[外絮] 五個解釋2015NBA季後賽的圖表

看板NBA作者jimmy5680 (未必會飛的企鵝)時間9年前 (2015/04/15 00:12)推噓15(15推 0噓 1→)

留言16則, 16人參與討論串1/1

5 charts that explain the 2015 NBA playoffs： http://tinyurl.com/os7v3ls As the 2015 NBA playoffs approach, we wanted to look at the teams involved in a slightly different way. And so we made some charts. These five charts present interesting data about the playoff teams (those already in and some fringe clubs) that say something about their style, quality, strengths and weaknesses. Note that the data used has been collected over the past couple of days, so recent games may not be fully represented. 眼看2015年的NBA季後賽接近了，我們想要用稍微不同的方法來觀察各隊，所以我們製作了一些圖表。這五個圖表整理了關於季後賽隊伍的風格、素質、優勢和劣勢的有趣資料 (包含那些已經進入和一些還在邊緣的隊伍)。注意這些資料在過去幾天蒐集，所以剛打完的幾場比賽可能不會完整列入。 ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED? Pace vs. Offensive Efficiency： http://tinyurl.com/pbpcd2m (步調pace:48分鐘內球隊進攻次數) There are a lot of ways to measure entertainment value because tastes differ and the data can be misleading. But using two common indicators of fun -- offensive efficiency and pace -- actually works pretty well this season. To wit: The Warriors combine tempo and offensive success unlike any other club in the NBA. 衡量觀賞性因為不同喜好而方法很多且資料可能誤導人，但使用兩種最普遍的娛樂指標 ─進攻效率以及步調─在本季相當管用。勇士隊在結合節奏和成功的進攻方面與NBA的其他隊伍不同。 Houston and the Clippers are not well-liked, but their offenses sing and they play with above-average pace. The Thunder and Mavericks are in that zone as well. Boston is below average in efficiency, but their pace and space belief system is represented in pace. 火箭和快艇較不受喜愛，但他們的進攻不錯且有高於平均的步調。雷霆和小牛也在該領域之中。波士頓在效率上低於平均，但他們的步調和把握空檔的系統在步調方面展示出來。 Mainly, this chart shows that the West playoffs are where it's at. As if you didn't know. 大致上，這個圖表顯示出西區季後賽就如預期一般，如果你不知道的話。 DOWNTOWN VS. DOWN LOW Rate of three-point attempts and shots in restricted area： http://tinyurl.com/qcq2cjd This chart represents offensive style by laying out which teams take a lot of threes and which teams focus more on shots at the rim (through penetration, screen rolls, transition or post-ups). As it turns out, only one playoff team -- Houston -- is above average in both categories. And the Rockets are way ahead of everyone in terms of three-point rate. 這個圖表透過分析經常投三分球或傾向在籃下投球(透過切入、擋切、攻守轉換或單打) 的隊伍來展示進攻風格。如結果所顯示，只有一個季後賽隊伍─也就是火箭─在兩個領域都高於平均，且火箭在三分球比例上遠高於其他隊伍。 Most playoff teams, in fact, take fewer shots than average at the rim. Part of this could be that better teams draw fouls on a good share of shots in the restricted area, at least compared to lesser teams. Free throws aren't represented in this chart, which could underrate the near-basket frequency for some teams. (It's more difficult than just adding free throws to restricted area attempts, especially given the league's new propensity for intentional fouling strategies. 事實上，大部分季後賽隊伍在藍下投球比例低於平均，一部分原因可能是較佳的隊伍至少比較差的隊伍在禁區內投球時更常得到犯規。罰球不被顯示在這圖表中，所以可能會低估某些隊伍靠近籃框的比例。(這比直接把罰球加入進攻籃下的傾向較困難，特別是在聯盟新對於犯規意圖判定方法的新傾向下。) The Grizzlies and Wizards really don't take many threes at all. They are old-school teams at this point. 灰熊和巫師並不投很多三分，他們目前是傳統風格的隊伍。 DEFENDING THE ARC & THE RIM Opponents' shooting percentages on threes and in the restricted area： http://tinyurl.com/pbvcy2s Given that taking shots at the rim and from beyond the arc is representative of the New School of offense, defending those areas well is important. This chart shows which teams defend one or both areas well. As it turns out, Houston rates highly here as well. The team's long wings do a good job forcing tougher threes, and Dwight Howard in the paint (when he's been available) makes a huge difference in the restricted area. 