[情報] MyWorld's Top 100 Prospect List
Actually, it's a compilation of four magazines top 100 lists, ESPN, Baseball
America, Scouting Book and Baseball Prospectus. You can go to the website
http://www.myworldofbaseball.com/id13.html to see last year's list. As with
other lists, if you are voted the top prospect you get a 10, number two a 9.9
and the 100th rated propsect you get a 0.1. These four totals are added and
divided by four for a final total. The overall total is located just after
the player's team.
1. Matt Wieters C (Orioles) 9.975 - A catcher that hits like Mark Teixeira
is a good player to have. If the O's call him up early enough he should win
rookie of the year.
2. David Price LHP (Rays) 9.925 - It was surprising that the Rays sent him
down, but when you are trying to limit a pitcher's innings you don't do that
in the major leagues. Expect him up by May and in the Rays starting
rotation. How many games the Rays lose that they may have won if Price was
in the rotation could be debated.
3. Travis Snider OF/1B (Jays) 9.575 - If Wieters doesn't get called up Travis
should win rookie of the year. He'll eventually move from left field to
first, but he's already an impact bat at 21.
4. Jason Heyward OF (Braves) 9.325 - At 6′4〃 220 he looks like Willie
McCovey in right field. Awesome power, strong arm, excellent defense and
good character. The Braves will be delighted to make him their starting
rightfielder in 2011.
5. Madison Bumgarner RHP (Giants) 9.275 - A nice pitcher's frame and a
fastball that already explodes at 97 and he won't turn 20 until August. He
just needs to improve his change and breaking pitch and he will join Matt
Cain and Tim Lincecum to make a pretty fearsome threesome.
6. Colby Rasmus OF (Cardinals) 9.25 - He should be the Cardinals starting
centerfielder before the year is out. Ankiel will move to right. It
improves them defensively without any loss in offense. Ludwick or Duncan
will play left and the loser of that job will come off the bench.
7. Cameron Maybin OF (Marlins) 8.825 - The Marlins starting centerfielder and
the NL's rookie of the year favorite. Eventually he will be a solid number
three hitter.
8. Neftali Perez RHP (Rangers) 8.825 - He has hit triple digits with his
fastball and just needs a little more seasoning in AAA before the Rangers
call him up.
9. Rick Porcello RHP (Tigers) 8.725 - He was drafted in the first round in
2007, but the Tigers staff is short on talent so expect him in the 5 slot
for the Tigers rotation. It may be too fast to be pitching in the big
leagues at 20.
10. Brett Anderson LHP (Athletics) 8.6 - He relies on command and appears to
have made the Athletics starting rotation. He and Trevor Cahill will be
linked for life if they stay with the Athletics. Brett has the command and
throws from the left side, Trevor has the velocity and throws from the right.
11. Trevor Cahill RHP (Athletics) 8.55 - Trevor is the pitcher who throws
from the right with velocity.
12. Tommy Hanson RHP (Braves) 8.375 - He's just an injury away from making
the Braves rotation. The first pitcher to ever win the MVP in the Arizona
Fall League.
13. Lars Anderson 1B (Red Sox) 8.4 - Despite the heckler at the Pirates
spring training facility who kept screaming at Lars that "he sucked" Lars
will move Youkilis to third and Mike Lowell away from Boston. Give him
another year or two.
14. Buster Posey C (Giants) 8.15 - Two Giants in the top 20. Never thought I
would see that happen. The Giants paid him $6.25 million. Next year the
Giants will anoint him their starting catcher.
15. Dexter Fowler OF (Rockies) 8.15 - He had an excellent spring and will be
the starting centerfielder for the Rockies this year. Spilboroghs and Smith
will platoon in left.
16. Justin Smoak 1B (Rangers) 8.1 - Sweet swinging with gold glove potential
Justin will be a presence on the Rangers as early as this year, if the minors
don't prove to be too much of a challenge.
17. Tim Beckham SS (Rays) 8.05 - The Rays will be patient with him but
eventually he will fill their shortstop position.
