[討論] 2026新北市長結果分析
我新北人,在新店長大,記得小時候新北很綠(蘇貞昌當縣長),之後民進黨太爛就變藍
,2026基本上民進黨就是蘇巧慧,國民黨我猜是李四川,民眾黨是黃國昌
蘇巧慧我猜會拿80萬票左右,藍白會合拿120萬,所以要棄保才會贏
預測票數:
蘇巧慧 80萬
李四川 45萬
黃國昌 75萬
當選機率:
蘇巧慧 60趴
李四川 0
黃國昌 40趴
黃國昌穩贏區:汐止 瑞芳
黃國昌領先區: 中永和 新店 林口
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