[討論] Who's the next Chien-Ming Wang?
Who's the Next Chien-Ming Wang?
by Howard Megdal | June 23, 2008
http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/blogpen/archives//markusen_2003-06-12_0.shtml
當王建民最快要九月才會回來時,洋基勢必要尋找一個輪值替代的人選。王的替代者
的戰爭已經展開了,你將會看到不少的B計畫直到找到適合的人選。或是交易印地安那隊
的ace,C.C.Sabathia,下列是一些合適的人選。
Dan Giese
If possession is 9/10 of the law, then Giese has the inside track on the
position, having taken Wang’s spot the first time through the rotation
Saturday against Cincinnati. His numbers were superficially effective: 6 2/3
innings, no earned runs, no walks, and five strikeouts. But that lack of
earned runs resulted from the fact that Giese’s three runs allowed came
following an error—not from Giese’s dominance.
Certainly, though, Giese’s turn earned him another start, likely Friday
night against the Mets. And the 31-year-old career minor leaguer has
displayed the ability to throw strikes—in 656 1/3 minor league innings,
Giese has walked just 1.7 hitters per nine innings.
Sidney Ponson
Should Giese falter, the other scheduled starter in Friday’s two-stadium
doubleheader with the Mets, Sidney Ponson, is likely to get a chance at
regular rotation work. Ponson’s prospects are not particularly bright,
though he did post a 3.88 ERA in 55 innings for Texas this season, six
percent better than league average.
But Ponson was released by the pitching-poor Rangers for an undisclosed
conduct issue, a repeated problem for the rotund Aruban. And given both his
uninspiring strikeout rate, along with his season ERAs since 2004—5.30,
6.21, 6.25, 6.93—it is unlikely that the Yankees have found their new Wang
in Sidney Ponson.
Jeff Karstens
One of the pitchers the Yankees tried in 2007 prior to signing Roger Clemens,
Karstens is back at AAA and threw a gem on Sunday—6 2/3 innings, one walk,
11 strikeouts. If his outings approximate that level of success, the Yankees
might give the 24-year-old another shot in the rotation.
However, Karstens has been extremely hittable in his 57 1/3 career major
league innings—he allowed 10 home runs, 67 hits, and pitched to a 5.65 ERA.
There is little indication he is much more than a AAA pitcher.
C.C. Sabathia
Which brings New York to the best pitcher likely to be dealt in 2008, C.C.
Sabathia. The reigning American League Cy Young Award winner (and soon-to-be
free agent) has seen his numbers drop a bit from last season’s 3.21 ERA and
37 walks against 209 strikeouts in 241 innings. But that is largely a
function of his 7.88 ERA April—in May and June, his ERA has been 2.44 and
2.40, respectively.
If acquired by New York and signed to a long-term contract, Sabathia, just
27, would provide New York with an ace to pair with Joba Chamberlain, giving
the Yankees the front-line starters they have lacked throughout their recent
October failures. He’d provide an anchor in front of Chamberlain, Hughes,
Wang, and should he develop, Kennedy. And both his outward competitiveness
and close relationship with his mother should play well with the New York
media.
The downside to Sabathia is that he has a large amount of mileage on his arm
at age 27—including the 241 innings last season—and he’s not in classic
baseball shape, unless that refers specifically to the shape of a baseball.
But New York’s improving offense, revelatory pitching by Joba Chamberlain,
and Indian summer renaissances by Mike Mussina and Andy Pettitte have the
Yankees in position to get to October, should Sabathia be brought on board.
And the other alternatives fall well short of that.
(Not mentioned: Ian Kennedy—too soon. Kei Igawa—too awful to contemplate.)
--
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