[防守] Big Zone Metric

看板MLB作者時間15年前 (2009/03/17 18:41), 編輯推噓31(31010)
留言41則, 29人參與, 最新討論串1/1
這是THT的Peter Jensen建立的一種防守模型 數據來源是參考Gameday 以下是各個位置在2008年的排名 (數字代表每150場比平均少失的分數,請注意負數是表示高於平均,不要搞錯了) =============================================================================== First Baseman: Lance Berkman -28.6 Albert Pujols -23.3 Lyle Overbay -22.7 Mark Teixeira -21.8 Daric Barton -17.4 Casey Kotchman -16.3 Joey Votto -13.2 Chad Tracy -10.5 Adrian Gonzalez -10.2 Miguel Cabrera -6.5 Todd Helton -6.4 Carlos Pena -5.6 Carlos Delgado -3.4 Derrek Lee -3.4 Paul Konerko -3 Ryan Howard -2 Conor Jackson 0 Kevin Millar 0 Kevin Youkilis 0 James Loney 0.7 Justin Morneau 0.8 Rich Aurilia 1.5 Nick Swisher 2.4 John Bowker 3.2 Adam LaRoche 5.9 Jason Giambi 8.5 Ryan Garko 8.6 Prince Fielder 9.1 Ross Gload 17.3 Garrett Atkins 17.9 Richie Sexson 22.5 Mike Jacobs 26 =============================================================================== Second Baseman: Adam Kennedy -18.5 Clint Barmes -17.7 Jamey Carroll -15.8 Mark Ellis -13.6 Aaron Miles -12.8 Chase Utley -11.7 Asdrubal Cabrera -8.5 Placido Polanco -8.1 Mike Fontenot -5.7 Edgar Gonzalez -5 Howie Kendrick -5 Freddy Sanchez -4 Rickie Weeks -3.6 Brandon Phillips -2.8 Dustin Pedroia -2.5 Jeff Kent -2.5 Mark Grudzielanek 0.5 Alexei Ramirez 1.9 Jose Lopez 2.1 Dan Uggla 2.2 Ian Kinsler 2.2 Brian Roberts 2.5 Robinson Cano 3.2 Kelly Johnson 4.2 Joe Inglett 4.7 Aaron Hill 5.5 Akinori Iwamura 7.7 Alexi Casilla 10.2 Tadahito Iguchi 10.8 Orlando Hudson 11 Felipe Lopez 11.1 Mark DeRosa 12.7 Ray Durham 17.5 Damion Easley 17.8 Kazuo Matsui 18.4 Luis Castillo 22.3 =============================================================================== Third Baseman: Scott Rolen -28.2 Andy Marte -23.9 Mike Lowell -17.1 Evan Longoria -15.8 Jack Hannahan -15.6 Joe Crede -14.9 Adrian Beltre -14.6 Bill Hall -14 Mark Reynolds -10.3 Andy LaRoche -9.5 Chone Figgins -8.6 Alex Gordon -7.8 Pedro Feliz -7.7 Blake DeWitt -7 Juan Uribe -6.1 Jose Bautista -3.7 Ian Stewart -3.7 Carlos Guillen -3.6 Geoff Blum -2.8 Casey Blake -2.5 Kevin Kouzmanoff -0.1 Melvin Mora 0.3 Chipper Jones 1.4 Mike Lamb 2.1 Ty Wigginton 2.4 Aramis Ramirez 2.5 Alex Rodriguez 3.1 Brian Buscher 3.3 Garrett Atkins 3.6 Troy Glaus 4.5 Jorge Cantu 6.4 Edwin Encarnacion 9.7 Ramon Vazquez 10.7 Ryan Zimmerman 11.2 Rich Aurilia 12.2 Jose Castillo 13.2 David Wright 13.4 =============================================================================== Shortstop: Mike Aviles -23 Marco Scutaro -22.8 Cristian Guzman -21.4 Jack Wilson -16.2 Nick Punto -12.8 Michael Young -11.4 Miguel Tejada -11.1 Angel Berroa -10.6 J.J. Hardy -9.6 Troy Tulowitzki -9.6 Yunel Escobar -8.9 Jimmy Rollins -8 Cesar Izturis -7.4 Omar Vizquel -7.4 Orlando Cabrera -7.1 Tony Pena -6.4 Derek Jeter -3.1 Hanley Ramirez -1.6 Bobby Crosby -0.3 Jose Reyes 0 Ryan Theriot 2.4 Jhonny Peralta 2.7 Jason Bartlett 5.5 Edgar Renteria 5.6 Khalil Greene 7.7 Julio Lugo 12.5 Yuniesky Betancourt 16.3 Erick Aybar 18.5 John McDonald 21.6 David Eckstein 22.5 Jeff Keppinger 23.4 Stephen Drew 24.9 Brendan Harris 31.1 =============================================================================== Left Fielder: Jay Payton -30.7 Johnny Damon -26.5 David DeJesus -25.8 Carl Crawford -24 Garret Anderson -16.1 Willie Harris -12.8 Juan Pierre -12.7 Conor Jackson -9.3 Wily Mo Pena -8 Matthew Joyce -7.3 Matt Holliday -6.2 Fred Lewis -6.2 Luke Scott -4.9 Chase Headley -2.2 Josh Willingham 2.4 Alfonso Soriano 5.5 Eric Byrnes 6.1 Emil Brown 6.4 Brandon Boggs 6.5 Ryan Braun 8.4 Ben Francisco 8.6 Marcus Thames 9.2 Luis Gonzalez 12.5 Carlos Quentin 12.9 Carlos Lee 15.1 Adam Dunn 15.2 Adam Lind 17.1 Manny Ramirez 17.6 Raul Ibanez 19.3 Delmon Young 20.4 Gregor Blanco 20.6 Pat Burrell 28.5 Jason Bay 31.8 Jack Cust 34.1 =============================================================================== Center Fielder: Jody Gerut -36.3 Ichiro Suzuki -31.6 Jacoby Ellsbury -28.5 Carlos Gomez -25.4 Melky Cabrera -25.1 Cody Ross -18.3 Carlos Beltran -16.3 Mike Cameron -14.3 Corey Patterson -13.9 Curtis Granderson -12.8 B.J. Upton -10.9 Shane Victorino -9.2 Adam Jones -7.2 Grady Sizemore -5.8 Chris Young -5.7 Willy Taveras -5.3 Joey Gathright -3.1 Aaron Rowand -3.1 Rick Ankiel -2.9 Josh Hamilton 0 Coco Crisp 0.5 Torii Hunter 2.3 Jim Edmonds 3.7 Matt Kemp 3.9 Vernon Wells 5.7 Skip Schumaker 8.1 Michael Bourn 11.2 Lastings Milledge 14.8 Mark Kotsay 18.5 Reed Johnson 19.2 Nate McLouth 19.4 =============================================================================== Right Fielder: Franklin Gutierrez -41.3 Denard Span -32 Gabe Gross -19.8 Geoff Jenkins -18.4 Jose Guillen -18.3 Elijah Dukes -17.2 Jayson Werth -13.6 Brian Giles -11.8 Austin Kearns -11.8 Ryan Sweeney -11.1 Michael Cuddyer -10.7 Randy Winn -10.2 Brad Wilkerson -7.9 Jeremy Hermida -7.7 Kosuke Fukudome -7.6 Nick Markakis -7.4 Xavier Nady -6.2 Alex Rios -5.2 Mark Teahen -3.4 Corey Hart -3 Ichiro Suzuki -2 Matt Kemp -1.8 Ryan Church -0.2 Bobby Abreu 0.6 Justin Upton 4 Andre Ethier 4.8 Vladimir Guerrero 5.3 Ken Griffey 6.9 Jermaine Dye 9.9 Hunter Pence 9.9 Ryan Ludwick 12.4 J.D. Drew 13.3 Jeff Francoeur 14.2 Magglio Ordonez 16.3 Jay Bruce 22.3 Brad Hawpe 48.7 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.5.3