18. Andrew McCutcheon OF (Pirates) 8.05 - He is small in stature but his
stick roars with thunder. He'll spend another half a season in AAA before
he'll move Nate McClouth to left. His defense is exceptional.
19. Pedro Alvarez 3B (Pirates) 8.025 - Pedro Alvarez may not hit for a lot of
homeruns, but he will still have an impact bat. He may also be forced to
move from third if his defense doesn't improve.
20. Mike Mostakas SS (Royals) 7.95 - Mike may eventually have to move to
third because of his lack of speed to cover the shortstop position. He
should have more than enough stick to play the position.
21. Matt Laporta OF (Indians) 7.75 - He's got the bat to make Ben Francisco a
fourth outfielder again. He played a lot of first base in the minors so he
will continue to play in the minors to enhance his defense in the outfield.
He doesn't have the speed to be more than an average outfielder, but he has
an impact bat.
22. Chris Tillman RHP (Orioles) 7.675 - A solid pitcher, one of the youngest
starters in AA, he still finished 11-4 with a 3.28 ERA. He could make his
debut in September 2009.
23. Jarrod Parker RHP (Diamondbacks) 7.525 - Parker was also drafted in the
first round in 2007 but he needs a little more seasoning. 2010 will be his
arrival date and that may have to wait until September.
24. Eric Hosmer 1B (Royals) 7.425 - The Royals will have to make room for
him. Mike Jacobs is only a temporary fill in at first base. Between Jacobs,
Butler and Hosmer there are only two positions for the three players.
25. Fernando Martinez OF (Mets) 7.325 - Remember years ago when Jose Reyes
had trouble with his leg injuries. The Mets can only hope that Fernando will
overcome his injuries. He will be the starting left fielder for the Mets in
2010.
26. Brian Matusz RHP (O's) 7.2 - He and Tillman will be a tough 1-2 punch for
teams to overcome in a couple years. Brian played for the University of San
Diego Toreros and their crosstown rivals are the favorites to draft the San
Diego State Aztecs Stephen Strasburg. The symmetry of baseball can be
amazing.
27. Josh Vitters 3B (Cubs) 7.175 - His bat woke up last year and it won't
take long for him to make the Cubs lineup. Aramis Ramirez may have to find
another position or he will be playing for another team in 2011.
28. Wade Davis RHP (Rays) 7.175 - Another solid pitcher who throws in the mid
90s. He may have to settle for a bullpen spot before he can start for the
Rays.
29. Gordon Beckham SS (White Sox) 6.625 - The White Sox almost gave him the
starting job at second base based on his spring performance. They will let
him perfect his tools in high A or AA.
30. Brett Wallace 3B (Cardinals) 6.375 - At 245 pounds he could use a little
more toning but his bat is major league quality. If he can't watch his
weight he'll have the bat to play first, but then the Cardinals already have
a pretty good player there.
31. Angel Villalona 1B (Giants) 6.35 - Angel is listed at a generous 230. He
was a third baseman but lost a little of that flexibility with the gain in
weight. His potential power is massive so he will have the offense for first
base.
32. Mike Stanton OF (Marlins) 6.325 - He could probably play centerfield but
with Maybin there he has the arm for right. The stick presents itself with
40 homerun potential. He had 39 in Low A.
33. Carlos Santana C (Indians) 6.3 - The Indians may have to move him from
catcher if they want to get his bat in the lineup quicker than what it would
take as a catcher. His offense is much more advanced than his defense.
34. Alcides Escobar SS (Brewers) 6.275 - A slick fielding shortstop who has
improved with the stick. J.J. Hardy may have to consult with Mike Young soon
about the transition to third base.
35. Austin Jackson OF (Yankees) 6.1 - A lot of mixed reviews on Jackson. If
he doesn't make it as a centerfielder he may not have enough bat to play a
corner. If Gardner shows he can play centerfield Austin could be used as
trade bait to fill a late season need.
36. Tim Alderson RHP (Giants) 6 - He tantalizes hitters with junk. Not
overpowering but good command and an excellent curveball.
37. Derek Holland LHP (Rangers) 5.95 - a lefthander that throws in the
mid-90s is a keeper. He needs to develop his secondary pitches better to be
effective as a starter.
