[外電] Michael Young 交易案:贏家與輸家

看板Rangers作者kaijun (都瑞米)時間11年前 (2012/12/09 10:12)推噓9(9推 0噓 13→)

留言22則, 8人參與討論串1/1

Michael Young to Philadelphia Phillies Trade: Biggest Winners and Losers BY ANDREW MARTIN (CORRESPONDENT) ON DECEMBER 8, 2012 http://tinyurl.com/byrr45z 贏家:Texas Rangers 即使需要付出過半的薪資把 Young 送到費城對條子來說這仍然是一筆好交易 36歲的 Young 來到合約的最後一年薪資高達16M 他剛打出一個極差的球季打擊率 .277 全壘打8支 67分打點這數據帳面上看起來並不可怕但如果我們更仔細下去檢視就會知道 Young 如何傷害球隊他的OPS僅有 .682 OPS+只有78 我們了解到OPS+到達100是平均水準換句話說 Young 在進攻上的狀況是 below replacement level 即使找個小聯盟球員來取代 Young 對球隊都會有正面幫助 The Rangers would have likely won this trade even if they had simply given Young to the Phillies. ESPN.com's Richard Durrett reports that the Rangers will pay at least half of Young's 2013 salary, which still makes it a good deal for Texas. Young is 36 and due to make $16 million in 2013, which is the final year of his contract. He is coming off one of the worst seasons of his career, hitting .277 with eight home runs and 67 RBI in 156 games in 2012. Those numbers don’t look terrible at face value, but closer examination shows how Young hurt the Rangers by just being on the field. Young had a .682 OPS and a OPS+ of 78 in 2012. According to FanGraphs.com, an OPS+ of 100 is considered average, so Young was well below replacement level with his offensive play. In theory, Texas would have had better production just by playing somebody from the minors in Young's place. 輸家:費城人的牛棚深度費城為了取得 Young 放棄了兩個有點天分的年輕投手 Lindblom 的速球平均能投到 92.1 英里每局平均能送出一次三振牛棚投手的取代性很高不過要找個便宜又有天分的投手並不容易 Bonilla 已經22歲了只在1A投過21場還沒準備好上大聯盟但他生涯的ERA只有2.50 平均每局能送出超過一次三振作為這筆交易的次要部分他可能是未經雕琢的璞玉 The Phillies gave up some intriguing young pitching talent for Young, and are assuming an aging player who has one year left on his contract. The right-handed Lindblom was originally acquired from the Dodgers in the Shane Victorino trade in 2012. He has averaged nearly a strikeout per inning during his career, a testament to his big fastball, which averaged 92.1 mph last season according to FanGraphs.com. Bullpens often have interchangeable pieces, but replacing a cheap and talented pitcher like Lindblom is always tough. Bonilla is a slim right-handed minor league reliever from the Dominican Republic. He has only pitched 21 games above Single-A in his career, and at the age of 22, is not close to being ready for the major leagues. However, he does have a career 2.50 ERA, and has averaged better than a strikeout per inning. He could be the diamond in the rough teams traditionally seek as a secondary piece in a trade like this. 輸家:費城人的防守今年球季費城人的三壘像是個黑洞 Polanco 的防守非常好但只交出 .257 的打擊率和2支全壘打 Young 也許能夠在打擊上有更多貢獻但防守上與 Polanco 相差甚遠 Young 今年有一半的比賽負責防守條子的內野結果得到的是 -2.2 dWAR 他自從08年以後 dWAR 就沒有出現過正值 Third base was a black hole for the Phillies in 2012. Veteran Placido Polanco saw the lion’s share of playing time last season. While he played decent defense, he hit only .257 with two home runs in 90 games. The Phillies felt finding an upgrade was a priority for 2013. While Young might be able to produce more than Polanco at the plate, he will fall far short of matching him in the field. Young played about half of his games around the infield for Texas last season, resulting in a -2.2 dWAR. He has not had a positive dWAR since 2008 and should only continue to decline with age and regular play in the field. 輸家:Michael Young 從條子到費城人 Young並沒有得到更好的位置他的防守能力已經消失很久了條子可以把他放在DH來彌補這件事但在國聯的費城人不行 Young 的打擊也許會反彈但他糟糕的防守絕對不會當惡名昭彰的費城迷發現他們的內野左邊破洞他們不會寬容太久如果 Young 持續在費城掙扎那他想在退休前再拿到一份合約的機率會減少 Although ESPNDallas’ Richard Durrett recently reported Young was set to enter 2013 with an undefined role with the Rangers, his trade to the Phillies isn't putting him in a much better position. As Young’s defensive ability abandoned him in recent years, Texas was able to hide those deficiencies by increasingly playing him at DH. During the past two seasons, he has played a little less than half of his games in the field. Moving to the National League will take away that security blanket. Perhaps Young can regain a little of his former hitting ability, but it’s unlikely that he will be able to improve his putrid defense. The notoriously tough Phillies fans may not give him a long leash when they see the porous left side of the infield he will form with shortstop Jimmy Rollins. If Young struggles with Philadelphia, it may impact his ability to get a decent final contract before he retires. Granted, any value he would give a team would be through his bat, but a trying season with the Phillies could impact his all-around game and lessen any offers he might receive next offseason. 輸家:Arizona Diamondbacks 響尾蛇想藉由交易 Justin Upton 得到一個游擊手條子會是潛在的交易對象 Young離開後 Andrus 和 Profar 可以分享他原本的上場時間條子可以把內野工具人的角色給 Kinsler 或 Profar 減少了他們必須要被交易的需要壓力現在到了響尾蛇這邊畢竟要找像條子這麼適合的對象很不容易響尾蛇或許必須降低要價否則只好繼續留住 Upton 條子現在在這筆交易中的發言能力比之前高多了 Arizona entered the offseason thinking about trading star outfielder Justin Upton and obtaining a quality shortstop. Many, including ESPN’s Buster Olney, felt that the Rangers were a good potential trading partner because of the logjam they had at shortstop with Andrus and Profar. Now that Young has been dispatched, the Rangers may chose to move second baseman Ian Kinsler or Profar into the vacated utility role, lessening their need to trade one of their young shortstops. With young quality shortstops so hard to find, the Diamondbacks will be hard-pressed to find another team to trade with who fit so well with their own needs. The Rangers still may elect to trade Andrus or Profar, but with Young’s departure opening up potential playing time for both, Texas has more leverage than they had in the past. The Diamondbacks may have to settle for a lesser option or hang on to Upton, who can't be pleased to see his name in trade rumors so often. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.169.38.66

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