[外電] 太陽季後球員分析:Steve Nash

看板PHX-Suns作者sandwalk (sandwalker)時間12年前 (2012/05/20 08:07)推噓10(10推 0噓 1→)

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文章來源: http://ppt.cc/LFJh Here at Bright Side of the Sun we take the words TOTAL COVERAGE pretty dang seriously. While our beloved Suns are off taking nice vacations, we are still slaving away, attempting to provide you all with first class Suns coverage. So friends, without further adieu, we present you with the Phoenix Suns Season in Review, 2011-12. Up for discussion today is Steve Nash. 在「太陽光明面」站上,我們非常厭惡「概括」這個詞. 當我們所愛的太陽在享受美妙假期時, 我們仍像被努力帶來一流的太陽評論. 朋友們, 在道別前, 我們將繼續呈現上太陽隊11-12球季的總評. 今天討論的是Steve Nash Defining the grading criteria for a player of Nash's caliber is a difficult task indeed. He is MVSteve. The Nash Rambler. Captain Canada. Nashional Treasure. Two-Time. PG-13. The One-Eyed Stevie Wonder. 要定義如何評分老大表現的標準是一項艱鉅的任務. 畢竟, 他是: 最有價值球員, 能在籃下逛大街的老大, 加拿大隊長, 國家寶藏, 兩屆得主, PG-13, 獨眼龍神射手. He is a skilled soccer player (adept enough that he probably could have played professionally). He has displayed an aptitude for cinematography. In the 2010 Winter Olympics in Vancouver he lit the Olympic cauldron. He is a philanthropist and a noble benefactor. He was just named the GM of Team Canada. He is the guy they keep talking about in all those Dos Equis commercials. When Steve Nash finally hangs up the high tops, it will not be the end, but merely the beginning for a person who is not just a hall of fame basketball player, but an exceptional person in many facets. 他是準職業足球運動員. 他是攝影師 / 紀錄片導演. 他是2010年冬季奧運會持聖火代表. 他是慈善家和贊助人. 他是加拿大隊國家籃球隊經理. 他是Dos Equis 廣告裡出名的搞怪演員(Stay thirsty, my friends,ˊ_>ˋ). 當有天老大退休時,那將不會是結束, 反而是老大的另一段人生的開始, 他不只是一個準名人堂成員, 更是一個在各方面都突出的人. It would be easy to let all these things obfuscate the judgment of what I intend to be a one year report card; a snapshot in a hall of fame career. I will do my best to grade Nash on the season that just ended and not let his career as a whole interfere with my analysis. If you would like to see how I plan to scrutinize Stephen John Nash, as objectively as possible, take the plunge. 這些背景很容易混淆我對老大今年年度總評的判斷 – 想像要去捕捉老大傳奇職業生涯中一年. 我會盡我所能地只專注在這一季, 而不讓他的生涯表現來干擾我的分析. 如果你想知道我是如何客觀的評“史蒂芬‧約翰‧納許”, 那就直接往下看吧. Allow me to start the process by detailing some of Nash’s accomplishments this year. 請允許我從老大今年成就的一些小細節開始. In February 2012, Nash was named to his eighth All-Star Game (in which he played approximately 13 seconds in the first half and did not return in the second - boo). It was his 6th selection as a Sun, which ties him for a franchise record with “Sweet D” Walter Davis. 2012年2月, 老大被第八次選進全明星賽(雖然他只在上半場上場13秒, 下半場則完全沒上場). 這是他在太陽期間第六次打明星賽, 這也平了先前戴維斯(Walter Davis, 太陽隊史助攻第四高, 也是隊史上最好的射手之一)所保持的球隊紀錄. On April 21, 2012, Nash passed Oscar Robertson for 5th on the all-time career assists list versus the Denver Nuggets. At 9,916 career assists, Nash sits 225 behind Magic for 4th and 418 behind Mark Jackson for 3rd (meaning if he stays healthy he’ll pass both of them next year). 