[討論] 桃園選情分析
我發現z大在八卦版#1JPSjHD4的文章應該可以可以給桃園一點啟示
已知桃園
1. 地方政治集團眾多
2. 地方政治集團與商業利益交織密切 (1.2項請參閱八卦版j大#1JRsAj_V)
3. 鐵票族群龐大，但在地族群複雜
4. 政黨輪替1-2次?(維基裡說1977年選舉許信良在10月被開除黨籍，當年選舉國民黨另推
派歐憲瑜參選。11月投票，然後爆發中壢事件。)
5. 最近一次政黨輪替主因是前一任縣長在任內遇害?
6. 吳伯雄、許信良、劉邦友、呂秀蓮與朱立倫等民選縣長都沒有當完任期
7.人口移入區，所以外圍游離選票眾多
8.本屆首長選舉前縣府傳出弊案
求分析!!
--
So long had life together been that once
the snow began to fall, it seemed unending;
that, lest the flakes should make her eyelids wince,
I'd shield them with my hand, and they, pretending
not to believe that cherishing of eyes,
would beat against my palm like butterflies. ~Joseph Brodsky
--
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