[討論] Time for Rangers to look hard at Matt Garza
Time for Rangers to look hard at Matt Garza
So in the course of a week, we've now seen the biggest free agent pitcher in
Cliff Lee go off the market and now the largest trade piece, Zack Greinke, is
headed to Milwaukee, according to ESPN.com's Buster Olney.
Sources tell Olney that the Brewers are sending outfielder Lorenzo Cain,
shortstop Alcides Escobar and pitching prospects Jake Odorizzi and Jeremy
Jeffress for the 27-year-old Greinke, who won the Cy Young Award in 2009. The
report includes this paragraph:
The Texas Rangers made what they considered to be an aggressive offer for
Greinke during the winter meetings earlier this month, only to learn that
they were far short of Kansas City's expectations.
I'll confess that I don't know much about the Brewers' farm system. But as
ESPN.com's Jerry Crasnick reported last week, the Royals wanted up the middle
prospects and Escobar and Cain certainly fit that bill. This is a guess, but
if that was the package the Royals got, I wonder if they wanted both
Jurickson Profar and Julio Borbon in addition to some pitching prospects
(maybe Tanner Scheppers and/or Martin Perez and some others?) from the
Rangers for Greinke. Baseball America ranks Odorizzi and Jeffress as the Nos.
1 and 3 prospects in the system, so it's conceivable that Perez and Scheppers
were included in the Royals' demands in addition to Profar and others. If so,
that's a high price and probably one the Rangers weren't willing to pay (and
I can't blame them). But again, that's just speculation.
Now that Greinke is off the market, the Rangers should jump in with both feet
and see what it might take to land Matt Garza from Tampa Bay. He doesn't have
the skins on the wall like Greinke and so he shouldn't cost quite as much in
terms of prospects. But his contract is so favorable, that I can't think
teams will get a huge discount, either. He's going to earn around $25 million
(that's a guess) the next three years as part of arbitration (Greinke will
make $27 million the next two years). So the Rays will ask a high price. But
without the Cy Young to tote around, there could be a package that would work
and not deplete the Rangers of too many of its top prospects. Maybe Tanners
Scheppers and Julio Borbon, plus another high-level prospect or two with
major league time, like Chris Davis, Derek Holland or Luis Sardinas? I
include Sardinas as a way to avoid putting Jurickson Profar in the deal.
Sardinas, a shortstop, is considered a raw talent with high upside. And I
can't see the Rangers parting with Profar (those I talk to seem to really
like him and don't want to give him up). Maybe there's also a way to
structure the deal so that Martin Perez and Scheppers are taken out of the
mix. Maybe Michael Kirkman? I had included Perez in here originally, saying
it could be either Perez or Scheppers, but I don't like the idea of trading
Perez (I'm not thrilled with dealing Scheppers, either). Talk to scouts and
they'll tell you how much upside Perez has regardless of his bump in the road
in 2010. So I didn't include him. For the record, I'm still a big believer in
Holland and I think other teams are too. That's why he's included here. You
have to give something up to get something of value, especially a proven
pitcher who would be under club control for the next three seasons. And it's
possible that Garza won't cost as much as some of the players I'm listing.
We'll see.
But I'm interested in Garza. He doesn't have the numbers that Greinke has had
the last few seasons, but he's been solid. Garza has 3.97 ERA in his career,
which includes three full seasons and parts of two others. His last three
years, as a member of the Rays' rotation, Garza has posted ERAs under 4.00
and was 15-10 with a 3.91 ERA in 2010, which included a no-hitter. The
Rangers saw firsthand how good he can be in the Game 3 of the ALDS, when he
held them to one earned run in six innings. He was 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two
starts against Texas in the regular season. The Rangers hit .229 off him.
Now that Lee and Greinke are gone, the really good starting pitchers on the
market currently are extremely limited. Yes, the Rangers could wait until the
trade deadline and try to bolster things then like they did with Lee in 2010.
But think how much better the rotation would be with a guy like Garza in the
mix when spring training opens.
Do you want Garza? Who are you willing to give up?
資料來源:ESPN-Dallas(Rangers)
http://espn.go.com/blog/dallas/texas-rangers/
連Greinke都沒辦法搶到，現在最好的選擇就是Matt Garza。但是，光芒高層應該不太會想
放他吧~~但是交易來Garza的代價應該不會比Greinke誇張。Garza真的很穩定~~
內容有興趣的大大可以看一下，有談到交易時哪些新秀可以放哪些新秀不能放~~
(編按:我覺得Profar遲早要放掉~~現在SS有Andrus擋著耶~~)
--
2010 Texas Rangers Postseason Franchise Roster
(SP)Cliff Lee (C)Benjie Molina (1B)Mitch Moreland (2B)Ian Kinsler
(SS)Elvis Andrus (3B)Michael Young (LF)David Murphy (CF)Josh Hamilton
(RF)Nelson Cruz (DH)Vladimir Guerrero (SP)C.J. Wilson (SP)Colby Lewis
(CL)Neftali Feliz (RP)Darren O'Day (RP)Darren Oliver (SP)Derek Holland
(RP)Alexi Ogando (RP)Michael Kirkman (C)Matt Treanor (OF)Julio Borbon
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