[問卦] 烏克蘭牆倒眾人推 德國反對烏加入北約？
安安
烏克蘭先是被川普團隊傳出要等20年再談加入北約
現在德國也出來反對烏克蘭加入北約
https://responsiblestatecraft.org/germany-ukraine-2669632533/
This week, Politico scooped the news: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, before
meeting NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in Berlin, informally voiced
opposition to Ukraine’s prospects for an alliance membership, suggesting
instead a “Finlandization” option — a neutral status like Finland
maintained between NATO and the Soviet Union during the Cold War and for the
subsequent three decades between NATO and Russia.
本週，Politico 獨家報導了這一消息：德國總理奧拉夫·肖爾茨在柏林會見北約秘書長
馬克·呂特之前，非正式地表示反對烏克蘭加入北約的前景，並建議採取「芬蘭化」選項
——像芬蘭一樣在北約之間保持中立地位。
According to the report, his suggestion was mulled amid talk in Berlin of
setting up a “contact group” together with China, India, and Brazil in
search of a negotiated end to the war in Ukraine.
據報道，他的建議是在柏林討論與中國、印度和巴西建立一個「聯絡小組」以尋求透過談
判結束烏克蘭戰爭的討論中得到考慮的。
The fact, however, that the Finlandization option is even discussed now shows
how far the debate in Europe has shifted from the “whatever it takes for
Ukraine’s victory” mantra to a more sober assessment of the realities on
the ground: even The Economist, a staunch supporter of Ukraine’s cause from
the outset, now accepts that it’s not a victory but mere survival as an
independent state that is at stake for Ukraine.
然而，芬蘭化選項現在仍在討論這一事實表明，歐洲的辯論已經從「不惜一切代價爭取烏
克蘭勝利」的口號轉變為對當地現實進行更清醒的評估：甚至連《經濟學人》、從一開始
就是烏克蘭事業的堅定支持者，現在承認這不是一場勝利，而只是烏克蘭作為一個獨立
國家的生存所面臨的危險。
現在看起來就是司機加入北約的願景掰了吧
歐洲各位丞相都很會看風向
再次證明只要美國不挺，其他民主陣營真的沒甚麼用
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 59.126.78.98 (臺灣)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Gossiping/M.1731210997.A.256.html
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德國是拿來指「中立」這一狀態
原文後面有寫
For Ukraine, “Finlandization” would mean giving up its NATO membership
aspirations — something that Moscow claimed was such an intolerable threat
to its national security that felt compelled to invade Ukraine to prevent it.
The concept first acquired negative connotations during the debates on the
Baltic states’ prospective NATO membership in 1990s — it was perceived then
by supporters, both in the U.S. and the Baltics, as artificially creating
zones of influence in Europe. By being left outside of NATO, the Baltics
feared they would be relegated to Russia’s zone of influence, if not worse.
對烏克蘭來說，「芬蘭化」意味著放棄加入北約的願望——莫斯科聲稱這對其國家安全構
成了無法容忍的威脅，以至於不得不入侵烏克蘭來阻止這種情況的發生。這個概念在
1990 年代關於波羅的海國家未來加入北約的辯論中首次獲得了負面含義——當時美國和
波羅的海國家的支持者認為，這是人為地在歐洲創造勢力範圍。波羅的海國家擔心，由於
被排除在北約之外，他們將被劃入俄羅斯的影響範圍，甚至更糟。
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※ 編輯: s14934013 (59.126.78.98 臺灣), 11/10/2024 11:59:26
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