38. Carlos Carrasco RHP (Phillies) 5.925 - Some have questioned his mental
toughness. He just needs to develop consistency with his pitches to be
effective as a major league starter.
39. Yonder Alonso 1B (Reds) 5.9 - The Reds may have to move Joey Votto to
find room for his stick. They have a couple years to make that decision.
40. Elvis Andrus SS (Rangers) 5.5 - Elvis is alive and well in Texas and he
has moved Mike Young to third. My guess is he will have his struggles and
may have to be sent back to AAA but his future is as the Rangers shortstop.
It just may be too early now.
41. Logan Morrison 1B (Marlins) 5.35 - A solid bat who should hit over .300
with 30 homeruns. He still needs to work on his defense and will probably be
at best an average firstbaseman defensively. But with his stick the Marlins
will take that.
42. Jordan Schaefer OF (Braves) 5.15 - He may have made the Braves starting
centerfield job. His 50 game suspension set him back a little bit, but his
combination of defense and stick is better than anything the Braves currently
have for centerfield.
43. Michael Bowden RHP (Red Sox) 4.9 - His fastball is between 89-93 but it
is his command that will get him to the major leagues as a third starter.
44. Aaron Hicks OF (Twins) 4.875 - A premium athlete with 5-tool ability, it
won't take him long to compete with Carlos Gonzalez for the centerfield job.
45. Matt Gamel 3B (Brewers) 4.8 - Matt will take a walk, hit for average and
blast over 20 homeruns. Most of his errors still come on his throws and if
he doesn't improve he could move to the corner outfield.
46. Ben Revere OF (Twins) 4.65 - The Twins will certainly have a surplus of
outfielders soon. His arm is not as strong as Hicks, but he has the speed to
cover centerfield. His power will be relegated to the gaps.
47. Michael Inoa RHP (Athletics) 4.55 - At 18 he's still a couple years from
the majors and if the A's develop him right he could fit in the number one
spot. Despite his youth his fastball hits 94 and at 6′7〃 he has plenty of
projection left.
48. Nick Adenhart RHP (Angels) 4.475 - He's made the starting rotation and he
will have to pitch well to keep it. Santana and Lackey will be back by May
and two pitchers will have to go. Nick only hopes his starts are better than
last year's disaster.
49. Jesus Montero C (Yankees) 4.3 - He needs a lot of improvement on his
defense to make it as a catcher. The Yankees may be forced to move him to
first to get his bat in the lineup.
50. Reid Brignac SS (Rays) 4.25 - With Beckham behind him and Bartlett in
front of him the timing may never be right.
51. Jordan Zimmerman RHP (Nationals) 4.1 - The Nationals have given him an
opportunity to pitch for them now. It shouldn't take him long to be their
ace.
52. Taylor Teagarden C (Rangers) 4 - His defense is too good to remain a
backup to Saltalmacchia for long.
53. Jhoulys Chacin RHP (Rockies) 3.9 - A 31-10 career minor league record and
a good fastball/changeup combination will work for him.
54.Carlos Truinfel SS (Mariners) 3.675 - The Mariners will keep him at short
but his future is as a second or third baseman.
55. Wilmer Flores SS (Mets) 3.675 - Ditto for Wilmer Flores, though he should
hit for more power than Carlos. He is compared a lot to Miguel Cabrera and
when be begins to bulk up like Cabrera shortstop will not be an option.
56. Desmond Jennings OF (Rays) 3.63 - He's had a bit of a problem staying
healthy but he covers a lot of ground in centerfield and he takes a lot of
walks. He'll make an excellent lead off hitter.
57. Jose Tabata OF (Pirates) 3.525 - An excellent bat but a lousy attitude
and a 43 year old wife with a number of aliases. Did the Pirates know about
that when the Yankees pawned him off on them?
58. Matt Dominguez 3B (Marlins) 3.5 - His defense is major league ready, but
his bat needs a little more work. Give him until 2011 and third base will be
his major league home.
59. Jake Arriata RHP (Orioles) 3.4 - Another jewel pitcher for the O's Jake
is a fifth round pick that should have been taken in the first round. His
fastball is an easy mid 90s.
