[情報] Cardinals in trouble after Greinke's g
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There isn't a whole lot of analysis needed for the Dodgers' 6-4 victory over
the Cardinals in Game 5. Zack Greinke scuffled early and then dominated his
final four innings, the Dodgers hit their first four home runs of the series
(two from Adrian Gonzalez), Joe Kelly pitched more like the guy with shaky
peripherals than the guy with the 2.69 ERA, and Brian Wilson and Kenley
Jansen finished it up in the final two innings. (Well, Jansen didn't exactly
finish with gusto, allowing two runs and allowing the go-ahead run to get to
the plate, finally striking out Adron Chambers -- on a questionable call --
to end it.)
Greinke's final line looked like he cruised through seven innings: 104
pitches, six hits, even fewer instances of hard contact, and striking out
four while keeping the Cardinals off-balance with his fastball that touched
94 and that slow curve -- he throws it, on average, a couple miles slower
than Adam Wainwright's curve, but seems to vary the speed more than
Wainwright does. But the Cardinals had two big opportunities against him.
They loaded the bases in the top of the first with two soft singles and a
walk, but Greinke fanned Matt Adams on a 2-2 curveball and induced Yadier
Molina -- who would have a terrible game -- to ground into a 5-3 double play.
The one stretch where the Cardinals did damage could have been prevented with
a little better luck -- or maybe better defense. After the Dodgers had taken
a 2-0 lead in the second, Matt Carpenter grounded a single to right with one
out in the third. The Dodgers don't shift much; with a shift, Mark Ellis
makes that play, although to be fair Carpenter's hit chart on groundballs has
enough spray to it that not going into a severe shift is defensible.
Carlos Beltran then tripled high off the wall in center field. A tough play
to be sure, but the ball did have enough hang time that it could have been
caught. Andre Ethier, an obvious liability in center, didn't come close to
getting back on it, and when Yasiel Puig didn't back up the carom, Beltran
coasted into third. Matt Holliday doubled to deep left-center, and while
Dodgers fans on Twitter were calling for Ethier's head, I'm not sure Willie
Mays catches that one. The Dodgers then did shift for Matt Adams, who broke
his bat and hit a soft grounder to second, an easy play for Ellis in a
regular alignment but an infield single with Ellis playing deep.
Game tied, runners at the corners with one out, four straight hits, the
Cards' offense finally alive. Greinke then got what was the key out of the
game. He fell behind 3-1 to Molina, but Molina bounced back the mound on a 93
mph two-seam fastball, an easy 1-4-3 double play. (Molina would strike out
his other two plate appearances.)
Anyway, the Dodgers are alive and if we do a quick look ahead, they have a
pretty good chance of winning this series, even though it returns to St.
Louis for the final two games.
1. Clayton Kershaw starts Game 6. Don't have to say much about that. Yes, the
Cardinals counter with Michael Wacha, who has allowed one run in his two
postseason starts, striking out 17 in 14 innings. Still, the pitching edge
has to go to the Dodgers.
2. Hyun-Jin Ryu would then start Game 7 against Wainwright. Yes, on paper the
edge goes to Wainwright, but Ryu beat him with seven shutout innings in Game
3. Remember, the Cardinals hit much better against right-handed pitching --
.280/.343/.412 versus .238/.301/.371 against lefties, and that line against
includes Allen Craig, who is out injured. Having two left-handers starting
the next two games is a big advantage for the Dodgers.
3. Cardinals bats are still struggling. They did get 10 hits on Wednesday,
raising their average for the series to .177. But several of the 10 hits were
flares, one was an infield single and one came when Puig lost a ball in the
sun.
4. The Cardinals' bench remains a huge weakness. With the game on the line in
the ninth inning against Jansen, Mike Matheny had no better option than to
leave in Pete Kozma, one of the worst hitters in the majors in the regular
season. He kept the rally going with a little flare but pinch-hitting for the
pitcher was Chambers.
The Dodgers have their own problems -- Ethier is a liability in center and
hasn't hit and Hanley Ramirez certainly appears bothered by that cracked rib.
St. Louis should still rate the favorite playing at home where they went
54-27, but it looks like a toss-up to me. I think this series goes seven and
I think Game 7 is decided late -- don't be surprised if Greinke is used at
some point -- and comes down to the bullpens.
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棒子很冷 沒有板凳 還要連兩場面對不擅長應付的左投先發
紅雀會連兩年雖敗猶榮嗎?
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