Fw: [選秀]Chad Ford 2013選秀預測1.0

看板Kings作者yoyoman0529 (超級喜歡柯先仁)時間11年前 (2013/04/17 01:42)推噓2(2推 0噓 4→)

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※ [本文轉錄自 Cavaliers 看板 #1HQZoiyY ] 作者: arenasis (Mr.Vengeance) 看板: Cavaliers 標題: [選秀]Chad Ford 2013選秀預測1.0 時間: Sun Apr 14 13:20:40 2013 只翻譯樂透區隊伍，這篇出來的時候湖人還在西區第9，但現在不是，所以14順位以後就不翻譯了。至於騎士最後可能拿到30、31、33這幾張，所以30順位還是有翻。建議想看14-29號的，可以去hoopchina找找。 1.山貓選擇肯大中鋒Nerlens Noel The Bobcats need help everywhere. With the possible exception of small forward (where last year's No. 2 pick Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is holding down the fort), Charlotte doesn't really have an A-list player on its roster. The Bobcats already have a young, athletic project in Bismack Biyombo, but every scout feels that Noel has much more potential than Biyombo and most GMs feel Noel has the most upside of any player in the draft. Noel's ACL injury is an obvious red flag, but even that could turn into a blessing. If the Bobcats have to sit Noel for much of the season, they'll likely finish with the best chance of winning the lottery in 2014. With Andrew Wiggins and a stellar high school class of 2014 coming up, it might be worth the wait. 山貓到處都是洞，除了小前鋒MKG還能有所期待以外，全隊沒有什麼A咖。畢勇伯年輕且有機動力，但所有球探都認為Noel的天分比較高，GM也一致同意Noel的天花板更有成長空間。韌帶受傷是Noel的一個警訊，但Ford認為如果山貓選進他並且在2013-14球季全力保護他，可望在2014年包括A. Wiggins在內的強力新秀參選時，占到有利地位。 2.魔術選擇奧克拉荷馬州大控衛Marcus Smart Analysis: The Orlando Magic have promising young players at the 3, 4 and 5. While they could certainly upgrade there (and might if Noel is available), I expect them to take a backcourt player at No. 2. Jameer Nelson is 31 and starting to slow down. Adding a dominant player like Smart would upgrade the position immensely. While Smart has his weaknesses (his jump shot is shaky and he needs to tighten up his handle), he's strong, has a great motor and toughness, is a beast defensively and brings the leadership a young rudderless team like the Magic desperately needs. 魔術在3至5號位都有潛力新秀，所以Ford建議他們趁Nelson已經稍顯老態之際趕快升級控衛。Smart的跳投不穩定、護球待加強，但身體壯、啟動快速、對抗性高，他防守積極而且能在休息室帶給魔術需要的領袖氣質。 3.太陽選擇堪薩斯得分後衛Ben McLemore The Phoenix Suns shot 32 percent on 3-pointers this season and desperately need to improve. Their starting 2-guards, Shannon Brown and Wesley Johnson, both struggled from 3. Adding McLemore makes a lot of sense. He's one of the two or three best pure shooters in the draft and has great length and athleticism at his position. He can be a bit of a wallflower, but when he gets going he's as good as anyone in the draft. 太陽本季外線只有32%，兩位主戰後場Shannon Brown跟W. Johnson都投不準，亟待改善。McLemore是本屆新秀兩位最佳純射手之一，而且在SG位置上有機動力跟體能優勢，也許有時他會粉沒存在感，但當他出擊之際，能打的跟任何一位新秀一樣好。 4.騎士選擇喬治城大學小前鋒Otto Porter The Cavaliers have dynamic scorers in both backcourt positions in Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters. Their frontcourt is also virtually set with Tristan Thompson, Anderson Varejao and Tyler Zeller. Their biggest hole is at the 3, and Porter looks like the perfect complementary piece. He's a jack of all trades, doesn't need the ball in his hands to be effective and is a team player. I can't think of a better fit for Porter or the Cavs. 騎士後場有KI跟Waiters這對強力得分搭檔，前場目前貌似由T. Thompson、 Varejao跟T. Zeller擔綱。這一來小前鋒就是最大的洞，Porter目前看來完美符合騎士需求，他是多功能型的萬金油球員，不需持球也有好效率，也是一名好團隊球員，Ford想不出還有誰比他更適合騎士。 5.