[討論] 1999年ESPN的預測
http://espn.go.com/endofcentury/s/watch/mlb.html
Baseball in the 21st century
By David Schoenfield Thursday, March 2, 1999
ESPN在千禧年的百年大計預測,紅色是已經實現的^^
If you stepped into a time machine and turned the clock back to 1900, you
would still recognize the game of baseball. The same cannot be said for
basketball or football. Oh, there weren't many home runs and starting
pitchers completed nearly every start, but it was still the same game. The
bases were 90 feet apart and three strikes meant you were out. Heck, even
then players and owners constantly squabbled over money.
What about the next 100 years?
Will anybody break Hank Aaron's record of 755 home runs?
Mark McGwire, Ken Griffey Jr., Alex Rodriguez, Vladimir Guerrero.
Who will beat the Yankees?
The Astros, The Indians, The Red Sox.
International influence
China, Brazil, Netherlands?
What will happen to the game's popularity?
1. The game is too slow: Keep the home runs coming.
2. Ticket prices: We all know TV is where the big money comes from.
3. Disparity: In 2004, the Expos move to Charlotte.
In 2008, the Twins move to Orlando.
In 2011, the A's move to Las Vegas.
Innovations
Schedule: The regular season will be shortened to 140 games.
Equipment: In 2042, Trey Griffey II will use a modified
carbon/aluminum bat that sounds just like wood.
Rule: Four balls and three strikes won't change but games
will be shortened to seven innings in 2058.
Uniforms: You think Coca-Cola would shell out millions to have
their logo across the chests of the Atlanta Braves?
You bet. Think 2010. (CPBL takes the lead!)
Player movement
Charlie Finley's wish will come true: All players to become
free agents every year (unless they sign long-term contracts)
The amateur draft: Right now, only American, Canadian and Puerto
Rican players are subject to the draft. Soon, all foreigners will.
Forced trades: There will come a time when players will be allocated
to specific teams in order to maximize their marketing potential.
Will Pete Rose make the Hall of Fame?
Well, 100 years is a long time.
--
Love, peace and harmony?
oh very nice very nice very nice
oh but maybe in the next world...
the death of a disco dancer - the smiths
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 36.224.218.65
推
01/19 15:18, , 1F
01/19 15:18, 1F
推
01/19 15:32, , 2F
01/19 15:32, 2F
推
01/19 15:34, , 3F
01/19 15:34, 3F
→
01/19 15:35, , 4F
01/19 15:35, 4F
→
01/19 15:35, , 5F
01/19 15:35, 5F
推
01/19 15:37, , 6F
01/19 15:37, 6F
推
01/19 15:52, , 7F
01/19 15:52, 7F
→
01/19 15:53, , 8F
01/19 15:53, 8F
推
01/19 15:57, , 9F
01/19 15:57, 9F
推
01/19 16:32, , 10F
01/19 16:32, 10F
推
01/19 17:01, , 11F
01/19 17:01, 11F
推
01/19 17:50, , 12F
01/19 17:50, 12F
推
01/19 18:37, , 13F
01/19 18:37, 13F
→
01/19 18:57, , 14F
01/19 18:57, 14F
推
01/19 19:17, , 15F
01/19 19:17, 15F
推
01/19 20:53, , 16F
01/19 20:53, 16F
推
01/19 20:58, , 17F
01/19 20:58, 17F
推
01/19 21:06, , 18F
01/19 21:06, 18F
推
01/19 21:28, , 19F
01/19 21:28, 19F
推
01/19 21:52, , 20F
01/19 21:52, 20F
→
01/19 21:53, , 21F
01/19 21:53, 21F
→
01/19 21:53, , 22F
01/19 21:53, 22F
推
01/19 22:40, , 23F
01/19 22:40, 23F
推
01/19 22:41, , 24F
01/19 22:41, 24F
推
01/20 00:44, , 25F
01/20 00:44, 25F
推
01/20 08:19, , 26F
01/20 08:19, 26F
→
01/20 14:17, , 27F
01/20 14:17, 27F
推
01/20 21:56, , 28F
01/20 21:56, 28F
推
01/20 23:32, , 29F
01/20 23:32, 29F
→
01/20 23:33, , 30F
01/20 23:33, 30F
→
01/21 12:39, , 31F
01/21 12:39, 31F