[試題] 100-2 呂學一 機率 第一次期中考消失
課程名稱︰機率
課程性質︰必帶
課程教師︰呂學一
開課學院:電資學院
開課系所︰資訊系
考試日期(年月日)︰2012/03/26
考試時限(分鐘):180
是否需發放獎勵金:是
(如未明確表示,則不予發放)
試題 :
說明:總共十二題,每題十分,可按任何順序答題。歡迎使用事先準備的A4大抄。每題
難度不同,請審慎判斷恰當的解題順序。
第一題
Sixty percent of the families in a certain community owns their own car
, thirty percent own their own home, and twenty percent own both their own
car and their own home. If a family is chosen uniformly ar random from the
community, what is the probability that this family owns a car or a house
but not both?
第二題
Suppose that we have ten coins which are such that if the i-th coin is
flipped then heads will appear with probability i/10, i = 1,2,...,10. When
one of the coins is selected uniformly at random and flipped, it shows head.
What is the probability that it was the fifth coin?
第三題
Let F be an event with P(F)>0. Define function Qf by Qf(E)=P(E|F) for
any enent E. Prove that Qf is a probability function.
第四題
Let X ba a nonnegative integervalued random variable. Prove that
∞
E[x] = Σ P(X≧i).
i=1
第五題
球桶裡有一顆紅球一顆黑球。每一回合我們等機率從桶中摸出一顆球並立刻放回
去,然後多加一顆跟剛剛那顆同色的球。例如第一回合如果摸到紅球,在第一回合結束
的時候,就會有兩顆紅球和一顆黑球在桶子裡。請問在第n回合結束的時候,桶子剛好
有i顆紅球的機率是多少?其中i可以是1,2,...,n+1中的任何一個整數。也請證明你的
答案是正確的。
第六題
If E[x] = 2 and Var(X) = 7, compute E[(4-x)^2] and Var(4-3x).
第七題
An airline knows that 5 percent of the people making reservations on
a certain flight will not show up. Consequently, their policy is to sell 52
tickets for a flight that can hold only 50 passengers. What is the probability
that there will be a seat available for every passenger who shows up?
第八題
Let X be a Poisson random variable with parameter λ. Show that P(X=i)
increases monotonically and then decreases monotonically as i increases,
reaching its maximum when i is the largest integer not exceeding λ.(Hint:
Consider P(X=i)/P(X=i-1).)
第九題
Suppose that P(X=a) = p and P(X=b) = 1-p. Please prove that X-b/a-b is
a Bernoulli random variable. You are also asked to compute Var(X).
第十題
Independent trials consisting of rolling a pair of fair dice are
performed. What is the probability that an outcome of 6 appears before an
outcome of 8 when the outcome of a roll is the sum of the dice?
第十一題
If X is a geometric random variable, prove that
P(X=n+k | X>n) = P(x=k).
第十二題
請說明為甚麼Poisson distribution 可以看成是 binomial distribution 的
一種極限。
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