2012年04月21日, 老大在與金塊的比賽中累積助攻數超越奧斯卡‧羅伯森(Big O, Oscar Robertson, 大三元之王); 現在以生涯9,916次助攻排名第五的他, 落後排名第四的魔術 (Earvin“Magic”Johnson)225次助攻和排名第三的馬克‧傑克遜 (Mark Jackson)418次助攻(這意味著, 如果老大能保持健康, 明年他很有可能超越他們而來到史上第三). Finished second in the NBA in assists per game (10.7) 在今年NBA助攻排行榜上名列第二(10.7). Finished 11th in the NBA in field goal % (.532), 33rd in three point fg% (.390), and 4th in free throw % (.894) to narrowly miss extending his league record of 4 50/40/90 seasons. 命中率排名第11名(0.532),三分命中率排名第33名(.390),罰球命中率排名第4名(.894) ,僅僅以些微差距, 最終沒有能第五次達成他整季命中率達180的紀錄. Finished 21st in the league in eFG% (.581), 14th in TS% (.625), and 38th in PER (20.3). 有效命中率(eFG%)排名第21名(0.581), 综合投籃命中率(TS%)排名第14名(.625), 球員效率值(PER)排名第38名(20.3). Hit the game winning shot against the Milwaukee Bucks on his birthday with accompanying footage. 在38歲生日當天, 做客公鹿時, 老大投進了致勝球. Then still managed to draw the curtains on the season (with the help of an inspired home crowd) with a horripilating scene that will probably cause the words “We Want Steve!” to be indelibly etched into my mind. 在本季最後一場比賽時, (在主場鼓譟觀眾的幫助下),那些寫著“We Want Steve”揮舞的景象將不可磨滅地留在我的腦海裡. Steve was quite the industrious man. (看看這些紀錄,)老大真的是對自己毫不鬆懈的人. Now let’s take a gander at some of Steve’s statistics (I have included all of his years since returning to the Suns). 現在, 讓我們來看看老大在太陽幾年來的數據 Season Age Tm Lg G GS MP FG FGA 04-05 30 PHO NBA 75 75 34.3 5.7 11.4 05-06 31 PHO NBA 79 79 35.4 6.8 13.4 06-07 32 PHO NBA 76 76 35.3 6.8 12.8 07-08 33 PHO NBA 81 81 34.3 6 11.9 08-09 34 PHO NBA 74 74 33.6 5.8 11.5 09-10 35 PHO NBA 81 81 32.8 6.2 12.2 10-11 36 PHO NBA 75 75 33.3 5.3 10.8 11-12 37 PHO NBA 62 62 31.6 4.8 9 Career NBA 1152 993 31.4 5.3 10.7 Season FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB 04-05 0.502 1.3 2.9 0.431 2.8 3.2 0.887 0.8 05-06 0.512 1.9 4.3 0.439 3.3 3.5 0.921 0.6 06-07 0.532 2.1 4.5 0.455 2.9 3.3 0.899 0.4 07-08 0.504 2.2 4.7 0.47 2.7 3 0.906 0.3 08-09 0.503 1.5 3.3 0.439 2.6 2.8 0.933 0.3 09-10 0.507 1.5 3.6 0.426 2.6 2.8 0.938 0.4 10-11 0.492 1.1 2.7 0.395 3 3.3 0.912 0.5 11-12 0.532 0.9 2.3 0.39 2 2.3 0.894 0.4 Career 0.491 1.4 3.3 0.428 2.5 2.8 0.904 0.5 Season DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS 04-05 2.6 3.3 11.5 1 0.1 3.3 1.8 15.5 05-06 3.6 4.2 10.5 0.8 0.2 3.5 1.5 18.8 06-07 3.1 3.5 11.6 0.8 0.1 3.8 1.5 18.6 07-08 3.1 3.5 11.1 0.7 0.1 3.6 1.4 16.9 08-09 2.8 3 9.7 0.7 0.1 3.4 1.5 15.7 09-10 2.9 3.3 11 0.5 0.1 3.6 1.3 16.5 10-11 2.9 3.5 11.4 0.6 0.1 3.5 1.2 14.7 11-12 2.6 3 10.7 0.6 0.1 3.7 0.9 12.5 Career 2.5 3 8.6 0.7 0.1 2.9 1.6 14.5 Provided by Basketball-Reference.com, Generated 5/14/2012, http://ppt.cc/JyDD Nash’s minutes per game were down slightly, but I’ll explain later why this is misleading. His field goal percentage (.532) tied a career high. His rebounds (3.0) and assists (10.7) were still pretty commensurate with his career numbers as a Sun. 老大今年的上場時間有稍稍下降, 但稍後我會解釋為什麼會這數字會誤導我們. 他的投籃命中率(0.532), 追平了職業生涯高; 他的籃板(3.0)和助攻(10.7)仍然非常符合他在太陽期間一貫的數據. Where the noticeable dips can be seen are in field goal attempts (9.0), three point attempts (2.3), three point field goal percentage (.390), and points per game (12.5). 