[閒聊] 五都預測 (最終版)
以下是個人不負責任的預測和估票
台北市: 郝龍斌 50.5% 蘇貞昌 48.5% 其他 1% 總票數 140萬 郝贏2萬8千票
新北市: 蔡英文 50.5% 朱立倫 49.5% 總票數 200萬 蔡贏2萬票
大台中: 胡志強 51.6% 蘇嘉全 48.4% 總票數 125萬 胡贏4萬票
大台南: 賴清德 60% 郭添財 40% 總票數 95萬 賴贏19萬票
大高雄: 陳菊50% 其他人就不預測了 怕會被告XD
理由:
1.亞運事件
2.下周末可能會有強冷氣團報到,可能會使投票率稍微下降
3.觀察某些候選人最近的"態度"可知
以上的預測不準不負責XD
如果誤差只有1~2%以內的話 應該就算可以接受了吧
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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 218.163.19.21
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※ 編輯: saradinel 來自: 218.163.19.21 (11/18 17:04)
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