活塞選擇印第安那大學搖擺人Victor Oladipo The Pistons' biggest need is at small forward. Since shipping Tayshaun Prince off to Memphis, they haven't really had anyone fill his spot. However, I think Oladipo is a better fit for Detroit. Rodney Stuckey has worn out his welcome in Detroit and Oladipo is the type of player that thrived with the Pistons when President of Basketball Operations Joe Dumars was still suiting up. Olapido is an elite defender, an explosive athlete and a rapidly improving offensive player. They could settle on a player like Shabazz Muhammad here, but I think Oladipo is the best player on the board for them. 自從把Prince送到灰熊後，活塞就沒有什麼人能填補小前鋒的缺。Stuckey已經敗光了他加入活塞後的好感度quaota，Oladipo則是Dumars總管喜歡的類型。他是防守專家，具備高機動力而且進攻技巧持續提升，不排除活塞在這裡選走Shabazz Muhammad 的可能性，但應該還是Oladipo機會大。 6.黃蜂選擇密西根大學控衛Trey Burke The Hornets have interesting young players at every position right now. Their biggest need is probably at small forward, though Al-Farouq Aminu has started to show some promise this year. Clearly the Hornets have a very solid point guard in Greivis Vasquez. However, Burke gives them a completely different look and would be a nice complement to Vasquez at the point. He might be a bit undersized, but his toughness, all-around game, mistake-free basketball and winning attitude should be a great fit in New Orleans. 黃蜂在每個位置都有值得觀察的新秀，儘管Aminu本季開始有點進步，小前鋒仍可能最需補強的點。黃蜂有個表現好後衛Greivis Vasquez，選擇Burke能跟他搭檔，讓黃蜂面目一新，Burke有點undersize，但他的對抗性、全能球風、少失誤的打法以及球勝若渴的決心，適合黃蜂隊。 7.國王選擇UCLA搖擺人Shabazz Muhammad The Kings' biggest hole is at small forward, where they continue to feel the sting from the disastrous John Salmons trade from a couple years ago. Salmons is a shell of himself and the Kings are desperately in need of an upgrade. While Muhammad has been a slight disappointment as a freshman , he's tough, knows how to score and brings a strong motor to the table. I'm not sure if there will be enough shots for Muhammad with DeMarcus Cousins, Tyreke Evans, Isaiah Thomas and Marcus Thornton, but I assume the Kings, under new management whether in Sacramento or Seattle, will start to clean house. 國王小前鋒洞最大，該隊還在受兩年前Salmons交易的後遺症所苦，Salmons現在只是隻紙老虎。Muhammad的大一球季讓人小失望，但他夠強悍，知道如何得分並把動力展現出來。Ford不確定Cousins、Evans等人會給Muhammad多少出手數，但國王不管搬走或留在沙城，鐵定要清理門戶了。 8.雷霆選擇馬里蘭中鋒Alex Len The Thunder get this pick from the Raptors (which the Rockets received as part of the Kyle Lowry trade only to move it onto OKC as part of the James Harden deal) as long as the Raptors aren't picking in the top three. Oklahoma City needs to find a long-term replacement for Harden at the 2 and a long-term backup for Kendrick Perkins at the 5. Len seems like great value here. He's one of the two or three biggest players in the draft, has a decent offensive game and can rebound and block shots. It really feels like he's scratching the surface. The Thunder can afford to bring him along slowly and hope he develops. 雷霆這張在鬍子交易中拿到的籤，只有前三順位保護。從長遠觀點，雷霆要找個能取代鬍子的SG，以及替補Perkins的中鋒。而Len看起來值得投資，他是本屆體型數一數二大隻的新秀，得分手腕高超，也能抓板蓋鍋，而Ford強調目前看到的只是表象，Len還有更多值得雷霆慢慢發展與觀察的。 9.巫師選擇內華達大學拉斯維加斯分校大前鋒Anthony Bennett The Wizards would have to be thrilled if they can land Bennett this late in the draft. Some teams will look at him as high as No. 2. Not only is Bennett the best player left on the board, but he also fits a need for Washington at the 4. Emeka Okafor has been solid there, but he's not the long-term answer. And at this point it doesn't look like young players like Jan Vesely or Kevin Seraphin are, either. Bennett's NBA body combined with his ability to score anywhere on the floor should give the Wizards another big boost next year. 如果巫師真能在這順位撿到Bennett，會很爽的，有些隊伍的評價高達第二順位。 