[農場] Minnesota Twins Top 20 Prospects 2014
1) Byron Buxton, OF, Grade A: Currently the best prospect in baseball,
combining outstanding athleticism, speed, on-base ability, developing power,
and superior defense. He is currently equal to or slightly ahead of where Mike
Trout was at the same stage of his career, with one pro season under his belt.
That doesn't mean Buxton will be as good as Trout, of course, but it does
indicate superstar-caliber ability. ETA: late 2014 or 2015.
2) Miguel Sano, 3B, Grade A: Power-mashing beast, comparable to a young Miguel
Cabrera. He may not hit for the high averages that the mature Cabrera has
produced, but power should be similar. Sano has made a lot of progress with the
glove and a move to first base is not automatic. ETA: late 2014.
3) Kohl Stewart, RHP, Grade B+: 2013 first-round pick was the best high school
pitcher in the draft and showed good command of plus stuff in his pro debut.
Some scouts like him better than Mark Appel and Jonathan Gray, the two top
college arms in the draft, though he'll need more time to develop. ETA: 2016 or
17.
4) Alex Meyer, RHP, Grade B+: Hard-thrower pitched effectively in Double-A,
although a shoulder injury caused him to miss two months. Healthy now, should
be ready for major league trial in 2014, projects as number two starter if
everything works out with his arm. ETA: 2014.
5) Eddie Rosario, 2B, Grade B: Solid line drive hitter with consistently good
production through the Double-A level. Converted outfielder has made good
progress learning second base. Strong makeup adds to package. Development of
Brian Dozier means the Twins won't have to rush Rosario. ETA: late 2014.
6) Jose Berrios, RHP, Grade B: Supplemental 2012 pick out of Puerto Rico was
solid in the Midwest League in '13, although he lost some velocity as he got
tired down the stretch. At his best, throws three major league quality pitches
for strikes and projects as mid-rotation arm. ETA: late 2016.
7) Lewis Thorpe, LHP, Grade B-: Australian lefty dominated the Gulf Coast
League after gaining 5 MPH on his fastball and improving his secondary
offerings including slider, curve, and change. A long way off at age 17, but
GCL sources loved him, see mid-rotation upside, and possibly more. ETA: 2017.
8) Josmil Pinto, C, Grade B-: Age 24, this Venezuelan catcher has hit the snot
out of the ball for two years while improving his glovework. He looked
excellent with the bat during September trial with the Twins, but is still
underrated/overlooked as a prospect. Even with a so-so glove the bat will play.
ETA: 2014.
9) Jorge Polanco, INF, Grade B-: Solid switch-hitter showed gap power and hit
.308 with decent strike zone judgment in Low-A at age 20, along with defensive
versatility. Good athlete, has a chance to develop into a regular second
baseman or a fine super-utility man, perhaps more. ETA: 2016.
10) Max Kepler, OF, Grade B-: German-born outfielder was inconsistent but
flashed good hitting skills in Midwest League despite missing half of the
season with elbow problems. Needs to resolve difficulties against left-handed
pitching and improve his defense, but I still like him. ETA: late 2016.
11) Travis Harrison, 3B, Grade B-/C+: Offense-oriented third baseman with
above-average power potential, still finding the right balance between
aggression and passivity. Doesn't have Sano's upside but could still be a solid
regular. ETA: late 2016.
12) Trevor May, RHP, Grade C+/B-: Hard-thrower acquired from Phillies for Ben
Revere has had two erratic Double-A seasons, collecting plenty of strikeouts
but with wobbly command. Could still develop into a rotation workhorse or
perhaps a dominant reliever. ETA: late 2014.
13) Adam Brett Walker, OF, Grade C+/B-: Led Midwest League with 27 homers and
it is real power, also an effective stealer and underrated defensive
outfielder. Questionable plate discipline prevents a higher grade at this
point, but if he tightens the strike zone he could become a regular. ETA: 2016.
