Re: [校園] 剛在後門目擊一樁小車禍
很多人提三寶要看統計數據
我還真的頗有興趣,於是就去找了統計數據
我國政府的交通統計是做的很好的
http://140.129.29.211/webmocka2/Level1/L1st1N.aspx
只要把事故資料那邊選性別以及年齡分層
就選個民國98年吧,然後用交叉列表,一個改性別一個改年齡分層,然後輸出報表
為了怕有人不會操作,我把結果弄在下面了,還幫忙算了機率比
年齡 (1)男 (2)女 合計
< 5 1145 871 2016
5-9 1858 1621 3479
10-14 2907 2165 5072
15-19 22876 12750 35626
20-24 34246 21541 55787
25-29 29998 17870 47868
30-34 25221 15264 40485
35-39 20475 13190 33665
40-44 20440 12915 33355
45-49 19905 12343 32248
50-54 17746 11028 28774
55-59 14922 9224 24146
60-64 8873 5430 14303
65-69 7032 4186 11218
70-74 5612 2763 8375
75-79 4267 1614 5881
80-84 2591 702 3293
> 84 929 292 1221
空白 4183 647 8692 (+3862個逃逸)
合計 245226 146416 395504 (+3862個逃逸)
(62%) (37%) (1%)
從統計上來看,無論是哪個年齡,男生出事的個數都比女生還多
從數字來看,又正好是年輕男性最多
當然,大家可以辯解說傳統上男生開車機會比較高
但根據交通部的統計,98年汽機車總和使用男女比是52.5%:47.5%
http://www.motc.gov.tw/mocwebGIP/wSite/lp?ctNode=549&CtUnit=102&BaseDSD=7&mp=1
最後一項裡私人機動運具合計,透過男女比102:100算出來的
你可以使用上面這個機率來對照一下出事率,就可以發現
無論是哪一種年齡,男女事故比都高於男女使用比的平均
(當然,使用比沒給年齡數據,是較可惜的指標)
再換個角度來說,有學過條件式機率嗎?
當今天你在路上被不明人士追撞時,(如新聞以及本篇原文)
根據上表,請問被哪一種人撞到的機率最高?
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◆ From: 140.112.150.172
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是啊,可是這是有登記的,
你覺得那哪種人在路上出車禍後,比較不會登記或去醫院XD?
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※ 編輯: wearytolove 來自: 140.112.150.172 (11/06 11:25)
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