Should a Triple Crown guarantee an MVP Award?
http://tinyurl.com/8qenbjx
It's called the Most Valuable Player Award. There is no single statistic for
a hitter that guarantees that he has been the most valuable player in his
league.
這叫最有價值球員 沒有單一的數據可以直接保證某人是最有價值球員
If a player hits 60 home runs, you might guess he's the most valuable player
in the league and most of the time you would probably be right. But what if
he also batted .235, drew 40 walks, and played a really crummy first base?
Don't you think there might then be a more valuable player in the league?
如果有人打了60轟 你可能會猜他是最有價值球員 而很多時候你是正確的
但如果他打擊率只有.235 40保送 守一壘很爛呢?
If a player bats .400 -- nobody's done that since 1941! -- you might guess
he's the most valuable player in the league and most of the time you would
probably be right. But what if he rarely walked, nearly all of his hits were
single, and he was a slow left fielder? Don't you think there might then be a
more valuable player in the league?
如果有人打了四割 你可能會猜他是最有價值球員 而很多時候你是正確的
但如果他是很少保送 守左外野很慢的水槍呢?
If a player is the best hitter in his league and plays really well for a
really good team that comes on strong down the stretch to grab a playoff
spot, you might guess he's the most valuable player in the league and most of
the time you would probably be right. But what if he was a pretty lousy third
baseman? And what if there was another player in the league, who was far
superior on the bases and with the glove, and a brilliant hitter, and played
for a team that actually won more games than our big-hitting third baseman?
如果有人是聯盟最好打者 而他的球隊進季後賽 你可能會猜他是最有價值球員 而
很多時候你是正確的
但如果他守三壘很爛呢?
而如果同時又有一位球員 在防守和跑壘都遠勝於他 又是強打者
球隊勝率還比強打三壘更高呢?
Ah, but none of that matters. Because our third baseman happened to lead his
league in batting average. And home runs. And runs batted in. And suddenly,
everyone who's railed against using statistics to determine things like
awards, while insisting on the importance of the little things -- you know,
little things like running fast and making spectacular plays in center field
-- suddenly, they're all arguing that we should forget about those little
things and instead fetishize a few of the most raw, basic, old-fashioned
statistics.
這些都不要緊 因為我們的三壘手是打擊王 全壘打王 打點王
突然間 那些討厭數據的開始用數據來決定獎項了
反觀他們一向強調的基本功 - 你知道的 跑壘 防守那些 -
突然間 他們要我們忘了這些基本功 轉而崇拜那幾個基本的 粗糙的古老數據
Hey, I gave it a shot. And I almost made it through the whole thing without
mentioning w.a.r. even once.
哈 我可沒提過WAR喔
--
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