[農場] MLB Prospect Review: Peter O'Brien
看他這兩年的HR蠻高的,就找了一篇他的簡介翻翻看
不過有些是 Fantasy Baseball 相關的分析就沒翻了
B-r 數據: http://goo.gl/kTSpUu
http://goo.gl/26rnzq
The Basics
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 215 lbs.
On 40-Man Roster: No
Protect After: 2016 Season
DOB: 7/15/1990 (Age 23 Season)
His History
O'Brien went undrafted out of high school, and attended Bethune Cookman
College for his first three seasons. He was drafted in the 3rd round by the
Rockies in 2011, but did not sign with the team at that time. He transferred
to Miami for his senior season, and was drafted by the Yankees in the 2nd
round in 2012. He signed for a bonus just under half a million dollars, and
spent most of his first professional season with Staten Island in the NY-Penn
League. O'Brien hit just .212 in 52 games, but added 10 home runs to the stat
sheet.
O'Brien 高中畢業時沒被選上,之後在 Bethune Cookman College 待了三個球季。
2011 年時落磯在第三輪選他但沒簽下,2012 時洋基在第二輪選了,用少於50萬的
簽約金簽下。之後在 Staten Island 開始他的職業生涯,52場出賽中打擊率 .212,
有10支全壘打。
He split his time in 2013, starting the year in Low-A Charleston and moving
up to High-A Tampa after just 53 games. On the year, he hit .291/.350/.544
with 23 home runs, 91 runs batted in, and 78 runs scored, while playing
catcher and third base primarily. He returned to Tampa this year, but after
30 games was moved up to AA Trenton. Through 50 games, O'Brien has 20 home
runs to go with a .297 batting average between the two levels, playing mostly
catcher and some in the outfield.
2013在 Low-A Charleston 打了 53 場後升到 High-A Tampa。這年繳出
.291/.350/.544,包含 23 支全壘打,91分打點,還跑回78分。而守備上主要是以
捕手和三壘為主。2014也在 Tampa 開始他的球季,打了 30 場後就升上 AA Trenton。
今年兩個層級50場比賽中,他有 .297 的打擊率以及 20 轟,大都當捕手,少數時間
站外野。
(譯註: 目前88場 .266/.306/.588 29HR)
The Scouting Report
Hit (AVG): While O'Brien has been hitting for a high average at some of his
stops, he's not expected to provide a high batting average as he moves up in
the organization. There are concerns about his ability to make consistent
contact, striking out at least 21% of his at bats at every stop so far, but
has been better this year than in previous seasons. There are also questions
about his approach at the plate, so it will be interesting to see if he can
continue this level of performance this year.
打擊:雖然他某些階段繳出高打擊率,但在更高層級時,並不被期待能持續有這種表現。
有些人質疑的他的擊球能力是否能持續表現,目前每一個層級都至少有 21% 的三振率,
不過今年有些進步了。他的選球能力也有些疑問,所以還得觀察他以後能不能維持這種
表現。
Power (HR, RBI): The power will be O'Brien's calling card as he continues to
develop. He has potentially elite power potential, but when paired with the
questions about his hit tool, may not play to its' full potential. If
everything clicks, he could hit 30 home runs a season, but the odds of that
are extremely low. More likely, he could provide 15-20 home runs on a regular
basis.
Power: 在養成過程中,power 是 O'Brien 的焦點。他有成為強打者的潛力,但考慮
他打擊上的問題可能會限制他的成長。極端狀況下一年能貢獻30轟,預估比較可能
成為15-20轟的打者。
Speed (R, SB): O'Brien is not considered a good runner, and is unlikely to
provide more than a token stolen base or two, if that. I wouldn't bet on even
that, as he has just 2 caught stealings to his name as a professional.
速度:職業生涯到現在只盜兩次壘,而且都被抓到。因此他並不是一個好的跑者,
以後一年也不會盜幾個壘包。
Defense: One of the biggest questions for O'Brien is where he will play on
the diamond. He has been catching primarily since signing with the Yankees,
but is considered a below-average defender at the position and is not
expected to profile there long-term. The team tried him at third base as
well, but isn't expected to profile there either. He seems destined to be
either a left fielder or a first baseman down the line, essentially somewhere
they can put him where he won't kill you on defense.
防守: 守位是他目前的大問題。和洋基簽約後先從補手開始,但是他低於平均的
防守能力對他生涯沒幫助。因此球隊嘗試讓他守三壘,但也守的不太好。目前看來他
最後會待在外野或一壘,反正任何不會因為他的防守傷害球隊的地方就好。
(最近還有一篇: http://goo.gl/MBtHQY 說他在一壘待的蠻舒服的)
When Could He Arrive in the Majors?
O'Brien could be up in the majors by the end of 2015, assuming he continues
to hit like he has this year.
如果繼續這種表現,預計明年球季末會上來。
What Can He Do for Your Fantasy Team?
I could see him hitting in the .240-.250 range with 20+ home runs if he was
given a full season of playing time, but that remains a giganticly large
question given his defensive liabilities.
預估他若全勤是一個 .240~.250 + 20轟以上的打者,但是防守是個大問題。
Conclusions
In the best case scenario, you're probably looking at a .240-.250 hitting
catcher with 20+ home runs if he gets everyday playing time. The key for him
is whether he does get that playing time, and whether it happens behind the
plate enough to stay qualified at the position consistently. If he only ends
up with 1B or OF eligibility, he becomes essentially an AL-only play most
likely. We should learn more about him as the season progresses, and whether
he can keep the performance up at AA for the rest of the year.
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※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NY-Yankees/M.1405474848.A.6A4.html
※ 編輯: ccpz (140.113.243.129), 07/16/2014 11:08:07
※ 編輯: ccpz (140.113.243.129), 07/16/2014 15:00:13
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