[農場] Tampa Bay Rays Top 20 Prospects (中)
Tampa Bay Rays Top 20 Prospects for 2012 by John Sickels
11) Chris Archer, RHP, Grade B-:
Not fond of the command slippage and he may end up in the bullpen, but his
ceiling remains impressive. Needs a good dose of Triple-A.
有控球問題而且作者認為也許會轉任RP，但是潛力令人印象深刻，需要適應3A。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/26rrzjs
12) Enny Romero, LHP, Grade B-:
High-ceiling arm went backwards with his command in full-season ball. Seems a
good bet to improve/rebound, and grade could be at least a notch higher if
that happens.
擁有高潛力球員，雖然控球不穩(2011 1A BB/9：5.4)，作者認為似乎會改善和成績反彈
，如果控球改善排名不只在這個位置。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/3dxmp8g
13) Tyler Goeddel, 3B, Grade B-:
No pro data yet, but will rank him here based on pre-draft scouting reports.
Main question appears to be how much power he will develop.
1. 雖然尚無職業比賽數據，根據球探報告作者將他排在13名。
2. 最主要課題在於如何能將Goeddel的長打能力開發出來。
14) Jake Hager, SS, Grade B-:
I think he will sneak up on people with the bat either this year or next, and
I believe he'll be able to remain at shortstop.
作者認為今年或者明年 Hager 會因為打擊問題而繼續被低估，而且相信 Hager 能站穩
游擊位置。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/7yvqc9a
15) Tim Beckham, SS, Grade C+:
In relative terms, his 2011 season was not statistically better than his '10
season, until he had the power surge in Triple-A. Even that came at the
expense of poor plate discipline. Still young, still has tools, but I think
some fans are getting overly excited at this point. I still see him as more
of a utility player with some pop, not a first-division regular.
1. 相對而言，Beckham 2011球季並沒有表現比2010好，升上3A雖然長打發揮但選球還是
一樣爛，Beckham 仍舊年輕和具有潛力。
2. 作者認為一些球迷聽到 Beckham 的優勢(年輕、潛力)會過度興奮，但認為 Tim 最終
成為替補球員機會多過於一線球星。
註：底下部份球迷對於 Beckham 仍有相當高的期望，和 John Sickels 有很長篇的討論
，甚至快吵起來XD。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/84s5hld
John Sickels 在下面球迷提問有補充對 Tim Beckham 的看法：
1. I am not convinced he has the range for shortstop, and i doubt he hits
enough for 3B. It is becoming chic and fashionable to say that Beckham
is underrated!
by John Sickels on Nov 17, 2011 1:30 PM EST
不相信 Beckham 有SS須具備的防守範圍，而且對 Beckham (若是移防)有3B需要的
打擊能力，認為 Beckham 能力被低估的說法是不實在的(原文是別緻及流行)。
2. Beckham 2009 OPS was +4 percent compared to league average in Low-A.
Beckham 2010 OPS was +2 percent compared to league average in High-A.
Beckham 2011 OPS was +0 percent, league average in Double-A.
Non-Rays scouting sources consider Simmons a superior defender to Beckham at
this point. Beckham will be average at best at SS and many non-Rays scouting
sources believe he fits better at second or third base.
He's a C+.
by John Sickels on Nov 17, 2011 9:54 PM EST
簡短說一下，(前3句不用翻吧XD)這段說明沒有任何光芒的報告來源顯示他適合移防
到2B或者3B。 文中 Simonns 為 勇士新秀 Andrelton Simmons
Scouts say Simmons is a superior athlete and that Beckham's tools have
degraded to some extent since high school. He still struggles with the strike
zone and there are still questions about his swing. His plate discipline was
quite poor in AAA.
Beckham 潛力從高中到現在有些許程度退化，問題在於好球帶判斷和揮棒機制問題，
其選球到3A還是相當差(被K 29次卻只有3BB)。
Is he a prospect? Yes. Does he still have time to improve? Of course. But I
just do not see how he is an elite prospect at this point. I have seen him
and he does not look like an elite prospect to me.
作者認為 Beckham 仍然是個潛力新秀，也覺得他可改善這些問題。在他的觀點裡 Beckham
不是個傑出新秀。
by John Sickels on Nov 17, 2011 9:57 PM EST
If Beckham had gone to college and was drafted in 2011, does anyone seriously
think he would have been a first-round pick again? Simmons was a
second-rounder in 2010, and I doubt Beckham would have gone that high this
year or in'10 himself
by John Sickels on Nov 17, 2011 10:03 PM EST
John Sickels 說 Beckham 如果讀完大學參加2011年選秀，任何人都會認真地考慮是否
再一次第1輪選他呢？ Simmons 在 2010年是第2輪被選上，John 對 Beckham 能否在
更高順位被選上保持懷疑。
16) Oscar Hernandez, C, Grade C+:
Put up monstrous numbers in the Venezuelan Summer League and did a good job
throwing out runners. He wasn't a big bonus guy and scouting reports remain
annoyingly vague. It will be fascinating to see how all this translates to
North America. Ranking here is a guesstimate.
1. 在VSL打出怪物成績而且阻殺跑者也做的很好，但認為 Oscar 不是拿高簽約金那類的
球員(感謝meier0112)而且球探報告也不完整。
2. 問題在於 Oscar 能否在 VSL(南美)恐怖成績轉換到美國Minor，目前排名只是推估。
VSL成績：http://tinyurl.com/84thm97
17) Granden Goetzman, OF, Grade C+:
Didn't hit great in rookie ball, but in a less-deep draft he would have been a
certain first-round pick. I like his tools, has power and speed, draws Jay
Buhner and Jayson Werth comparisons.
1. 在新人聯盟表現不好，(今年在第2輪被選上)某些年深度較淺的選秀會在第1輪被選中。
2. 具有長打及速度，能長成 Jay Buhner 和 Jayson Werth 這種類型的打者。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/7b86wdj
18) Tyler Bortnick, 2B, Grade C+:
Does everything well except hit homers and excite scouts with his tools. Very
polished, excellent plate discipline, dangerous on the bases. You could easily
rank him as high as 15 and ahead of Beckman.
除HR之外其他表現都很好，擁有非常好的潛力：極品的選球能力、在壘上相當危險(速度)
。可以輕易地將他排在15名或更高的位置，而且超過 Beckman。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/2vvltmj
19) Felipe Rivero, LHP, Grade C+:
Live-armed lefty didn't dominate the Appy League statistically, but has plenty
of arm strength and a mid-rotation ceiling.
在新人聯盟表現不佳，但擁有強壯臂力且中段輪值的潛力。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/78tgy8r
20) Derek Dietrich, SS, Grade C+:
Good power, but poor strike zone judgment in Low-A and pending move to third
base keep him from a higher grade at this point. With some adjustments could
get into strong B range.
1. 有良好的長打，但在低階1A顯示其選球不好，若移防3B可以提高排名。
2. 做些許調整校正可以到 Grade B。
Minor成績：http://tinyurl.com/78c67uq
某人在這篇很慘，接連中槍XD。還是希望能養起來，就算達不到當初預期目標也沒關係。
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