[閒聊] 超車老賽與魔術之可能性
因為武僧似乎認為得到大西洋龍頭寶座是可能的(?
所以在此比較一下尼克若要超車老賽到第四名之可能
前提:不考慮七六人之戰積
目前與老賽勝場數差3場
若老賽贏了剩下七場比賽的至少五場,則尼克絕對無法超車
因為老賽如果五勝二敗就算尼克勝場數七場(也就是剩下比賽全贏)
老賽 [(5*0﹒5)+(2*-0﹒5)]= 1﹒5
↓ ↓
贏一場可一拉開半場勝差 輸一場會減少半場勝差
尼克如果七戰全勝 7*0﹒5=3﹒5
如果照上面的情形進行老賽七戰後會多拉開1﹒5場
而尼克只能追上3﹒5場勝差
此時雙方勝場數會相差1場勝場 尼克無緣問鼎大西洋組龍頭
考慮尼克追到老賽四場勝差最後領先老賽至少一場勝差的可能
因為發生機率太低了所以讓我快速帶過
尼克最後要贏老賽一場勝差以上取得寶座可能有以下可能
#.不考慮老賽七戰全敗之可能 雖然他們後面的賽程很硬
但因為會遇到山貓所以太困難了 ="=
老賽 尼克 尼克領先場差
七戰戰績 1W6L 7W0L 3
6W1L 2
5W2L 1
2W5L 7W0L 1
這個系列感覺比中頭獎還困難...快速略過...囧
以下討論勝場數平手之情形
尼克想問鼎大西洋龍頭比較有可能的是與老賽同勝場數
並且與老賽對戰成績相同才能超車目前是1:2
所以下周那場對老賽最後一場的比賽一定要贏!
如果下周那場比賽輸了會變成一定要贏老賽一場勝差才可能到第四
因為對戰成績會變成1:3 就算勝場數平手也不能超車
#.一樣不討論老賽七戰全敗之可能
老賽 尼克
七戰戰績 1W6L 4W3L
2W5L 5W2L
3W4L 6W1L
4W3L 7W0L
季後賽的種子序 1.如果勝場數平手會比對戰戰績
2.如果對戰戰績也平手會比兩隊所屬組的對戰戰績
3.如果還是相同視其本季對同區打入季後賽之球隊
之戰績,較優者取得較高種子序。
4.如果還是一樣視其本季對另一區打入季後賽之球
隊之戰績,較優者取得較高種子序。
5.上述都一樣的話最後會比總得失分差(DIFF)。
在此不討論兩隊對戰戰績若相同之後的比較~
等下周贏老賽再說吧XDDD
結論:下周對老賽那場很重要 不過打贏了要超車還是很困難
同場加映尼克要超車魔術到第六的可能
前提:不考慮七六人&公鹿戰績
由於尼克本季與魔術對戰戰績2:1
所以只要勝場數平手尼克就可以超車了!!!!!!!!
而魔術和老賽的勝場數相同
所以相同的組合可以直接複製貼上即可XD
魔術 尼克
七戰戰績 1W6L 4W3L
2W5L 5W2L
3W4L 6W1L
4W3L 7W0L
結論:感覺超車魔術機會還比較大~而且溜馬還比較好打="=
有錯誤歡迎指證~感謝
以上
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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 175.180.105.161
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這只是理想化的目標(?
現實層面還要考慮會不會被公鹿七六人超車...甚至掉出老八="=
如果有空再寫好了XD
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※ 編輯: yun0215 來自: 175.180.105.161 (04/14 17:52)
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其實我原本想發的是
怎樣的情況下公鹿會超車尼克XD
因為武僧先放炮了...所以只好....XDDDDD
※ 編輯: yun0215 來自: 1.162.224.139 (04/15 00:57)
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