14) Michael Tonkin, RHP, Grade C+: At this point on the list, the rankings get
more flexible: you can make a case for slotting any of the Grade C+ guys from
about 14 on, so don't sweat the exact placements. Tonkin is a hard-throwing
reliever who has performed well the last two seasons and has little left to
learn in the minors. He should slot into the Minnesota bullpen and might get a
shot at closing games somewhere eventually. ETA: 2014.
15) Danny Santana, SS, Grade C+: Speedy switch-hitter had solid Double-A
campaign. Erratic but promising on defense, can swipe a base, needs to sharpen
OBP ability to make it as a regular but could be a fine utility player with
disruptive speed and valuable glove. ETA: late 2014.
16) Kennys Vargas, 1B, Grade C+: Switch-hitter from Puerto Rico with excellent
power, hit 19 homers and 33 doubles in High-A and has some feel for hitting.
Would rank higher but his glove is quite poor and he may be a born DH who finds
it hard to slot into a position. ETA: 2016.
17) Felix Jorge, RHP, Grade C+: Dominican right-hander dominated the
Appalachian League, throws strikes, and has enough stuff to be a mid-rotation
starter with proper development. I wouldn't expect him to be rushed, but he
could rank much higher on this list next year. ETA: 2017.
18) Zack Jones, RHP, Grade C+: Saved 14 games in High-A with excellent
strikeout numbers, has been clocked as high as 100 MPH. Command needs work;
currently pitching in the Arizona Fall League and should begin '14 in Double-A.
Potential closer option. You can make a case to rank him as high as 13. ETA:
mid-to-late 2015.
19) Stephen Gonsalves, LHP, Grade C+: Fourth round pick in 2013 looks like a
real bargain; mechanical problems in high school sapped his velocity but this
wasn't an issue in pro ball and he dominated the rookie levels in a short
stint, fanning 39 in 28 innings with a 0.95 ERA. Could rank much higher once he
gets some innings in. ETA: 2017.
20) Ryan Eades, RHP, Grade C+: Former Louisiana State workhorse, results
haven't quite matched the talent perceived by scouts but he still showed enough
to be drafted in the second round. Mid-rotation potential. ETA: 2016.
OTHER GRADE C+: Niko Goodrum, SS; Mason Melotakis, LHP; Taylor Rogers, LHP;
Miguel Sulbaran, LHP
OTHERS TO TRACK: Logan Darnell, LHP; Lewin Diaz, OF-1B; D.J. Hicks, 1B;
Chih-Wei Hu, RHP; Tyler Jones, RHP; Yorman Landa, RHP; Zach Larson, OF; Brett
Lee, LHP; Amaurys Minier, 3B; Brian Navarreto, C; Fernando Romero, RHP; Randy
Rosario, LHP; Adrian Salcedo, RHP; Aaron Slegers, RHP; Roni Tapia, 3B; Stuart
Turner, C; Ruar Verkerk, 3B; Dakota Watts, RHP; Duke Welker, RHP; Corey
Williams, LHP; J.D. Williams, OF.
SUMMARY: The Minnesota Twins system is among the elite in the game. Few
organizations can boast a pair of potential superstar Grade A talents like
Buxton and Sano, and the Twins have good depth beyond them, particularly among
hitters. They still need more high-upside pitching, although the signing of
Kohl Stewart helps in that department. Alex Meyer is also impressive, as long
as his shoulder is OK, and there are some lively arms of promise at the lower
levels.
The development of sleeper prospects like Josmil Pinto is always welcomed, and
there are others in the Grade C category who are capable of similar
breakthroughs. The Twins have also been increasingly aggressive on the
international market in recent years. Sano, 2012 signee Amaurys Minier, and '13
signees Lewin Diaz and Roni Tapia show a liking for power bats.
Twins fans have been through difficult rebuilding phases before, dating back to
the Calvin Griffith years, but the upside with this current group is huge,
comparable to the Kent Hrbek/Gary Gaetti/Tom Brunansky/Frank Viola/Kirby
Puckett wave that helped win two World Series.
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