[新聞] 一旦F-35不好用,五角大樓還有應急方案消失
一旦F-35不好用,五角大樓還有應急方案
The Pentagon's Emergency Plan If the F-35 Doesn't Work
來源:美國《國家利益》雜志網站
http://goo.gl/0Xz1Zy
The United States government has sunk billions into the Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter. The program is set to cost taxpayers almost $400 billion to develop and build 2,443 of the stealthy new jets for the U.S. Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps.
==美國政府已為洛克希德-馬丁公司生產的F-35聯合攻擊戰鬥機投入了巨額資金。該計劃很可能將花費納稅人近4000億美元,企圖為美國空軍、海軍和海軍陸戰隊研發和制造2443架這種新型匿蹤飛機。
To ensure that the program is all but unkillable, Lockheed spread the work on the program around the country and around the globe. Indeed, the program brags about its economic impact. “In the U.S. alone, the F-35 program supports direct and indirect jobs for 129,000 people and provides work for more than 1,200 suppliers in 45 states and Puerto Rico,” reads Lockheed’s F-35 website. “The F-35 does more than just elevate international security—it also strengthens the global economy by providing jobs,
industrial partnerships and technology benefits to people and companies across the world. In the years ahead, the F-35 program will create more jobs than any other Department of Defense initiative this decade.”
==為了確保F-35項目不被幹掉,洛克希德公司把該項目擴展到全國乃至全球。說實話,這個項目夸大了自己對經濟的影響。(略去洛克希德公司的夸大之辭)
Moreover, the F-35 program is producing industrial benefits in Australia, Canada, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Turkey and the United Kingdom—which are the original partners. Additionally, the F-35 creates jobs in Israel, Japan and the Republic of Korea—which have also purchased the new stealth fighter. Indeed, while major defense procurement programs are mostly viewed in national security terms, these programs are similar to entitlement programs—no member of Congress would ever vote to
kill jobs in their district. That’s what contractors and the Pentagon count on.
==此外,F35項目給澳大利亞、加拿大、丹麥、意大利、荷蘭、挪威、土耳其和英國這些最初的合作者帶來了工業上的利益。也對日本,南韓和以色列這些后來決定購買F35的國家創造了一些就業機會。實際上,當一些國防購買項目被從國家安全角度思考時,這些項目就如同福利政策,國會議員都不敢幹掉這些項目,因為這可能會減少這個議員轄區內的工作機會。這些都是承包商(指洛克希德公司)和五角大樓最初打的如意算盤。
But what would happen if an outsider—one that has no bridges to burn, no stakeholders to appease—came to power? In that case—in the unlikely scenario where new leadership in Washington decided that enough was enough—the U.S. government would no longer tolerate the years of delays, technical failures, continuing glitches and lowered expectation—what would happen? The answer is that there are alternatives.
==但是如果一旦非利益相關者掌權,華盛頓新的決策者覺得受夠了時,美國政府將會不再容忍連年的延期,技術故障,持續不斷的事故和預期下降,這個時候該怎麼辦? 答案是有替代方案。
For the U.S. Air Force, the most obvious alternative would be to resurrect the Lockheed Martin F-22 Raptor. While reconstituting the production line would be expensive and difficult, it could be done. The U.S. Air Force stored the tooling for the aircraft—and while that storage process has problems, it’s not an insurmountable challenge. The more difficult problem will be the subcomponents. Indeed, most of the Raptor’s antiquated computer hardware hasn’t been built in years. However, a fleet of four
hundred new F-22 Raptors would give the service a force capable of knocking down the door for follow-on conventional fighters such as upgraded or even new Lockheed F-16s or Boeing F-15E Strike Eagles.
==對美國空軍來說,最明顯的替代方案將是復活洛克希德-馬丁公司的F-22“猛禽”匿蹤戰鬥機。雖然恢復生產線將會既昂貴又困難,但仍是可以做到的。畢竟美國空軍儲存了F-22的生產設備。真正的問題在於零配件,F22用到的元器件都是很多年前生產的了。然而,(重新啟動F22生產後)400多架F22去執行踹門任務還是不錯的。
The Navy—which has always been lukewarm toward the F-35C—could continue to buy advanced derivatives of the Boeing F/A-18E/F Super Hornet. In fact, Boeing has already pitched such an aircraft. Longer term, the service could restart a long-range unmanned stealth bomber program. A stealthy long-range unmanned strike aircraft is probably what the service needs to defeat the emerging anti-access/area-denial challenge in the Western Pacific.
==向來對F-35C戰鬥機態度冷漠的美國海軍可繼續購買波音F/A-18E/F“超級大黃蜂”艦載戰鬥機的高級改型。事實上,波音公司已經推出了這種飛機。從更長遠的角度看,美國海軍可以重新啟動遠程無人匿蹤轟炸機計劃。遠程無人匿蹤攻擊機或許才是美國海軍挫敗西太平洋新出現的反介入/區域拒止挑戰所需要的飛機。
The U.S. Marine Corps would have to either buy the Super Hornet or leave the fixed-wing tactical fighter business without the F-35B. However, the Navy and Marine Corps are closely linked and the service would probably opt for the Super Hornet before giving up most of its air arm.
==在沒有F-35B戰鬥機的情況下,美國海軍陸戰隊要麼購買“超級大黃蜂”戰鬥機,要么放棄固定翼戰術戰鬥機計劃。然而,美國海軍和海軍陸戰隊關系緊密,因此在放棄大部分航空兵之前,海軍陸戰隊可能還會選擇“超級大黃蜂”戰鬥機。
U.S. allies who have bought the F-35 could either buy an aircraft from Eurofighter, Dassault, Boeing F/A-18E/F, Saab’s Gripen or even upgraded F-16s. Some allies may eventually be able to develop their own stealth aircraft if they choose. The bottom line is that while plans would have to change—it’s not the end of the world. Militaries have to adapt to political conditions of the day. That being said, given the sunk costs, the F-35 isn’t going anywhere.
==已經購買了F35的美國盟友們,可以轉為購買歐洲戰機聯合體、法國達索、波音F18、瑞典鷹獅甚至升級後的F16。某些盟友可能會開發自己的匿蹤戰機。底線是如果真的要停止F35項目,世界末日並未來到。軍事必須適應當今的政治條件。話雖這麼說,考慮到已支付成本,F35不會被廣泛的使用。
Dave Majumdar is the defense editor for the National Interest. You can follow him on Twitter: @davemajumdar.
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實實在在的歷史: http://tinyurl.com/oqfo885 臺大歷史學報 高野孟矩、兒玉:
或云臺灣土人(包括支那人種)到底不是能施之以仁德為基本之政的人種。論者
之意在於只有以殺伐才能治理臺灣土人; 軍夫等下等日本人胡亂翻弄戰勝者之
威勢,沒有來由地凌虐支那人,理不順則毆打之,或掠奪財物、家畜,或奸淫婦
女; 臺灣統治的目標是使新領土的人民“浴於皇化,成為真的忠義之民”但“這
里是有近三百萬支那民族之地,他們移居此地至少已經三百年...”
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