60. Jordan Walden RHP (Angels) 3.225 - His fastball has touched triple
digits. If he doesn't improve his secondary pitches he will make an
excellent closer candidate.
61. Bret Cecil RHP (Jays) 3.25 - The Jays certainly have room for him with
all their injuries to their starting pitchers. Not overpowering but a good
mix of pitches. Bret needs to watch his weight to stay on the mound.
62. Chris Carter OF (Athletics) 3.2 - He needs to find a position but if he
continues to hit 39 or more homeruns a position will be found for him.
63. James McDonald RHP (Dodgers) 3.175 - He has made the Dodgers starting
rotation and he and Clayton Kershaw should be an imposing 1-2 for years to
come. His fastball is 93-94 but his best pitch is his curveball and he has a
solid changeup.
64. Greg Halman OF (Mariners) 3.175 - His 9 K's in 11 at bats in the WBC is
not the real Halman. Though he will always have trouble making contact, he
will hit for enough power to make up for the swings and misses. His speed
will also make him a 30-30 player that hits .250.
65. Kyle Blanks 1B (Padres) 3.025 - With Adrian Gonzalez playing first base
for Mexico in the WBC Blanks got an opportunity in spring and the Padres
liked what they saw. Good power but needs to stay away from the donuts.
66. J.P. Arencibia C (Jays) 3 - The Jays could use his catching now, but
they'll give him a little more exposure in the minors before calling him up.
He's got some pop, will hit for average and is above average defensively.
67. Jeremy Hellickson RHP (Rays) 2.975 - With better command he will be a
solid starter. He's got three above average pitches which is enough to be a
major league starter.
68. Phillipe Aumont RHP (Mariners) 2.8 - He missed the opportunity to play in
the Olympics for Canada last year because of an elbow injury, but he did
pitch for them in the WBC this year. At 6′7〃 he easily throws smoke
between 95-97.
69. Aaron Poreda RHP (White Sox) 2.775 - Guillen thinks he has the stuff to
be his number one starter in the not too distant future. He sits in the mid
90s but has hit triple digits.
70. Michael Saunders OF (Mariners) 2.675 - He's displaying his power this
spring. He led the Canadian Olympic team in homeruns with two. At 6′4〃
he's built for power. He's a better fit for right, but he could play center.
71. Scott Elbert LHP (Dodgers) 2.55 - His 90-94 mph fastball will fit into
the Dodgers fifth spot in the rotation.
72. Nick Weglarz OF (Indians) 2.525 - Another Canadian Olympic player. He
also has the power and led the Candian team in homers at the qualifying
tournament. His defense is weak and he may have to be moved from the
outfield to first base.
73. Gorkys Hernandez OF (Braves) 2.5 - A gold glover defensively, he needs to
develop some patience at the plate. His power is gap to gap so he needs to
walk to settle in as a lead off hitter.
74. Andrew Lambo 1B (Dodgers) 2.45 - Good raw power but his maturity has been
questioned. His best position is first base, but the Dodgers have Loney
there so he will fit best in left field.
75. Jason Donald 2B (Phillies) 2.125 - His best positions are second and
short but with All Stars already there for the Phillies Jason may have to
fill a utility role or play for another team. He doesn't have the power to
be a good fit at third.
76. Jeremy Jeffress RHP (Brewers) 2.075 - If he can stay off the weed his
three digit fastball will get him to the major leagues.
77. Chris Perez RHP (Cardinals) 2.075 - He was hoping to fit in the closer
role for the Cardinals but command is still a problem. A good
fastball/slider combination will eventually land him the spot.
78. Gio Gonzalez LHP (Athletics) 1.975 - He has probably been the most traded
prospect on this list but the Athletics will take his lefthanded arm. He
throws between 87-91 and still needs to work on his command.
79. Martin Perez LHP (Rangers) 1.975 - Good command of a 90-94 mph fastball.
Only 18, the Rangers will show patience with him.
80. Jason Castro C (Astros) 1.95 - The Astros top prospect, he will be a good
offensive catcher that plays a solid defense behind the plate. A lefhanded
stick is an advantage too.