Ford在9順位放Bennett不僅因為他是剩下最好的選手，也因為他符合巫師需求。 Okafor身手依舊，但不會是巫師的長期解答，年輕人Vesely跟Seraphin看似難當大任。Bennett的NBA級體格加上在哪兒都能得分的身手，會帶給巫師另一個起飛球季。 10.灰狼選擇密西根州大得分後衛Gary Harris I think it's pretty likely that Harris decides to stay in college another year and undergo shoulder surgery. However, if he does end up declaring, he's a very good fit for a Timberwolves team that still is searching for a long-term solution at shooting guard. The team is shooting just 30 percent from beyond the arc this year and getting a player like Harris who can really knock down shots is a priority. Ford認為Harris應該會比較傾向留校，並進行肩膀手術，然而如他最後參選了，會是灰狼尋覓已久的長期SG解答。灰狼外線只有30%命中率，找個像Harris這樣的射手是當務之急。 11.七六人選擇印第安那大學中鋒Cody Zeller At the start of the season there was talk of Zeller being the No. 1 pick. However, he didn't improve as much as scouts expected him to this season and his stock has slid a bit. He'd be a nice fit in Philly, however. With the exception of Spencer Hawes, the Sixers just don't have a lot of size. While I don't think Zeller is worthy of a top-five pick anymore, he's a good value here. C.Zeller季初一度被討論為狀元人選，但他的表現沒達到多數球探的期許，檔次也小小滑落。然而他還是適合七六人，除了Hawes以外該隊在體型上居於劣勢，Ford 不再認為Zeller能進前五順位，但他還是值得一選。 12.拓荒者選擇密西根大學大前鋒Mitch McGary McGary mania is in full swing after a terrific run in the NCAA tourney, but NBA scouts still are getting their arms around his draft stock. They've really only been scouting this Mitch McGary for about eight games. However , on the surface, it appears that McGary has a lot of promise. He's got an incredible motor, is a good athlete, has great hands, rebounds, blocks shots and has shown a midrange game. It's possible he's a one-hit wonder, but I think more and more teams believe he's the same kid that ranked as one of the top five players in the country after his junior year of high school. He could be a great replacement for J.J. Hickson should he bolt in free agency this summer. 「McGary瘋」在NCAA錦標賽掀起狂熱，但球探對他的選秀順位還是持保留態度，他們真正看到這樣的McGary大概只有八場球。但至少表面上McGary打出一些期待，他有高機動力、卓越手感、能抓板、蓋鍋以及show出中距離。也許他終究曇花一現，但我更認為多數隊伍還是視他作高二那年排名全美前五的好手。在Hickson可能進入FA市場的情況下，拓荒者可以選他。 13.小牛選擇雪城大學控衛Michael Carter-Williams The Mavs have been riding Darren Collison all season at the point and there's a chance they re-sign him as a restricted free agent this summer. Whether they do or don't, Carter-Williams seems like a safe play. When he's good, he looks like a top-five pick. When he's off, he doesn't look like a first-rounder. He's a good passer with great size for his position and a very smooth athlete. He lacks a jump shot and needs to get stronger, but there's so much potential there, the Mavs could swing for the fences with him at No. 13. 小牛整季都仰賴Collison主控，夏天可能也會把成為RFA的他續留下來。不管小牛怎麼作，Carter-Williams都是安全牌。強的時候他像屬前五順位，低迷的時候好似不值首輪。他是有不錯體型的好傳球者，同時有流暢的運動性。跳投跟對抗性都要強化，但天分已經擺在那兒。 30.騎士選擇北卡得分後衛P.J. Hairston The Cavaliers might have their backcourt of the future set, but they can always use depth. Hairston is big enough to play the 2 and the 3, and he can be a terrific shooter. He's also tough and aggressive and understands a role coming off the bench. The Cavs are big believers in the numbers, and all of Hairston's advanced statistic profiles come out high, so you could see him sneak into the first round. 騎士未來後場基石已經找到，但深度永不嫌多。Hairston的體型夠打2至3號位了，可望養成一位致命的射手。他夠強悍夠積極，也能安於擔任板凳角色。騎士很仰賴數據分析，所有Hairston的進階數據都很高，可期待他摸進第一輪。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.168.79.217

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