可以看出明顯變低的有: 出手次數(9.0), 三分出手數(2.3), 三分投籃命中率(.390), 平均得分(12.5分). In fact Nash’s season turned out very much like I suggested in my early returns fanpost from January 14th. 事實上, 他本季的表現很吻合我1月14日的文章. ┌─────────────────────────────────────┐ │ │ │Nash – Still playing at an all-star level, however, age is every man’s │ │master. Steve isn’t as much of a scorer as he was in his prime and can’t│ │take over games in the fourth quarter like years past. The area of his │ │game that seems as sharp as ever, distributing, is hindered by the lack │ │of dynamic finishers on the team. Nash’s talent is not being maximized │ │by the current roster. │ │ │ │奈許仍然打出了全明星級別的水準, 但是, 年齡仍然影響著每個人. 奈許不再像是個│ │他鼎盛時期的得分手, 也不能像過去幾年裡在第四節接管比賽. 因為隊上缺少強力的│ │攻擊手配合, 他不再像往年那般犀利. 奈許的能力在當前的陣容下沒有辦法做最程度│ │的發揮. │ │ │ └─────────────────────────────────────┘ Season Age Tm Lg G MP PER TS% eFG% 04-05 30 PHO NBA 75 2573 22 0.606 0.557 05-06 31 PHO NBA 79 2796 23.3 0.632 0.583 06-07 32 PHO NBA 76 2682 23.8 0.654 0.613 07-08 33 PHO NBA 81 2780 21.1 0.641 0.597 08-09 34 PHO NBA 74 2484 19.5 0.615 0.566 09-10 35 PHO NBA 81 2660 21.6 0.615 0.57 10-11 36 PHO NBA 75 2497 20.8 0.601 0.542 11-12 37 PHO NBA 62 1961 20.3 0.625 0.581 Career NBA 1152 36129 20.2 0.605 0.557 Season ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% 04-05 2.5 7.6 5.2 49.2 1.4 0.2 20.3 20.5 05-06 1.9 11.1 6.6 44.4 1.1 0.3 19 23.3 06-07 1.4 9.9 5.8 50.1 1.1 0.2 21 22.9 07-08 1.2 9.6 5.7 47.3 0.9 0.1 21.6 22 08-09 0.9 9.2 5.2 42.4 1.1 0.3 20.8 21.1 09-10 1.5 9.4 5.7 50.9 0.8 0.3 21.4 22.9 10-11 1.8 10.2 6 53.1 1 0.1 22.4 21.4 11-12 1.5 9.1 5.3 53.1 1 0.3 27.1 19.6 Career 1.9 8.7 5.4 41.9 1.2 0.2 19.5 21.2 Season ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48 04-05 123 111 9.7 1.2 10.9 0.203 05-06 121 109 10.3 2.1 12.4 0.212 06-07 124 110 10.8 1.7 12.6 0.225 07-08 121 112 9 1.4 10.5 0.181 08-09 119 115 6.7 0.5 7.3 0.14 09-10 121 114 9.1 0.8 9.9 0.178 10-11 118 114 7.3 0.7 8 0.153 11-12 115 110 5.2 0.6 5.9 0.144 Career 118 110 109.9 15.4 125.3 0.166 Provided by Basketball-Reference.com, Generated 5/14/2012, http://ppt.cc/JyDD Looking at advanced statistics, we can see that Nash’s WS/48 was only .144, which was his second lowest in the last 8 years (the other year can be blamed on Terry Porter), and only good for 76th in the league. His PER was also his second lowest total. His ORtg was his lowest in the last 8 seasons, but his AST% was tied with last year for his highest mark (lending credence to the lack of surrounding talent/players that can score without him argument). 在進階統計數據來看, 我們可以看到, 老大的每48分鐘贏球貢獻值(WS/48)只有0.144, 這是他過去八年來的第二低, (最低的那次可歸咎於波特教練強調防守的那年), 只在聯盟中排名第76.他的球員效率值(PER)也是第二低. 他的進攻效率(ORtg)是他在過去的八個賽季最低的, 但他的助攻比率(AST%)與去年並列為他的最高紀錄 (可歸因為隊上缺乏不需老大助攻就可自行得分的隊友). Delving deeper into the data it can be demonstrated that the first and second half of Nash’s season were far from pari passu. Allow me to illustrate. 更深入地探究這些數據可以發現上半季和下半季的老大表現相差甚遠.讓我來試著說明. Over Nash’s first 31 games he averaged 13.9 ppg. Over the last 31 that dropped to 11.0 ppg. In Nash’s first 31 games he scored 20 or more points 8 times. In his last 31 games he only reached 20 once. One time. In fact, he never reached 20 points in his last 24 games of the season. In that stretch he scored 9 points or less in 10 of the 24 games. 