81. Michael Burgess OF (Nationals) 1.875 - Burgess put on a long ball display
in the homerun derby in class A that will be talked about for a long time.
16 homers in 38 swings. He has the arm to fit in right field.
82. Ross Detwiler RHP (Nationals) 1.875 - He had a tough year last year,
delaying his appearance in the majors, but a low to mid 90s fastball will get
him to the majors soon.
83. Michael Main RHP (Rangers) 1.8 - He's a good athlete who could probably
make it as a centerfielder. The Rangers will try his 92-96 fastball in the
rotation and if it is unsuccessful he can always move to centerfield.
84. Freddie Freeman 1B (Braves) 1.775 - A big guy with light tower power, his
6′5〃 inch frame will intimidate many a pitcher. His defense is well above
average.
85. Dominic Brown OF (Phillies) 1.75 - He wasn't drafted until the 20th round
in 2006 but his 6′5〃 frame has the potential to produce five above average
tools. Look for a lot of compairsons to Darryl Strawberry.
86. Andrew Miller RHP (Indians) 1.7 - He's got to control that finger injury
if he ever wants to pitch in the major leagues. His stuff is ready now.
87. Daniel Bard RHP (Red Sox) 1.625 - He may be the hardest thrower on this
list. Unitl last year he had a hard time finding the plate. Expect him in
the Red Sox bullpen before the year is out and the fans chanting "wild thing…
".
88. Bret Lawrie 2B (Brewers) 1.6 - The Brewers thought they may have had a
nice catcher, but Brett prefers second base. He should move faster at that
position.
89. Matt Latos RHP (Padres) 1.6 - His 6′5〃 frame tosses an easy mid-90s
fastball but there are questions about his maturity. He is not good at the
social skills that make you a good teammate.
90. Jeff Nieman RHP (Rays) 1.5 - Anyone who can beat out David Price out of
the fifth spot in the rotation has to have some stuff. At 6′9〃 and 280 he
is a big boy that brings it in the mid-90s. Surgeries have delayed the start
of his major league career.
91. Chris Nelson SS (Rockies) 1.475 - The Rockies have moved him from
shortstop to centerfield and back to shortstop. After having an excellent
2007 season he struggled in 2008. He'll move to second base, his third
position in three years.
92. Todd Frazier SS (Reds) 1.4 - Frazier is another one of those men without
a position. Because he plays all of them that may eventually turn him into a
utility player. He's got power but lacks the range to be an every day
shortstop.
93. Wilin Rosario C (Rockies) 1.4 - He played three years in the rookie
leagues so the Rockies are making sure he moves slowly. He's athletic so he
should provide a solid effort behind the plate.
94. Ethan Martin RHP (Dodgers) 1.4 - Baseball America's 2008 high school
player of the year. He has yet to appear in a professional game because of a
meniscus tear in his right knee. He's still raw as a pitcher, playing third
base in high school.
95. Jeff Samardzija RHP (Cubs) 1.375 - His 98 mile an hour fastball is more
effective when he is in the bullpen. He's got the perfect closer's mentality
but needs to improve his control so he can cut down on his walks.
96. Kyle Skipworth C (Marlins) 1.35 - The Marlins first round pick in 2008 is
an excellent catcher with first rate defensive skills. His offense has
potential for moderate power and good average.
97. Tyler Flowers C (Braves) 1.3 - He needs a lot of work behind the plate,
but he can carry a team on his shoulder with his offense. He may ultimately
replace A.J. Pierzynski and despite his defensive shortcomings he may be a
better defensive alternative than A.J.
98. Angel Salome C (Brewers) 1.3 - Angel Salome was one of the primary
reasons that the Brewers first round pick Lawrie convinced them that it was
in their best interest that he move to second.
99. Daryl Jones OF (Cardinals) 1.275 - He chose baseball over football and is
using his speed to wreck havoc around the bases and cover ground in
centerfield.
100. Max Ramirez C (Rangers) 1.225 - Nobody questions his bat, but his
defense behind the plate will force a move to first base or be satisfied with
the DH role.
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