[轉錄]1026演講＠清大統研所
※ [本文轉錄自 NCTU-STAT96G 看板]
作者: cyz ( ) 看板: NCTU-STAT96G
標題: 演講＠清大統研所
時間: Mon Oct 22 10:10:31 2007
清華大學、交通大學
統 計 學 研 究 所
專 題 演 講
題 目:
The epidemiology of verocytotoxin-producing Escherichiacoli
in a closed population
主講人: 劉維中博士 (中研院統計所)
時 間: 96年10月26日（星期五）10：40 - 11：30
（上午10：20-10：40茶會於統計所821室舉行）
地 點: 清大綜合三館837室
Abstract
Verocytotoxin-producing Escherichia coli (VTEC) are new pathogens that
emerged in the past few decades. Given the seriousness of diseases they cause
in both humans and animals, little is known about their epidemiological
characteristics. In this talk, we investigate the epidemiological
characteristics of VTEC within a population of animals. By fitting
mathematical models to the observed infection time-course of different VTEC
serogroups, we quantify the transmissibility of VTECs and their sources of
infections. Our results suggest that VTECs are short lived and different
serogroups tend to vary in the length of time they are able to persist within
a host. We also provide an estimate on the possible number of VTEC serogroups
that might be circulating within the studied population but were not detected
by our sampling procedure.
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