[閒聊] 聖誕轉蛋不負責任機率猜測
-閒聊純猜測- -閒聊純猜測-
假設抽到單張的機率有下面這個關係
1>2>3>4>5 然後同一區內等權重
1.A(2張) (萬眾矚目的伏A?
2.A的S(2張)
3.S(4張)
4.S的SS(4張)
5.純SS(10張)
用評價表看也大致不破壞"高分卡機率低"的現象
(例外的可能是優卡,評價表高分,可是我這樣歸類會分在3、4區
剩下就有點湊數字,不太有根據 XDD
先假設5區單張幾%,慢慢往上推之類的,等比等差什麼的都試試看亂湊
最後湊到一個1+2區約50%,就覺得好像有可能了
(湊出1+2區不到30%的會覺得哪有可能這麼佛 被虐慣了嗎 囧
1區 15.5%(2~5配完分剩下的) 總共31%
2區 9% 18%
3區 6% 24%
4區 3% 12%
5區 1.5% 15%
所以一次10抽可能有一半(49%)是萬眾矚目(?)的A卡配他的S卡
然後SS卡因為數量夠多,所以抽起來盤面可能也是會漂亮有個2~3張(4+5:27%)
但是想抽特定某一張的,還是一樣只好看臉(1.5%)
那如果SS之間還有設不同權重的話....qq"
以上真˙閒聊騙P幣文 (無誤 <(_ _)>
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推
12/16 12:58, , 1F
12/16 12:58, 1F
→
12/16 12:59, , 2F
12/16 12:59, 2F
→
12/16 12:59, , 3F
12/16 12:59, 3F
→
12/16 13:01, , 4F
12/16 13:01, 4F
→
12/16 13:03, , 5F
12/16 13:03, 5F
推
12/16 13:14, , 6F
12/16 13:14, 6F
→
12/16 13:24, , 7F
12/16 13:24, 7F
推
12/16 13:50, , 8F
12/16 13:50, 8F
推
12/16 13:52, , 9F
12/16 13:52, 9F
→
12/16 13:52, , 10F
12/16 13:52, 10F
推
12/16 14:40, , 11F
12/16 14:40, 11F
→
12/16 15:03, , 12F
12/16 15:03, 12F
推
12/16 15:04, , 13F
12/16 15:04, 13F
推
12/16 15:04, , 14F
12/16 15:04, 14F
推
12/16 15:05, , 15F
12/16 15:05, 15F
推
12/16 15:06, , 16F
12/16 15:06, 16F
→
12/16 15:07, , 17F
12/16 15:07, 17F
推
12/16 15:07, , 18F
12/16 15:07, 18F
推
12/16 15:08, , 19F
12/16 15:08, 19F
推
12/16 15:08, , 20F
12/16 15:08, 20F
推
12/16 15:09, , 21F
12/16 15:09, 21F
推
12/16 15:09, , 22F
12/16 15:09, 22F
→
12/16 15:09, , 23F
12/16 15:09, 23F
推
12/16 15:09, , 24F
12/16 15:09, 24F
→
12/16 15:09, , 25F
12/16 15:09, 25F
推
12/16 15:10, , 26F
12/16 15:10, 26F
→
12/16 15:10, , 27F
12/16 15:10, 27F
推
12/16 15:11, , 28F
12/16 15:11, 28F
→
12/16 15:11, , 29F
12/16 15:11, 29F
推
12/16 15:11, , 30F
12/16 15:11, 30F
→
12/16 15:12, , 31F
12/16 15:12, 31F
推
12/16 15:12, , 32F
12/16 15:12, 32F
→
12/16 15:13, , 33F
12/16 15:13, 33F
→
12/16 15:13, , 34F
12/16 15:13, 34F
推
12/16 15:13, , 35F
12/16 15:13, 35F
推
12/16 15:14, , 36F
12/16 15:14, 36F
推
12/16 15:14, , 37F
12/16 15:14, 37F
推
12/16 15:15, , 38F
12/16 15:15, 38F
推
12/16 15:15, , 39F
12/16 15:15, 39F
還有 138 則推文
推
12/16 19:34, , 178F
12/16 19:34, 178F
推
12/16 19:40, , 179F
12/16 19:40, 179F
推
12/16 19:48, , 180F
12/16 19:48, 180F
→
12/16 19:49, , 181F
12/16 19:49, 181F
→
12/16 19:49, , 182F
12/16 19:49, 182F
→
12/16 19:57, , 183F
12/16 19:57, 183F
→
12/16 19:59, , 184F
12/16 19:59, 184F
推
12/16 20:05, , 185F
12/16 20:05, 185F
推
12/16 20:07, , 186F
12/16 20:07, 186F
推
12/16 20:29, , 187F
12/16 20:29, 187F
→
12/16 20:29, , 188F
12/16 20:29, 188F
→
12/16 20:30, , 189F
12/16 20:30, 189F
推
12/16 20:30, , 190F
12/16 20:30, 190F
→
12/16 20:32, , 191F
12/16 20:32, 191F
推
12/16 20:32, , 192F
12/16 20:32, 192F
→
12/16 20:33, , 193F
12/16 20:33, 193F
推
12/16 20:33, , 194F
12/16 20:33, 194F
→
12/16 20:34, , 195F
12/16 20:34, 195F
→
12/16 20:35, , 196F
12/16 20:35, 196F
推
12/16 20:41, , 197F
12/16 20:41, 197F
推
12/16 20:49, , 198F
12/16 20:49, 198F
→
12/16 20:50, , 199F
12/16 20:50, 199F
推
12/16 21:29, , 200F
12/16 21:29, 200F
→
12/16 21:34, , 201F
12/16 21:34, 201F
推
12/16 21:37, , 202F
12/16 21:37, 202F
推
12/16 21:40, , 203F
12/16 21:40, 203F
推
12/16 21:56, , 204F
12/16 21:56, 204F
推
12/16 21:57, , 205F
12/16 21:57, 205F
→
12/16 21:59, , 206F
12/16 21:59, 206F
→
12/16 22:00, , 207F
12/16 22:00, 207F
推
12/16 22:36, , 208F
12/16 22:36, 208F
推
12/17 00:37, , 209F
12/17 00:37, 209F
推
12/17 00:41, , 210F
12/17 00:41, 210F
→
12/17 00:42, , 211F
12/17 00:42, 211F
→
12/17 00:42, , 212F
12/17 00:42, 212F
推
12/17 00:44, , 213F
12/17 00:44, 213F
推
12/17 00:46, , 214F
12/17 00:46, 214F
推
12/17 00:54, , 215F
12/17 00:54, 215F
→
12/17 01:26, , 216F
12/17 01:26, 216F
推
12/17 01:36, , 217F
12/17 01:36, 217F