[理工] [機率] 機率的應用
有一投資者以15元買進某股票,今此人有以下兩種策略(不在意持股多久)
1.當股票漲到25元時,獲利了結
2.當股票跌到10元時,認賠出場
假設每天的漲跌只有漲1元(P=0.6)或跌1元(P=0.4)兩種情形,且每天漲跌各自獨立
請問此人(獲利了結)或是(認賠出場)的機率各為多少?
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08/01 23:22, , 1F
08/01 23:22, 1F
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08/02 01:55, , 2F
08/02 01:55, 2F
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08/02 01:56, , 3F
08/02 01:56, 3F
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08/02 10:51, , 4F
08/02 10:51, 4F
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08/02 11:43, 5F
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08/02 21:01, , 6F
08/02 21:01, 6F
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08/02 21:05, , 7F
08/02 21:05, 7F
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08/03 01:17, , 8F
08/03 01:17, 8F
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08/03 17:36, , 9F
08/03 17:36, 9F
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08/03 17:38, , 10F
08/03 17:38, 10F
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08/03 17:39, , 11F
08/03 17:39, 11F
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08/03 19:54, , 12F
08/03 19:54, 12F
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09/11 14:28, , 13F
09/11 14:28, 13F