[轉錄]Re: [討論] 替緬甸風災的災民集氣吧

看板IA作者going70 (心靜止水)時間16年前 (2008/05/14 09:06)推噓3(3推 0噓 0→)

留言3則, 3人參與討論串1/1

※ [本文轉錄自 Gossiping 看板] 作者: Morbert () 站內: Gossiping 標題: Re: [討論] 替緬甸風災的災民集氣吧時間: Wed May 14 06:22:04 2008 真的要集氣了.... 凌晨兩點北印度洋有新熱帶低壓(96B)形成，而且有機會快速增強為今年北印度洋第二個氣旋(氣旋=颱風，地區不同稱號也不一樣) 不過，這個編號９６Ｂ的熱帶低壓目前中心剛登陸伊洛瓦底江三角洲，沒錯，就是上一個氣旋釀災的地點..... 所以那邊現在應該正在狂風暴雨＠＠以下附上JTWC的預報... http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/image_archives/2008/io962008.08051318.gif

路徑圖.. MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.5N 96.1E TO 19.4N 92.1E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM- AGERY AT 131800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 95.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 121210Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATE PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING OF CONVECTION AT THE WESTERN END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, MORE RECENTLY, CONVECTION HAS WANED SOMEWHAT IN RESPONSE TO LAND INTERACTION. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY TRANSITING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE YANGON DELTA REGION OF MYANMAR. OBSERVATIONS FROM YANGON AS OF 131300Z, SUPPORT A 25 TO 30 KNOT CIRCULATION WITH SEA LEVEL PRESSURES NEAR 1000 MB (3 MB PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS) AND SUSTAINED WINDS AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. A PARTIAL 130301Z ASCAT IMAGE ALSO INDICATES STRONG WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER WITH SUSTAINED EASTERLIES TO THE NORTH, FURTHER PROOF OF CYCLONIC TURNING. THE CENTER CURRENTLY LIES UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVOR- ABLE SOUTHWESTERLY DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THOUGH THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND, MINIMAL DEGRADATION OF THE LOW LEVEL IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE LOW LYING TOPOGRAPHY AND FAIRLY QUICK TRANSIT OVER THE LOW-LYING COASTAL REGION OF SOUTHERN MYANMAR. EMERGENCE INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD WITH THE ONLY LIMITATION BEING TEMPORARY LAND INTERACTION. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 142030Z.// -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.122.150.245

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manphage

05/14 06:22,

05/14 06:22

※ 編輯: Morbert 來自: 140.122.150.245 (05/14 06:23)

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liberating

05/14 06:24,

05/14 06:24

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littlexian

05/14 06:29,