老大的頭三十一場比賽中, 他平均每場13.9分, 有八次拿下了20分以上; 在最後的三十一場卻下降到11.0分, 只有一次得分達到20分. 事實上, 在最後二十四場比賽中, 他沒有一次拿下20分, 其中有十場只拿了9分或更少分. His field goals made per game slid from 5.4 to 4.1. His field goals attempted per game dipped from 10 to 7.9. His FG% slipped from .542 to .518 (but let’s face it, .518 is still REALLY good). 他每場投進次數從5.4下滑到4.1, 出手次數從10降到7.9. 投籃命中率也下降, 從0.542 到0.518 (但我們得承認, 0.518仍然是非常好). What was the reason for this declivitous descent in Steve’s scoring numbers? Here’s one possible excuse reason. 造成老大的得分方面數據下降的原因是什麼? 下面是一個可能的理由. Season 11-12 Season 10-11 122 Days 170 Days 62 Games 75 Games 1961 Tot Min 2497 Tot Min 31.6 Min / G 33.3 Min / G 16.1 Min / D 14.7 Min / D 60 Days off 95 Days off 0.97 D off / G 1.27 D off / G As depicted in this expertly crafted comparison, the frequency of Nash’s minutes was drastically increased. What might be the most salient, and telling, portion is the total days off and days off to games ratio. An older player like Nash benefits more from the rest days than a younger player. I believe that at the outset of the season at least one person may have suggested mandatory rest days for Nash (and other players) to help counteract hebetude and exhaustion. 如這個比較表所指出的,老大上場的頻率大幅增加. 最明顯的是總休假日和休息日/比賽日的比率. 像老大這個年紀的球員會比年輕球員因更多的休息日而受益. 我相信, 在本賽季開始時, 至少有一人或許曾建議老大(和其他球員)要安排強制性休息日, 以幫助消除遲鈍和疲憊.(何時我們有能力學習馬刺打起養生籃球?) Can we blame some (or all) of Nash’s second half decline on the schedule? I think it is reasonable to think it played at least some role. What this suggests to me is that Nash may be able to duplicate or even improve on his performance from this season next year despite the inexorable march of the calendar since he will face much less stringent demands on his body. 我們可以把老大的下半年下降的部分(或全部)原因歸因於縮水球季密集的時間表嗎? 我合理的認為這點至少起到了一定的影響. 這讓我想到, 老大明年可能維持今年的表現甚至還會進步; 因為沒有了像今年這麼緊湊的賽程, 他明年在體能上被要求的程度會少得多. There are a lot of positives to look back on from the season, but a noticeable dip in production as the season whisked along at a frenzied pace. Nash just didn ’t seem to be able to keep up. 回顧本季,老大的表現有很多都是正面的; 但因本季瘋狂快速的步調,他的得分貢獻下降了.他(的體力)似乎沒有辦法跟上. When the team needed him most, he was unable to provide the offensive spark that could have propelled them into the playoffs. Not to imply that the team’s failures completely lie at his feet, but he is unquestionably the team’s leader and I believe that accountability goes to the top. I would have rather had Nash forcing shots and missing than seen his scoring decline the way it did based mostly on the simple concept of less shot attempts. 當球隊最需要他時, 他無法提供進攻火力以幫助太陽能擠入季后賽. 這並不意味著今年太陽的失敗全部得歸咎於老大, 但他無疑是球隊的領袖, 自然得也還是會寄望於他. 比單純因減少出手次數而得分下降, 我寧願看老大抱持攻擊慾望. I give Steve an A for his first half, a B/B- for the second half, and an overall grade of a B+. What do you think? 我給老大的上半季評A, 下半季則是B/B-, ,總成績是B +. 你覺得呢? -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 116.18.235.21 ※ 編輯: sandwalk 來自: 116.18.235.21 (05/20 08:09)

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