03/17 18:48, , 1F
David Wright竟然墊底,Hawpe也未免差太多了吧
03/17 18:48, 1F

03/17 18:49, , 2F
其實最鹹魚翻身的是...Mark Reynolds!
03/17 18:49, 2F

03/17 19:07, , 3F
Melky Cabrera -25.1 XDDDD
03/17 19:07, 3F

03/17 19:07, , 4F
這也正太多了XD
03/17 19:07, 4F

03/17 19:14, , 5F
"比平均少失的分數" 應該把"少"改成"多"比較合理吧
03/17 19:14, 5F

03/17 19:15, , 6F
Abreu居然接近平均 Jeter防守居然高於平均 還有Mentle
03/17 19:15, 6F

03/17 19:15, , 7F
防守排名居然前幾...這數據真的怪怪的..........
03/17 19:15, 7F

03/17 19:15, , 8F
D.Wright 竟然墊底 0.0
03/17 19:15, 8F

03/17 19:17, , 9F
NYY 中左外野 那麼強~
03/17 19:17, 9F

03/17 19:17, , 10F
對耶 Wright 居然墊底 ~wow出乎意料
03/17 19:17, 10F

03/17 19:18, , 11F
Melky守備是不錯 可是他的打擊...
03/17 19:18, 11F

03/17 19:19, , 12F
Jason Bay @@"
03/17 19:19, 12F

03/17 19:21, , 13F
沒看過站在Green Monster前面防守數據會好看的...
03/17 19:21, 13F

03/17 19:21, , 14F
跟其他防守評價差好多
03/17 19:21, 14F

03/17 19:22, , 15F
我知道牛奶弟臂力好 可是守備好嗎?誰可以幫忙說明一下
03/17 19:22, 15F

03/17 19:26, , 16F
防守數據就參考看看而已嘛...
03/17 19:26, 16F

03/17 19:26, , 17F
好幾家做出來的數據都有差距...
03/17 19:26, 17F

03/17 19:52, , 18F
Reynolds , Damon 跟 開心的洞一洞 都讓我很意外 @@
03/17 19:52, 18F

03/17 20:02, , 19F
Chase Utely的守備本來就沒那麼差 只是明星賽讓他黑掉
03/17 20:02, 19F

03/17 20:03, , 20F
是在講Dan Uggla吧
03/17 20:03, 20F

03/17 20:06, , 21F
所以洋基補鐵爺就賺了30分XD
03/17 20:06, 21F

03/17 20:14, , 22F
依據攻守 把Giambi換成鐵爺洋基會多8勝
03/17 20:14, 22F

03/17 20:20, , 23F
Scott Rolen即使老了還是沒人可以比他守備強 太強惹
03/17 20:20, 23F

03/17 20:27, , 24F
D.Wright 竟然墊底
03/17 20:27, 24F

03/17 20:27, , 25F
不過D.Wright和Ichiro(CF)的評估結果跟ZoneRating不一樣
03/17 20:27, 25F

03/17 20:28, , 26F
/防守 => 有將各家數據取平均的 ARS 應該最客觀
03/17 20:28, 26F

03/17 20:29, , 27F
單比較兩家數據得不到甚麼結論
03/17 20:29, 27F

03/17 20:32, , 28F
可能各種評估的方式著重的方面不一樣吧, 要個別看
03/17 20:32, 28F

03/17 20:32, , 29F
一朗喜歡守的RF只比平均略好.守CF卻是大幅領先XD
03/17 20:32, 29F

03/17 20:39, , 30F
是Uggla 我說錯人了 sorry
03/17 20:39, 30F

03/17 20:49, , 31F
話說NYM的內野還真是抖= ="
03/17 20:49, 31F

03/17 20:53, , 32F
到底是誰跟我說一朗守CF很差的=___=
03/17 20:53, 32F

03/17 21:05, , 33F
這是怎樣算出來的阿?
03/17 21:05, 33F

03/17 21:19, , 34F
這篇真是大爆冷門XDDDD
03/17 21:19, 34F

03/17 21:23, , 35F
NY外野怎麼變這麼威?
03/17 21:23, 35F

03/17 22:32, , 36F
hudson不是金手套二壘手嗎??
03/17 22:32, 36F

03/17 22:50, , 37F
這個也只是評估方法之一 DW就差很多
03/17 22:50, 37F

03/17 22:55, , 38F
看到Jeter就知道不準 科科
03/17 22:55, 38F

03/18 01:06, , 39F
Wright墊底真的第一次看到
03/18 01:06, 39F

03/18 01:54, , 40F
3個日本2壘手都好慘...
03/18 01:54, 40F

03/18 16:28, , 41F
John McDonald 21.6 這是怎麼回事@@?
03/18 16:28, 41F
文章代碼(AID): #19ltvoq8 (MLB)