportunity to rack up saves. The Braves could be another match if they
don't stay internal for the ninth inning.
34. Adam LaRoche - Orioles. The Orioles are going to find a corner infiel
-der one way or another; LaRoche is just one of many free agents they'll
probably consider.
35. Hisanori Takahashi - Phillies. He's strong against southpaws and could
spot start if need be, so the Phillies are a reasonable match.
36. Pat Burrell - Padres. Burrell had a nice run with the Giants, aside
from the playoffs. He could theoretically draw interest from the Braves,
Reds, Diamondbacks, and Dodgers as well.
37. Joaquin Benoit - Rays. His numbers for the Rays this year were so
absurd, they might be willing to offer him a chance to close in 2011. He'll
probably draw interest from a dozen teams, so that could be the difference
-maker.
38. Kevin Millwood - Padres. Perhaps Millwood will get a shot at being
the Jon Garland of 2011. The Padres will probably bring in one veteran
starter, and it's a coveted place to pitch. Millwood could be a match for
the Pirates as well.
39. Kevin Correia - Brewers. I like Correia as a sleeper this year. The
Brewers could make a big rotation upgrade by way of trading Prince Fielder,
and then add Correia at the back end of the rotation cheaply.
40. Arthur Rhodes - Reds. The Reds and Rhodes have mutual interest in a
new deal, but the 41-year-old southpaw will be popular on the open market.
41. Pedro Feliciano - Angels. The Phillies and Angels are two teams that
seem highly likely to import free agent lefty relievers.
42. Grant Balfour - Yankees. Balfour would be a solid addition at the back
of anyone's bullpen. The Yankees will have options, though Balfour has AL
East experience.
43. Kerry Wood - Cubs. He wasn't eager to leave after the '08 season, and
now the Cubs can fit him into their budget.
44. Scott Podsednik - Reds. Pods fills the Reds' left field and leadoff
needs at what should be an affordable price.
45. Yorvit Torrealba - Dodgers. After five seasons as the Dodgers' primary
catcher, it seems likely that they'll move on from Russell Martin.
46. Hideki Matsui - Mariners. His choice will probably come down to play
-ing time, and the Mariners need a few quality bats.
47. Johnny Damon - White Sox. They had interest a year ago, and Damon's
price should be lower this time around. He's not an ideal DH but he's still
an upgrade for the Sox.
48. Kevin Gregg - Braves. I expect they'll add some kind of late-inning
veteran with Billy Wagner retiring, and Gregg may be inclined to chase the
save opportunities.
49. Koji Uejara - Mets. Uehara, 36 in April, was fantastic in 44 relief
innings this year for the Orioles. His price should be held down by the
200+ DL days he logged over the past two seasons. The market is flush with
interesting right-handed relievers, but Uehara may still have a dozen suitors.
50. Brandon Webb - Nationals. Interest appears mutual. Unlike last year's
Chien-Ming Wang experiment, Webb may require upward of $5MM.
Honorable mentions: Miguel Tejada, Vicente Padilla, Takashi Saito, Matt
Guerrier, Jon Rauch, Brad Penny, Nick Johnson, Bill Hall, Frank Francisco,
Jason Frasor, Jose Contreras
補上以上球員的FA資料
紅字:type A;淺藍字:type B
Catchers
Victor Martinez (32) - Type A 留下好嗎?
A.J. Pierzynski (34) - Type A 簽來加強打擊力
Jason Varitek (39) - Type B
John Buck (30) - Type B 如果V馬沒留下,張爸應是首選
Miguel Olivo (32) - Type B
First basemen
Adam Dunn (31) - Type A 用棒子證明你不是盲砲吧
Adam LaRoche (31) - Type B 沒簽到砲的備胎
Lance Berkman (35) 若沒簽到砲,看能否便宜簽來賭反彈
Third basemen
Adrian Beltre (32) - Type A 期待又怕受傷害..
Outfielders
Carl Crawford (29) - Type A 來挑戰粉味的2B/3B紀錄?
Jayson Werth (32) - Type A 能只簽打擊和守備其它不要嗎
Manny Ramirez (39) - Type A 純個人幻想..
Relievers/Closer
Rafael Soriano (31) - Type A 雙CP,刺激廢物碰!?
Grant Balfour (33) - Type A 幫隔壁抬價?
Scott Downs (35) - Type A 補強左手牛,錯過可惜
Brian Fuentes (35) - Type B 純個人喜愛
Kerry Wood (34) - Type B 純個人喜好
J.J. Putz (34) - Type B 應是另一不錯選項
--
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