既然知道在籃下和弧外投球被視為新的進攻風格，防守那些區域就一樣重要。這個圖表顯示哪些隊伍在防守其中一個或防守兩者時表現較好。結果顯示火箭的這個評價也很高，這個隊伍的長翼很好的迫使對方難以投三分，Dwight Howard在油漆區內(當他能上場) 使禁區防守產生很大不同。 Note that most of the best rim defense teams have a 7-footer or highly athletic shot blocker on their roster, led by the Pacers (Roy Hibbert), Warriors (Andrew Bogut) and Blazers (Robin Lopez). Also note Cleveland's poor rating on defending in the restricted area. That shouldn't bite them in the first round -- likely opponent Boston can't do much in the paint -- but it could come into play later on. 注意大多最佳的籃下防守隊伍都有七呎高或體能絕佳的投籃防守者，包含溜馬 (Roy Hibbert)、勇士(Andrew Bogut)和拓荒者(Robin Lopez)。同時注意騎士隊較差的禁區防守排名，那不應該在第一輪給予太多麻煩─像其對手賽爾提克在禁區內難有作為─ 但之後就會有所影響。 One flaw with this chart: it measures efficiency in the two zones, but not frequency. It's arguably better to prevent opponents from taking threes at all by running them off the line, or to prevent shots in the paint by encouraging pull-up jumpers or denying the ball in the deep post. It's likely that some defenses who use more preventative measures are underrated here. 這個圖表的一個缺陷是衡量了兩個區域的效率卻非頻率，拉開空間以阻止對手投三分有可能較佳，正如利用誘使對方投外線和嚴防禁區內以遏阻中距離投籃。某些多用預防性防守方法的隊伍可能在這裡受到低估。 SHARING IS CARING Effective field goal percentage vs. percentage of field goals assisted： http://tinyurl.com/pcrwgzc Here's another way to measure the fun factor of an offense: how frequently buckets come from assists. As you can see, the three best offenses in the league -- Golden State, Atlanta and the Clippers -- rate very highly in assist percentage. But a few other top assist teams (including Washington, Boston and Milwaukee) are rather average in overall offensive efficiency. 這裡是另一個衡量進攻的娛樂性的方法，那就是進球有多常來自於助攻。如你所見，聯盟最好的三個進攻隊伍─勇士、老鷹和快艇─在助攻排名上都很高。但少數高助攻的隊伍(包含巫師、賽爾提克和公鹿)則只有平均的總體進攻效率。 The best offense with a lower-than-average assist percentage is no surprise: it's Cleveland, who has a point guard with a 55-point game this season. And despite Russell Westbrook ranking top-5 in assists per game, OKC has the second lowest assist percentage in the league, primarily because most of Westbrook's shots are unassisted. 低於平均助攻比例者之中最好的進攻者不意外的是騎士，該隊有著一個單場拿過55分的控球後衛。同時儘管Russel Westbrook在平均每場助攻前五名，雷霆有著聯盟第二低的助攻比例，主要是因為Westbrook大多數的投籃都沒有受到助攻。 HOT AND COLD Offensive and defensive rating since Jan.15： http://tinyurl.com/nnh4zvq Here's the most important one of this set: a chart showing teams' performance since the midway point of the season (roughly Jan. 15). You want to be in the lower right hand corner. What's interesting is that since the midway point, San Antonio has essentially been Golden State's equal. The next tier is essentially comprised of Cleveland, the Clippers, the Hawks, the Bulls and ... the Pacers. Then you've got Portland, Houston, New Orleans, Dallas, Boston, Memphis and, uh, the Jazz, who were eliminated from contention a month ago. 接下來是本文最重要的部分，一個顯示各隊從季中(約略自1/15)至今狀態的圖表。你會希望位於右下角，馬刺事實上正與勇士平分秋色，第二批則實際上包含了騎士、快艇、老鷹、公牛和...溜馬，接著則是拓荒者、火箭、鵜鶘、小牛、賽爾提克、灰熊和呃，一個月前就無緣季後賽的爵士。 Can anyone stop the Spurs or Warriors? Which one will stop the other? Those seem to be the leading questions heading into the playoffs. 有任何人能阻止馬刺或勇士嗎?哪一個會阻止對方?這似乎是季後賽最大的疑問。 (翻譯不好請不吝指正) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.171.180.195 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1429027943.A.9CF.html ※ 編輯: jimmy5680 (1.171.180.195), 04/15/2015 00:22:31

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