[外電] 誰可能取代亞當蛋?

看板Nationals作者s9527206 (悠)時間13年前 (2010/10/01 02:02)推噓10(10推 0噓 6→)

留言16則, 10人參與討論串1/1

以下這篇這篇文章點出了5位被預期能夠貢獻和蛋哥相近程度火力的一壘手，並列出 ﹝明年年紀／BR版WAR／FanGraphs版WAR﹞來和蛋哥作比較。 (蛋哥今年11月將滿31歲，而WAR分別是3.7／4.1) Last night, before Adam Dunn received an ovation each time he came to the plate and, in the process of trying "to hit every ball as far as I possibly could," struck out four times, Mike Rizzo sat with reporters and talked briefly about who will play first base in 2011. Rizzo did not offer specifics, but he made clear that if the Nationals do not resign Adam Dunn, they will need to replace him a similar player. "We need to get a four-hole hitter that plays first base," Rizzo said. "We understand that. We want it to be Adam Dunn. But if it isn't, we need to address that situation." So then if not Dunn, who could the Nationals target? Below are the five players who could reasonably be expected to replace or approach replacing Dunn's production at first base and in the cleanup spot. They are listed with their age for the majority of next season/Baseball-Reference WAR/FanGraphs WAR. (Dunn would be 32/3.7/4.1). Paul Konerko (35/4.7/4.5): Konerko is one of the few available first baseman would conceivably could be an offensive upgrade over Dunn. He hit .310/.390/.581 with 30 doubles and 38 home runs. (Konerko's .323 batting average on balls in play - 41 points higher than his career average - may have inflated his numbers.) But his advanced age would likely make him a temporary solution at best. And his defense would unlikely be an upgrade over Dunn's: His -11.9 UZR/150 ranks worst among qualifying first baseman in the majors. 今年打出了.310/.390/.581，38支全壘打的恐怖成績。不過BABIP 0.323 比生涯平均要高出41個百分點。而且他明年將滿35歲，就算要簽他也最好只簽短約。另外，他的防守是全大聯盟一壘手最差的(UZR/150 是 -11.9)。 Aubrey Huff (34/5.5/5.5): Huff played some outfield this season, too, but when he played first he played it exceedingly well according to the advanced stats, posting an 11.5 UZR/150. His offensive production (.291/.382/.510 with 26 homers, 34 doubles and five triples) helped put the Giants in position to make the postseason. He played in Baltimore for 2 1/2 seasons, so perhaps familiarity with the area would make Washington attractive. (Maybe that's a reach, but I wanted to point it out, anyway.) UZR/150 11.5，不僅防守優秀而且打擊三圍也是優異的.291/.382/.510，還有26支全壘打，是老人今年能夠衝擊季後賽的大功臣。過去三年大多都是在巴爾地摩金鶯打球，或許可以利用這項地緣優勢吸引他加盟華盛頓??(以上純屬妄想) Carlos Pena (33/1.2/1.1): The Nationals appear to be interested in Pena for what they perceive to be his outstanding defense. Pena, though, has a -2.6 UZR/150, which is actually worse than Dunn's. (Note: UZR/150 is not a be-all, end-all statistic, just one measure.) Offensively, Pena suffered a significant drop-off this season, hitting .198/.328/.411 with 28 home runs and 16 doubles in 470 at-bats. The decline could partly be owed to misfortune, as Pena's .223 batting average on balls in play this year is 65 points below his career average of .288. 目前最有可能的人選。FO似乎很尬意Pena的防守，但數據顯示他的 UZR/150 是 -2.6，比蛋哥今年的 -2.3 還來得差(嗯...好吧，當然 UZR 並不代表了一切，它也只是眾多防守數據的一種)。不過他今年的進攻表現大幅滑落，雖打出28支全壘打但三圍是.198/.328/.411的成績，這點是最令人起疑慮的，當然一部分的原因可能要歸咎於他今年超低的BABIP(.223)，比生涯平均(.288)要低了65個百分點。 Victor Martinez (32/2.9/3.8): The Red Sox have made him a full-time catcher, but prior to this season he split time evenly between first base and catcher. His offensive numbers suggest he could fit in as a cleanup hitter with the Nationals: He hit .300/.349/.488 with 19 home runs in 486 at-bats while playing through injury. A switch-hitter, Martinez especially brutalizes left-handed pitchers, hitting .396/.429/.732 this year. Martinez is also widely known as a fiery, unifying force in the clubhouse. 略，這根本不可能。紅襪不可能放人，我們也不可能簽他。V-Mart 要是真的來華盛頓我就吃滑鼠。 Prince Fielder (27/3.9/4.0): Fielder, unlike the above players, will not be a free agent this offseason. But the Brewers control him only through the end of the 2011 season, and his salary demands may prove prohibitive for the Brewers to sign him to an extension. He received a standing ovation as he left the field in his final Brewers home game, recognition that the city, like most of baseball, believes Fielder will be traded this offseason. Fielder is an elite slugger - he hit 32 home runs with a .481 slugging percentage. But if the Nationals are trying to upgrade their defense, Fielder's -11.0 UZR/150 is second-worst in the majors among first baseman. 這到底是誰想的...退一萬步來說就算我們交易來小王子，明年年底他也鐵定變FA，我們也鐵定留不住他。話說小王子竟然會拒絕了酒鬼開給他的 100M / 5yrs，Bora$ 到底想要多少...。順便補一下其他今年球季結束後將成為FA or 可能會變成FA的一壘手： Lyle Overbay(34/2.4/1.8)：砲管和進攻火力明顯跟蛋哥有落差，出局。 Derrek Lee(35/1.2/1.7)：今年打得有點鳥，而且也已經滿35歲了。要簽來賭一把可以，但也不是長久之計。 Lance Berkman(35/1.3/2.0)：也是今年表現不佳，明年開季時也將屆滿35歲，要選他嗎??洋基手上還握有 Berkman 明年合約(15M)的選擇權，不過應該是不會執行。個人感想：看來看去還是蛋哥最好 (*〞︶〝*)。健康，穩定輸出，左手砲，有選球眼，長得帥(?)，還會幫忙開電扇讓隊友納涼，過去最令人詬病的防守改移防到一壘後也進步不少。不知道能不能夠雙方都各退一步，簽一張3+1的合約？另外強烈希望球團別為了省錢，結果明年看到 Michael Morse 成為開季的先發一壘手…。 (強調一下，絕對不是說 Morse 不好，只是一下子就賭他明年能夠先發有點太冒險了，晚點有空的話會翻譯另一篇外電，在這裡先放上來 http://tinyurl.com/248k39j) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 114.43.234.47

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